European climate and energy targets for 2030

For the EUCLIMIT Project ESM researchers contributed policy-related data and model results to illustrate the potential benefits and costs of various climate policies.

Hazy sun over sea © K. Platzer | IIASA

Hazy sun over sea

In 2013 the Environmental Resources and Development (ERD) researchers contributed data and model results to the EUCLIMIT project of the European Commission (EC).

The objective of EUCLIMIT is to support EC proposals for new climate and energy targets for 2030 by performing model-based scenario quantification, impact assessments, and policy option analysis for the new proposed Climate and Energy package and other climate-relevant policies in the EU.  

For EUCLIMIT, ESM researchers contributed data and model results to help policymakers understand not only future emissions, but also the potential benefits and costs of various climate policies.

Greenhouse gas emissions from the LULUCF sector were estimated using the GLOBIOM model and the Global Forest Model G4M.

Currently European land takes up more carbon than it emits, making it a net carbon sink. By 2030, however, carbon sequestration is expected to decline in line with agriculture and forestry sector development. 

Figure 1

Figure 1. EU28 LULUCF emissions until 2050 in MtCO2 for the Reference scenario.


References

[1] EC (2013). EU Energy, Transport and GHG Emissions Trends to 2050 Reference Scenario 2013.
[2] EC (2014). Impact Assessment: Accompanying the Communication A policy framework for climate and energy in the period from 2020 up to 2030.

Collaborators

European Commission (EC);
EuroCARE Bonn (CAPRI model);
NTUA Athens (PRIMES Model);
Mitigation of Air Pollution (MAG) Program, IIASA (GAINS model).


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Last edited: 30 June 2015

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