Development and application of global economy-wide climate change modelling capacity to support EU policy preparation

In this project, analytical tools are used to analyse policy-relevant questions from the European Commission to inform them of developments in the field of energy policies and climate policies on a global scale.

Overview

More specifically, the focus of this project is on key trends with respect to economic development, energy policy, land use policy and climate policy at a global scale that may directly affect EU climate policies or indirectly, through impact on global energy flows or low-carbon technology developments.

The project uses a range of existing analytical tools to assess mitigation policies on a global scale with sufficient regional and national detail covering all sectors responsible for emissions of anthropogenic greenhouse gases. In addition to this, available analytical tools to improve the knowledge of existing and planned climate and energy policies on a global scale for many major emitting countries are applied. Finally, the project looks into the relationships between emission trends and proposed climate polices and long-term climate goals such as the likelihood of achieving the 2°C objective.

IIASA Research

Using the linked GLOBIOM and G4M models, IIASA will construct baseline and LULUCF/REDD+ policy scenarios. Two sets of baseline scenarios will be considered. The first set will be targeted at mimicking the historical approach to baseline construction by using information from past deforestation dynamics, while the second will be based on projected driver information. Costing of REDD+ policies will be analysed with special focus on their dependence on bio-energy production scenarios. 

Costs of mitigation policies will be quantified by the construction of classical MACCs for mitigation policies related to the land-use sector. These exact parametrisation of the MACCs will be harmonised with assumptions made by the FAIR and E3MG models in order to ensure consistency.

Moreover, IIASA will look into forest-related policies in individual countries and use GLOBIOM to assess potentials and costs of afforestation/deforestation and forest management.


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Last edited: 02 February 2016

CONTACT DETAILS

Petr Havlik

Deputy Program Director

Ecosystems Services and Management

T +43(0) 2236 807 511

Michael Obersteiner

Program Director

Ecosystems Services and Management

T +43(0) 2236 807 460

Timeframe

March 2012 - 28.02.2019

Research partner

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Phone: (+43 2236) 807 0 Fax:(+43 2236) 71 313