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Joeri Rogelj is a Research Scholar at the Energy Program of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), where he works on connecting insights from geoscience with energy modelling and climate policy. He has published on emission scenarios, carbon budgets, climate change uncertainty, implications of near-term policy choices, and on trade-offs and synergies between air-pollution and climate policies. His current projects focus on connecting the natural sciences to the policy realm, and include the study of extremely low emission scenarios, the simultaneous achievement of multiple sustainability objectives, and the exploration of approaches that can foster integration of knowledge across disciplines.
Dr. Rogelj first joined IIASA in 2011, as a participant of the Young Scientists Summer Program. He holds a PhD in climate science from ETH Zurich, Switzerland, and Master's degree in Engineering and Development Studies from KU Leuven, Belgium.
Before joining IIASA, he held research positions at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK, Germany) and as a post-doctoral researcher at ETH Zurich. Furthermore, his professional experience includes three years as a project engineer in the field of rural electrification and drinking water systems in Rwanda (Africa), among further stays in Colombia and Denmark.
Since their inception in 2010, Dr. Rogelj has served as a lead author on the annual UNEP Emissions Gap Reports; these are policy synthesis reports by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP for example). He also contributed to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), both to the tome on Physical Science (Working Group 1) and to the tome on Mitigation of Climate Change (Working Group 3), and was a member of the Extended Writing Team of the IPCC Synthesis Report. He continues to follow the UNFCCC climate negotiations as a scientific consultant for Climate Analytics.
He received the award for outstanding research for his Master's thesis from the Flanders Biomedical Society. Furthermore, in 2011 he received the Peccei Award for outstanding research performed during the IIASA Young Scientists Summer Program, and in 2014 he received the ETH Medal for his outstanding doctoral dissertation. In 2016, he was awarded the inaugural Piers Sellers Award for his world-leading contributions to solution-focused climate research.
A full list of his publications can be found on Google Scholar.
Last update: 05-JUL-2016
Millar R, Fuglestvedt J, Friedlingstein P, Rogelj J, Grubb M, Matthews HD, Skeie RB, Forster PM, et al. (2017). Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C. Nature Geoscience DOI:10.1038/ngeo3031. (In Press)
Rogelj J, Fricko O, Meinshausen M, Krey V, Zilliacus JJJ, & Riahi K (2017). Understanding the origin of Paris Agreement emission uncertainties. Nature Communications 8: e15748. DOI:10.1038/ncomms15748.
McCollum D, Gomez Echeverri L, Busch S, Pachauri S, Parkinson S, Rogelj J, Krey V, Riahi K, et al. (2017). Connecting the Sustainable Development Goals by their energy inter-linkages. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-17-006
James R, Washington R, Schleussner C-F, Rogelj J, & Conway D (2017). Characterizing half-a-degree difference: a review of methods for identifying regional climate responses to global warming targets. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 8 (2): e457. DOI:10.1002/wcc.457.
Cameron C, Pachauri S, Rao N, McCollum D, Rogelj J, & Riahi K (2017). Synergies and Trade-offs between Climate Mitigation and Universal Access to Clean Cooking Goals. In: IIASA Institutional Evaluation 2017, 27 February-1 March 2017, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
Fricko O, Havlik P, Rogelj J, Klimont Z, Gusti M, Johnson N, Kolp P, Strubegger M, et al. (2017). The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century. Global Environmental Change 42: 251-267. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.004.
Guivarch C & Rogelj J (2017). Carbon price variations in 2°C scenarios explored. Carbon Pricing Leadership Coalition
Riahi K, van Vuuren DP, Kriegler E, Edmonds J, O'Neill B, Fujimori S, Bauer N, Calvin K, et al. (2017). The shared socioeconomic pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42: 153-168. DOI:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009.
Robiou du Pont Y, Jeffery ML, Gütschow J, Rogelj J, Christoff P, & Meinshausen M (2017). Equitable mitigation to achieve the Paris Agreement goals. Nature Climate Change 7 (1): 38-43. DOI:10.1038/NCLIMATE3186.
Rockström J, Schellnhuber HJ, Hoskins B, Ramanathan V, Schlosser P, Brasseur GP, Gaffney O, Nobre C, et al. (2016). The world's biggest gamble. Earth's Future 4 (10): 465-470. DOI:10.1002/2016EF000392.
