Uncertainty and Risk Assessment (URA)

ESM undertakes uncertainty and risk assessment in a number of areas related to ecosystems and land management

Detailed information on URA research can be found by clicking on any of the items below. Access to other ESM research areas is by clicking on the right-hand box on Ecosystems Services and Management 2012.   


Technology Diffusion under Uncertainty

The impact of uncertainty on the adoption of new technologies was studied in the framework of the EUFP7 project, PROSUITE, and the collaboration project with Norway, PURELEC. More

Negative Emissions Technologies

The ECONOMICS group focused on a complementary analysis of the impact of uncertainty, for example, the size of the carbon sink or biomass potential, on the optimal composition of a mitigation portfolio. More

Global Impact Assessment based on the new climate and socioeconomic scenarios (RCPs and SSPs)

ESM is participating in ISI-MIP, a community-driven modelling effort that aims to provide cross-sectoral global impact assessments, based on the newly developed  RCPs  and SSPs    More

Methodologies for the Development of Baselines and Adaptation Measures

ESM's operational model cluster was used for development of baselines and adaptation measures in high mountain ecosystems More

Improving Forest Fire Modeling in Europe

ESM and its partners have developed a fire model to analyze relationships between burned area, climate, and above-ground biomass in forest fires More


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Last edited: 07 November 2013

CONTACT DETAILS

Michael Obersteiner

Principal Research Scholar Exploratory Modeling of Human-natural Systems Research Group - Advancing Systems Analysis Program

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Phone: (+43 2236) 807 0 Fax:(+43 2236) 71 313