Latest POP Publications

IIASA's World Population Program documents the results of its research either in its own publications or in high level external media, ranging from peer-reviewed journals to commercial books. 

Al Zalak Z & Goujon A (2017). Exploring the fertility trend in Egypt. Demographic Research 37: 995-1030. DOI:10.4054/DemRes.2017.37.32.

Oberdabernig DA, Humer S, & Crespo Cuaresma J (2017). Democracy, Geography and Model Uncertainty. Scottish Journal of Political Economy: 1-32. DOI:10.1111/sjpe.12140. (In Press)

Philipov D (2017). Rising Dispersion in Age at First Birth in Europe: Is it Related to Fertility Postponement? Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences VID Working Paper 11/2017

Barakat B & Bengtsson S (2017). What do we mean by school entry age? Conceptual ambiguity and its implications: the example of Indonesia. Comparative Education: 1-22. DOI:10.1080/03050068.2017.1360564. (In Press)

Feichtinger G, Fürnkranz-Prskawetz A, Seidl A, Simon C, & Wrzaczek S (2017). A bifurcation analysis of gender equality and fertility. Journal of Evolutionary Economics: 1-23. DOI:10.1007/s00191-017-0534-4. (In Press)

Goujon A, Jurasszovich S, & Potančoková M (2017). Religious Denominations in Vienna & Austria: Baseline Study for 2016-Scenarios until 2046. Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences

Muttarak R (2017). Moving Along the Belt and Road: Implications of China’s “One Belt, One Road” Strategies on Chinese Migration (沿“一帶一路”的移動:“一帶一路”戰略對中國人口遷移影響). Translocal Chinese: East Asian Perspectives 11 (2): 312-332. DOI:10.1163/24522015-01102007.

Schuck B & Steiber N (2017). Does Intergenerational Educational Mobility Shape the Well-Being of Young Europeans? Evidence from the European Social Survey. Social Indicators Research: 1-19. DOI:10.1007/s11205-017-1753-7.

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W. & Andruchowitz, S., eds. (2017). Moving Frontiers in Population Forecasting and Aging: Sergei Scherbov 65. Annotated Reprints of Key Publications. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. ISBN 978-3-7045-0153-0

Hoffmann R & Muttarak R (2017). Learn from the Past, Prepare for the Future: Impacts of Education and Experience on Disaster Preparedness in the Philippines and Thailand. World Development 96: 32-51. DOI:10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.02.016.

Marois G, Sabourin P, & Belanger A (2017). A Microsimulation Approach for Modelling the Future Human Capital of EU28 Member Countries. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-017

Ediev D (2017). Constrained Mortality Extrapolation to Old Age: An Empirical Assessment. European Journal of Population: 1-17. DOI:10.1007/s10680-017-9434-4. (In Press)

Lutz W (2017). Global Sustainable Development priorities 500 y after Luther: Sola schola et sanitate. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114 (27): 6904-6913. DOI:10.1073/pnas.1702609114.

Bordone V (2017). The Youthful Effect of Childcare Beyond Grandparenthood. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-013

Loichinger E, Hammer B, Prskawetz A, Freiberger M, & Sambt J (2017). Quantifying Economic Dependency. European Journal of Population 33 (3): 351–-380. DOI:10.1007/s10680-016-9405-1.

Qi W, Abel GJ, Muttarak R, & Liu S (2017). Circular visualization of China’s internal migration flows 2010–2015. Environment and Planning A: 1-4. DOI:10.1177/0308518X17718375. (In Press)

Arpino B, Bordone V, & Scherbov S (2017). Smoking, Education and the Ability to Predict Own Survival Probabilities: An Observational Study on US Data. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-012

Qi W, Muttarak R, & Abel G (2017). Bilateral Migration Measures. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-014

Barakat B & Crespo Cuaresma J (2017). Credit where credit is due: an approach to education returns based on Shapley values. Education Economics: 1-9. DOI:10.1080/09645292.2017.1343276.

Sanderson W, Scherbov S, & Gerland P (2017). Probabilistic Population Aging. PLoS ONE 12 (6): e0179171. DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0179171.

