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Nils Johnson’s main research interest is spatially-explicit modeling of sustainable energy transitions under long-term socio-economic and climatic change. His research combines techno-economic analysis, optimization, and geographic information systems (GIS) to explore how energy systems will need to transform to both mitigate and adapt to climate change. He has extensive experience with both spatially-explicit and global energy systems modeling and is currently developing a next-generation spatially-explicit energy systems model for evaluating how fine resolution phenomena, such as water resource constraints, might impact long-term energy transitions. He is one of the chief architects of the Integrated Solutions for Water, Energy, and Land (IS-WEL) project and is leading the development of the energy module of a new nexus assessment framework for identifying sustainable solutions for meeting the future water, energy, and land demands of both human and natural systems.
Dr. Johnson graduated with a doctorate in transportation technology and policy from the University of California, Davis (USA), Institute of Transportation Studies, in 2012. He also holds a Master of Forestry and Master of Environmental Management from the Nicholas School of the Environment at Duke University (USA), where he specialized in landscape ecology and geographic information systems (GIS).
Last update: 05-DEC-2016
Luderer G, Pietzcker RC, Carrara S, de Boer H-S, Fujimori S, Johnson N, Mima S, & Arent D (2017). Assessment of wind and solar power in global low-carbon energy scenarios: An introduction. Energy Economics 64: 542-551. DOI:10.1016/j.eneco.2017.03.027.
Johnson N, Strubegger M, McPherson M, Parkinson S, Krey V, & Sullivan P (2017). A reduced-form approach for representing the impacts of wind and solar PV deployment on the structure and operation of the electricity system. Energy Economics 64: 651-554. DOI:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.07.010.
Pietzcker RC, Ueckerdt F, Carrara S, Sytze de Boer H, Després J, Fujimori S, Johnson N, Kitous A, et al. (2017). System integration of wind and solar power in Integrated Assessment Models: A cross-model evaluation of new approaches. Energy Economics 24: 583-599. DOI:10.1016/j.eneco.2016.11.018.
Fricko O, Parkinson S, Johnson N, Strubegger M, van Vliet MTH, & Riahi K (2017). Energy Sector Adaptation in Response to Water Scarcity. In: IIASA Institutional Evaluation 2017, 27 February-1 March 2017, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
Fricko O, Havlik P, Rogelj J, Klimont Z, Gusti M, Johnson N, Kolp P, Strubegger M, et al. (2017). The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42: 251-267. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.004.
Bauer N, Calvin K, Emmerling J, Fricko O, Fujimori S, Hilaire J, Eom J, Krey V, et al. (2017). Shared Socio-Economic Pathways of the Energy Sector – Quantifying the Narratives. Global Environmental Change 42: 316-330. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.07.006.
Marangoni G, Tavoni M, Bosetti V, Borgonovo E, Capros P, Fricko O, Gernaat D E H J, Guivarch C, et al. (2017). Sensitivity of projected long-term CO2 emissions across the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Nature Climate Change 7 (2): 113-117. DOI:10.1038/nclimate3199.
Parkinson S, Johnson N, Rao N, Jones B, van Vliet M, Fricko O, Djilali N, Riahi K, et al. (2016). Climate and human development impacts on municipal water demand: A spatially-explicit global modeling framework. Environmental Modelling & Software 85: 266-278. DOI:10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.08.002.
Kyle P, Johnson N, Davies E, Bijl DL, Mouratiadou I, Bevione M, Drouet L, Fujimori S, et al. (2016). Setting the system boundaries of “energy for water” for integrated modeling. Environmental Science & Technology 50 (17): 8930-8931. DOI:10.1021/acs.est.6b01066.
Parkinson S, Djilali N, Krey V, Fricko O, Johnson N, Khan Z, Sedraoui K, & Almasoud AH (2016). Impacts of Groundwater Constraints on Saudi Arabia’s Low-Carbon Electricity Supply Strategy. Environmental Science & Technology 50 (4): 1653-1662. DOI:10.1021/acs.est.5b05852.
Fricko O, Parkinson S, Johnson N, Strubegger M, van Vliet MTH, & Riahi K (2016). Energy sector water use implications of a 2°C climate policy. Environmental Research Letters 11 (3): e034011. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034011.
Fricko O, Parkinson S, Johnson N, Strubegger M, van Vliet MTH, & Riahi K (2015). Energy Sector Adaptation in Response to Water Scarcity. In: Systems Analysis 2015 - A Conference in Celebration of Howard Raiffa, 11 -13 November, 2015, Laxenburg, Austria.
Kriegler E, Riahi K, Schwanitz VJ, Rao S, Johnson N, Krey V, & McCollum D (2015). A short note on integrated assessment modeling approaches: Rejoinder to the review of "Making or beaking climate targets - The AMPERE study staged accession scenarios for climate policy". Technological Forecasting and Social Change 99: 273-276. DOI:10.1016/.techfore.2015.07.011.
Bertram C, Johnson N, Luderer G, Riahi K, Isaac M, & Eom J (2015). Carbon lock-in through capital stock inertia associated with weak near-term climate policies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90 (Part A): 62-72. DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.001.
Eom J, Edmonds J, Krey V, Johnson N, Longden T, Luderer G, Riahi K, & van Vuuren DP (2015). The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90 (Part A): 73-88. DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.017.
Johnson N, Krey V, McCollum DL, Rao S, Riahi K, & Rogelj J (2015). Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90 (Part A): 89-102. DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.028.
Riahi K, Kriegler E, Johnson N, Bertram C, den Elzen M, Schaeffer M, Krey V, Luderer G, et al. (2015). Locked into Copenhagen pledges - Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90 (Part A): 8-23. DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.016.
Johnson N, Parker N, & Ogden J (2014). How negative can biofuels with CCS take us and at what cost? Refining the economic potential of biofuel production with CCS using spatially-explicit modeling. Energy Procedia: 6770-6791. DOI:10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.712.
Kriegler E, Riahi K, Petermann N, Bosetti V, Capros P, van Vuuren DP, Criqui P, Egenhofer C, et al. (2014). Assessing Pathways toward Ambitious Climate Targets at the Global and European levels: A Synthesis of Results from the AMPERE Project. AMPERE Project
Johnson N (2012). Detailed Spatial Modeling of Carbon Capture and Storage Infrastructure Deployment in the Southwestern United States. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
Krey V, Riahi K, Johnson N, Kolp P, Lutz W, KC S, Crespo Cuaresma J, Havlik P, et al. (2012). The new scenarios process – the way toward more integrated assessment of climate change. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
Noymer A, Carreon D, & Johnson Niall (2010). Questioning the salicylates and influenza pandemic mortality hypothesis in 1918-1919. Clinical Infectious Diseases 50 (8) DOI:10.1086/651472.
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