04 June 2019
Demographic changes are long-term, and they occur at a steady and predictable pace. Thus, building demographic scenarios may help evidence-based planning for the future. The Centre of Expertise on Population and Migration (CEPAM) Project, a collaboration between JRC and IIASA have produced a new report that makes projections for 2060 to understand the long-term impact for the EU of trends in fertility, mortality, migration, and changes in education levels and labour market participation. It analyses alternative scenarios that may limit or counteract the undesirable consequences of current trends.
At the event World Population Program Director Wolfgang Lutz and Vladimír Šucha, Director-General of the European Commission's Joint Research Centre, will present key report findings, followed by a high level panel discussion.
The report finds that:
Title: Demographic Scenarios for the EU - Migration, Population and Education
Date: 04 June 2019, 10 AM - 1 PM
Location: CDMA Atrium, Rue du Champ de Mars 21, Brussels
Registration: Registration is required
The Centre of Expertise on Population and Migration (CEPAM),is a collaboration between IIASA’s World Population Program and the JRC and was launched to provide comprehensive assessments of the drivers of possible future migration to Europe and study the implications of alternative future migration scenarios that could help to inform European policies from 2019 onwards. In 2018, CEPAM launched their first book presenting an essential background study for that work.
The book entitled "Demographic and human capital scenarios for the 21st century" was produced by IIASA together with the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre (JRC) under the leadership of Lutz. It examines potential future scenarios on population trends across the world, taking into account migration, fertility, mortality, education, and labor force participation. The work was conducted in the framework of CEPAM.
Last edited: 24 May 2019
Centre of Expertise on Population and Migration (CEPAM)
Lutz L, Goujon A, Samir KC, Stonawski M, Stilianakis N eds. (2018) Demographic and human capital scenarios for the 21st century. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union
Lucas PL, Hilderink HBM, Janssen PHM, KC S, van Vuuren DP, & Niessen L (2019). Future impacts of environmental factors on achieving the SDG target on child mortality—A synergistic assessment. Global Environmental Change 57: e101925. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.05.009.
Lutz W, Crespo Cuaresma J, Kebede E, Prskawetz A, Sanderson W, & Striessnig E ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5419-9498 (2019). Education rather than age structure brings demographic dividend. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences: e201820362. DOI:10.1073/pnas.1820362116.
Saikia N ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6735-6157 & Debbarma B (2019). The socioeconomic correlates of substance use among male adults in Northeast India. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health DOI:10.1016/j.cegh.2019.06.004. (In Press)
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