Barakat B (2017). Time is Money: Disentangling Higher Education Cost-Sharing and Commodification Through Deferred Graduate Retirement. Higher Education Policy: 1-19. DOI:10.1057/s41307-017-0054-8.

Jakobsson N, Muttarak R, & Schoyen MA (2017). Dividing the pie in the eco-social state: Exploring the relationship between public support for environmental and welfare policies. Environment and Planning C: Politics and Space: 1-27. DOI:10.1177/2399654417711448.

Al Zalak Z & Goujon A (2017). Assessment of the Data Quality in Demographic and Health Surveys in Egypt. Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences VID Working Paper 6/2017

Cheng YA & Loichinger E (2017). The Future Labor Force of an Aging Taiwan: The Importance of Education and Female Labor Supply. Population Research and Policy Review 36 (3): 441-466. DOI:10.1007/s11113-016-9423-z.

Muttarak R (2017). Potential Implications of China’s ‘One Belt, One Road’ Strategies on Chinese International Migration. Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences VID Working Paper 5/2017

Lutz W (2017). Studying the Demography of Sustainable Human Wellbeing: Empowered Life Years (ELY) as Sustainability Criterion. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-009

Muttarak R (2017). Demographic characteristics, including ethnic and religious affiliation and age composition, and vulnerability to natural hazards. In: Population-Environment Research Network Cyberseminar, “Culture, Beliefs and the Environment”, 15-19 May 2017. (In Press)

Yoo SH & Sobotka T (2017). Ultra-Low Fertility in Korea: The Role of Tempo Effect. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-008

Loichinger E & Prskawetz A (2017). Changes in economic activity: The role of age and education. Demographic Research 36: 1185-1208. DOI:10.4054/DemRes.2017.36.40.

Crespo Cuaresma J, Doppelhofer G, Huber F, & Piribauer P (2017). Human capital accumulation and long-term income growth projections for European regions. Journal of Regional Science DOI:10.1111/jors.12339. (In Press)

KC S, Speringer M, & Wurzer M (2017). Population projection by age, sex, and educational attainment in rural and urban regions of 35 provinces of India, 2011-2101: Technical report on projecting the regionally explicit socioeconomic heterogeneity in India. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-004

Sanderson W & Scherbov S (2017). Gender Inequality in Survival at Older Ages. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-002

Arimoto T, Barros LF, Bergmann M, Berkman PA, AL-Bulushi YBA, Colglazier WE, Copeland D, Chernukhin E, et al. (2017). A Global Network of Science and Technology Advice in Foreign Ministries. Science & Diplomacy (Submitted)

Lutz W & Muttarak R (2017). Forecasting societies’ adaptive capacities through demographic metabolism model. Nature Climate Change 7 (3): 177-184. DOI:10.1038/NCLIMATE3222.

Crespo Cuaresma J, Huber F, & Onorante L (2017). The macroeconomic effects of international uncertainty shocks. WU Vienna University of Economics and Business

Lutz W & Belanger A (2017). Demographic change and the drivers of future migration into Europe. Approach, methodology and work plan of the JRC/IIASA Centre of Expertise on Population and Migration. IIASA Report. Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA

Martin F & Crespo Cuaresma J (2017). Weighting schemes in global VAR modelling: a forecasting exercise. Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences 10 (1): 45-56. DOI:10.1007/s12076-016-0170-x.

KC S, Kiesewetter G, Pachauri S, Rao N, & Valin H (2017). SCHEMA, a crosscutting project: Accounting for Socioeconomic Heterogeneity in IIASA Models. In: IIASA Institutional Evaluation 2017, 27 February-1 March 2017, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

KC S, Speringer M, & Wurzer M (2017). Projection of subnational social heterogeneity in India. In: IIASA Institutional Evaluation 2017, 27 February-1 March 2017, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.

Lutz W, Belanger A, Loichinger E, Marois G, Sabourin P, & Sakdapolrak P (2017). EC-JRC/IIASA Centre of Expertise on Population and Migration. In: IIASA Institutional Evaluation 2017, 27 February-1 March 2017, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.



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Last edited: 05 April 2016

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