Global Impact Assessment based on the new climate and socioeconomic scenarios (RCPs and SSPs)
ESM’s Uncertainty and Risk Assessment (URA) Group participated in the community-driven modeling effort, ISIMIP (see section on Environmental Resources and Development), which is based on a common set of background scenarios: the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) and the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). The modeling effort aimed at a quantitative estimate of impacts and uncertainties for different sectors and from multiple impact models providing policy relevant and society-focused metrics.
This initiative, coordinated by a team at PIK with support from IIASA and backing from the IPCC Working Groups II and III, provided fast-track outcomes for the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Based on its efforts, ESM became a co-author in four papers submitted to the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS) (see references to this project).
Main collaborators