11 March 2019 - 13 March 2019
The goal of the Scenarios Forum is to bring together a diverse set of communities who are using or developing scenarios for use in climate change and sustainability analysis to exchange experiences, ideas, and lessons learned; to identify opportunities for synergies and collaboration; and to identify knowledge gaps for future research. By taking stock of progress and facilitating further scenario-related research, this meeting will inform the use of scenarios in the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). It will also help ensure a research base sufficient to inform future national and international assessments as well as policy initiatives, including the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
IIASA researchers Raya Muttarak and Erich Streissnig will contribute with recent studies to this meeting. Muttarak will give a presentation entitled "Forecasting societies’ adaptive capacities through a demographic metabolism model". In her research at IIASA, Muttarak focuses on the intersection of social inequality, differential vulnerability and environmental change. Her research has recently been published in Science and Nature Climate Change.
Striessnig will discuss spatial projections of age structured population in India. Striessnig’s work focuses on the development of multidimensional population projections, as well as their application to questions related to social transformation processes resulting from the demographic metabolism. The range of topics that he has been studying in this framework range from attitudes toward migration to European identity, and pro-environmental behavior. A large part of his work has also been dedicated to the analysis of how future changes in demographic composition will affect society’s adaptive capacities with respect to climate change. In his most recent project at IIASA Striessnig together with his colleagues, is working on the development of alternative indicators for sustainable well-being.
The Forum on Scenarios for Climate and Societal Futures fills the critical need for researchers from various communities to come together to share their experiences, progress, and plans. The Forum provides a key means of promoting integration across the climate modeling, integrated assessment, and impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability communities, as well as with additional research communities in the social, natural, and sustainability sciences. The Forum also aims to improve linkages among the research, assessment, and policy communities.
For more information please visit the event website.
Last edited: 11 December 2018
Forecasting Adaptive Capacity to Climate Change
The Demography of Sustainable Human Wellbeing
Lutz W & Muttarak R (2017). Forecasting societies’ adaptive capacities through demographic metabolism model. Nature Climate Change 7 (3): 177-184. DOI:10.1038/NCLIMATE3222.
Lutz W, Muttarak R, & Striessnig E (2014). Universal education is key to enhanced climate adaptation. Science 346 (6213): 1061-1062. DOI:10.1126/science.1257975.
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