PASHMINA
was an effort to anticipate and model possible paradigm shifts in the economic, social, technological, and environmental spheres and to understand their implications. The project created a host of scenarios depicting major changes in energy supplies, agriculture, land use, transportation, and the environment. A central goal of PASHMINA was to avoid the historical tendency of seeing the future as a continuation of the past and instead envision a significantly different future.
IIASA’s economic, energy, and land use models (including GLOBIOM and BeWhere) were integrated with models used by other project consortium members and adapted to make long-range forecasts more sensitive to paradigm shifts. With better models detailing an array of scenarios, policymakers can better anticipate which options to choose and which to avoid.
Examining the trade-offs and the costs and benefits of different strategies is essential if scientists are to identify robust solutions to problems in the context of limited resources and a changing climate.
Further information on the PASHMINA project website.
COMPLETED - 31.10.2012
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Phone: (+43 2236) 807 0 Fax:(+43 2236) 71 313