Schleussner CF, Rogelj J, Schaeffer M, Lissner T, Licker R, Fischer EM, Knutti R, Levermann A, et al. (2016). Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal. Nature Climate Change 6 (7): 1-9. DOI:10.1038/nclimate3096.
van Vuuren DP, van Soest H, Riahi K, Clarke L, Krey V, Kriegler E, Rogelj J, Schaeffer M, et al. (2016). Carbon budgets and energy transition pathways. Environmental Research Letters 11 (7): 075002. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/075002.
Rogelj J, den Elzen M, Höhne M, Franzen T, Fekete H, Winkler H, Schaeffer R, Sha F, et al. (2016). Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2°C. Nature 534: 631-639. DOI:10.1038/nature18307.
Schleussner C-F, Lissner TK, Fischer EM, Wohland J, Perrette Mahé, Golly A, Rogelj J, Childers K, et al. (2016). Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5°C and 2°C. Earth System Dynamics 7: 327-351. DOI:10.5194/esd-7-327-2016.
Millar R, Allen M, Rogelj J, & Friedlingstein P (2016). The cumulative carbon budget and its implications. Oxford Review of Economic Policy 32 (2): 323-342. DOI:10.1093/oxrep/grw009.
Rogelj J, Schaefer M, Friedlingstein P, Gillett N, van Vuuren D, Riahi K, Allen M, & Knutti R (2016). Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled. Nature Climate Change 6 (3): 245-252. DOI:10.1038/nclimate2868.
Cameron C, Pachauri S, Rao N, McCollum D, Rogelj J, & Riahi K (2016). Policy trade-offs between climate mitigation and clean cook-stove access in South Asia. Nature Energy 1: e15010. DOI:10.1038/nenergy.2015.10.
Knutti R, Rogelj J, Sedlacek J, & Fischer EM (2016). A scientific critique of the two-degree climate change target. Nature Geoscience 9 (1): 13-18. DOI:10.1038/ngeo2595.
Smith P, Davis SJ, Creutzig F, Fuss S, Rogelj J, McCollum D, Krey V, Grubler A, et al. (2016). Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions. Nature Climate Change 6 (1): 42-50. DOI:10.1038/nclimate2870.
Hallegatte S, Rogelj J, Allen M, Clarke L, Edenhofer O, Field CB, Friedlingstein P, van Kesteren L, et al. (2016). Mapping the climate change challenge. Nature Climate Change 6 (7): 663-668. DOI:10.1038/nclimate3057.
Jones CD, Ciais P, Davis SJ, Friedlingstein P, Gasser T, Peters GP, Rogelj J, van Vuuren DP, et al. (2016). Simulating the Earth system response to negative emissions. Environmental Research Letters 11 (9): e095012. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/095012.
Fawcett AA, Iyer GC, Clerke LE, Edmonds JA, Hultman NE, Mcjeon HC, Rogelj J, Schuler R, et al. (2015). Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change? Science 350 (6265): 1168-1169. DOI:10.1126/science.aad5761.
Knutti R & Rogelj J (2015). The legacy of our CO2 emissions: a clash of scientific facts, politics and ethics. Climatic Change 133 (3): 361-373. DOI:10.1007/s0584-015-1340-3.
Meinshausen M, Jeffrey L, Guetschow J, Du Pont YR, Rogelj J, Schaeffer M, Hohne N, den Elzen M, et al. (2015). National post-2020 greenhouse gas targets and diversity-aware leadership. Nature Climate Change 5: 1098-1106. DOI:10.1038/nclimate2826.
van Soest H, Reis LA, van Vuuren D, Bertram C, Drouet L, Jewell J, Kriegler E, Luderer G, et al. (2015). Regional low-emission pathways from global models. Nota di Lavoro 110.2015, Italy [December 2015]
Rogelj J, Schaeffer M, Meinshausen M, Knutti R, Alcamo J, Riahi K, & Hare W (2015). Zero emission targets as long-term global goals for climate protection. Environmental Research Letters 10 (10): no.105007. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/10/10/105007.
Rogelj J, Meinhausen M, Schaffer M, Knutti R, & Riahi K (2015). Impact of short-lived non-CO2 mitigation on carbon budgets for stabilizing global warming. Environmental Research Letters 10 (7): no.075001. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/10/7/075001.
Rogelj J, Reisinger A, McCollum DL, Knutti R, Riahi K, & Meinshausen M (2015). Mitigation choices impact carbon budget size compatible with low temperature goals. Environmental Research Letters 10 (7): no.075003. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/10/7/075003.
Rogelj J, Luderer G, Pietzcker RC, Kriegler E, Schaeffer M, Krey V, & Riahi K (2015). Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 degrees C. Nature Climate Change 5: 519-527. DOI:10.1038/nclimate2572.
Johnson N, Krey V, McCollum DL, Rao S, Riahi K, & Rogelj J (2015). Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 90 (Part A): 89-102. DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.028.
Rogelj J, Jewell J, & Riahi K (2015). Co-Benefits and Trade Offs of INDCs (chapter 3). In: Beyond the Numbers: Understanding the Transformation Induced by the INDCs. A report of the MILES Project Consortium. Eds. Spencer, T. & Pierfederici, R., pp. 51-58 Paris, France: IDDRI - MILES Project Consortium.
McCollum DL, Rogelj J, Krey V, & Riahi K (2014). The Emissions Gap Report 2014: A UNEP Synthesis Report. Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). ISBN 978-92-807-3413-1
Rogelj J, McCollum DL, Krey V, & Riahi K (2014). Chapter 2: What emission levels will comply with temperature limits? In: The Emissions Gap Report 2014: A UNEP Synthesis Report. Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP).
Rogelj J, Schaeffer M, Meinshausen M, Shindell DT, Hare W, Klimont Z, Velders GJM, Amann M, et al. (2014). Disentangling the effects of CO2 and short-lived climate forcer mitigation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (46): 16325-16330. DOI:10.1073/pnas.1415631111.
Friedlingstein P, Andrew RM, Rogelj J, Peters GP, Canadell JG, Knutti R, Luderer G, Raupach MR, et al. (2014). Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets. Nature Geoscience 7 (10): 709-715. DOI:10.1038/ngeo2248.
Rogelj J, Rao S, McCollum DL, Pachauri S, Klimont Z, Krey V, & Riahi K (2014). Air-pollution emission ranges consistent with the representative concentration pathways. Nature Climate Change 4 (6): 446-450. DOI:10.1038/nclimate2178.
Rogelj J, Meinshausen M, Sedlacek J, & Knutti R (2014). Implications of potentially lower climate sensitivity on climate projections and policy. Environmental Research Letters 9 (3): no.031003. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/031003.
Rogelj J (2013). Earth science: A holistic approach to climate targets. Nature 499 (7457): 160-161. DOI:10.1038/nature12406.
Rogelj J (2013). Turn Down the Heat: Climate Extremes, Regional Impacts and the Case for Resilience. Washington: International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank. ISBN 978-1-4648-0056-6
Rogelj J, McCollum DL, & Riahi K (2013). The UN's 'Sustainable Energy for All' initiative is compatible with a warming limit of 2 degrees C. Nature Climate Change 3 (6): 545-551. DOI:10.1038/nclimate1806.
Rogelj J, McCollum DL, Reisinger A, Meinshausen M, & Riahi K (2013). Integrating uncertainties for climate change mitigation. [[Geophysical Research Abstracts]], 15:EGU2013-1848
Hoehne N, Taylor C, Elias R, den Elzen M, Riahi K, Chen C, Rogelj J, Grassi G, et al. (2012). National GHG emissions reduction pledges and 2 degrees C: Comparison of studies. Climate Policy 12 (3): 356-377. DOI:10.1080/14693062.2011.637818.
Rogelj J, McCollum D, & O'Neill B (2012). Feasible 2020 emission windows for staying below 2°C ensuring consistency despite uncertainty. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
Rogelj J, Hare W, Lowe J, van Vuuren DP, Riahi K, Matthews B, Hanaoka T, Jiang K, et al. (2011). Emission pathways consistent with a 2 degree C global temperature limit. Nature Climate Change 1 (8): 413-418. DOI:10.1038/nclimate1258.
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