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Christian Folberth joined IIASA's Ecosystem Services and Management Program as a Research Scholar in November 2013. He received his BSc in Horticultural Sciences and MSc in Environmental Planning and Engineering Ecology from Technical University of Munich. For the latter, he investigated factors influencing the degradation of pesticides in soil samples under laboratory conditions and a method for estimating the bioavailability of pesticides in soils.
Subsequently, he conducted a PhD research project at the Swiss Federal institute of Aquatic Science and Technology (EAWAG) and ETH Zurich. The thesis dealt with large-scale modeling of climate change impacts on global crop yields, regionalization of the crop model for sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), and the assessment of different management practices for elevating yields and adapting to climate change in SSA. Additional research projects included climate change impacts on biofuel production in the USA, unbalanced fertilizer application in SSA, and the participation in the Intersectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP).
Dr. Folberth's research interests include bio-physical agricultural modeling, climate change impacts on agricultural production, and environmental quality related to agricultural production.
Last update: 19-NOV-2013
Balkovic J, Skalsky R, Folberth C, Khabarov N, Schmidt E, Madaras M, Obersteiner M, & van der Velde M (2018). Impacts and Uncertainties of +2°C of Climate Change and Soil Degradation on European Crop Calorie Supply. Earth's Future: 1-55. DOI:10.1002/2017EF000629. (In Press)
Lim C-H, Choi Y, Kim M, Lee S, Folberth C, & Lee W-K (2018). Spatially Explicit Assessment of Agricultural Water Equilibrium in the Korean Peninsula. Sustainability 10 (1): p. 201. DOI:10.3390/su10010201.
Frieler K, Schauberger B, Arneth A, Balkovic J, Chryssanthacopoulos J, Deryng D, Elliott J, Folberth C, et al. (2017). Understanding the weather signal in national crop-yield variability. Earth's Future 5 (6): 605-616. DOI:10.1002/2016EF000525.
Porwollik V, Müller C, Elliott J, Chryssanthacopoulos J, Iizumi T, Ray DK, Ruane AC, Arneth A, et al. (2017). Spatial and temporal uncertainty of crop yield aggregations. European Journal of Agronomy 88: 10-21. DOI:10.1016/j.eja.2016.08.006.
Müller C, Elliott J, Chryssanthacopoulos J, Arneth A, Balkovic J, Ciais P, Deryng D, Folberth C, et al. (2017). Global Gridded Crop Model evaluation: benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions 10: 1403-1422. DOI:10.5194/gmd-2016-207.
Keil L, Folberth C, Jedelhauser M, & Binder CR (2017). Time-Continuous Phosphorus Flows in the Indian Agri-Food Sector: Long-Term Drivers and Management Options. Journal of Industrial Ecology DOI:10.1111/jiec.12560. (In Press)
Schauberger B, Archontoulis S, Arneth A, Balkovic J, Ciais P, Deryng D, Eliott J, Folberth C, et al. (2017). Consistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models. Nature Communications 8: art.no.13931. DOI:10.1038/ncomms13931.
Folberth C, Elliott J, Müller C, Balkovic J, Chryssanthacopoulos J, Izaurralde RC, Jones CD, Khabarov N, et al. (2016). Uncertainties in global crop model frameworks: effects of cultivar distribution, crop management and soil handling on crop yield estimates. Biogeosciences Discussions: 1-30. DOI:10.5194/bg-2016-527. (In Press)
Liu B, Asseng S, Müller C, Ewert F, Elliott J, Lobell DB, Martre P, Ruane AC, et al. (2016). Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods. Nature Climate Change 6 (12): 1130-1136. DOI:10.1038/nclimate3115.
Pugh TAM, Müller C, Elliott J, Deryng D, Folberth C, Olin S, Schmid E, & Arneth A (2016). Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change. Nature Communications 7: e12608. DOI:10.1038/ncomms12608.
Liu W, Yang H, Folberth C, Wang X, Luo Q, & Schulin R (2016). Global investigation of impacts of PET methods on simulating crop-water relations for maize. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 221: 164-175. DOI:10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.02.017.
Deryng D, Elliott J, Folberth C, Müller C, Pugh TAM, Boote KJ, Conway D, Ruane AC, et al. (2016). Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity. Nature Climate Change 6 (4): 1-8. DOI:10.1038/NCLIMATE2995.
Azevedo L, Vadas PA, Balkovič J, Skalsky R, Folberth C, van der Velde M, & Obersteiner M (2016). Potential substitution of mineral P fertilizer by manure: EPIC development and implementation. In: European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2016, 17–22 April 2016, Vienna, Austria.
Folberth C, Skalsky R, Moltchanova E, Balkovic J, Azevedo L, Obersteiner M, & van der Velde M (2016). Uncertainty in soil data can outweigh climate impact signals in crop yield simulations. Nature Communications 7: art.no.11872. DOI:10.1038/ncomms11872.
Mueller C, Elliot J, Chryssanthacopoulos J, Deryng D, Folberth C, Pugh TAM, & Schmid E (2015). Implications of climate mitigation for future agricultural production. Environmental Research Letters 10 (12): no.125004. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125004.
Balkovič J, van der Velde M, Skalsky R, Xiong W, Folberth C, Khabarov N, Smirnov A, Mueller ND, et al. (2014). Global wheat production potentials and management flexibility under the representative concentration pathways. Global and Planetary Change 122: 107-121. DOI:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2014.08.010.
Folberth C, Yang H, Gaiser T, Liu J, Wang X, Williams J, & Schulin R (2014). Effects of ecological and conventional agricultural intensification practices on maize yields in sub-Saharan Africa under potential climate change. Environmental Research Letters 9 (4): no.044004. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/9/4/044004.
Balkovič J, van der Velde M, Skalsky R, Xiong W, Folberth C, Khabarov N, & Smirnov A (2014). Global wheat production potentials and management flexibility under the representative concentration pathways. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 16:EGU2014-5906
van der Velde M, Folberth C, Balkovič J, Ciais P, Fritz S, Janssens IA, Obersteiner M, See L, et al. (2014). African crop yield reductions due to increasingly unbalanced Nitrogen and Phosphorus consumption. Global Change Biology 20 (4): 1278-1288. DOI:10.1111/gcb.12481.
van der Velde M, Folberth C, Balkovič J, Ciais P, Fritz S, Janssens IA, Obersteiner M, See L, et al. (2014). African crop yield reductions due to increasingly unbalanced Nitrogen and Phosphorus consumption. [[Geophysical Research Abstracts]], 16:EGU2014-1209
Elliott J, Deryng D, Mueller C, Frieler K, Konzmann M, Gerten D, Glotter M, Flörke M, et al. (2014). Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (9): 3239-3244. DOI:10.1073/pnas.1222474110.
Piontek F, Mueller C, Pugh TAM, Clark DB, Deryng D, Elliott J, González FGC, Flörke M, et al. (2014). Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (9): 3233-3238. DOI:10.1073/pnas.1222471110.
Rosenzweig C, Elliott J, Deryng D, Ruane AC, Mueller C, Arneth A, Boote KJ, Folberth C, et al. (2014). Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (9): 3268-3273. DOI:10.1073/pnas.1222463110.
Dominguez-Faus R, Folberth C, Liu J, Jaffe AM, & Alvarez PJJ (2013). Climate change would increase the water intensity of irrigated corn ethanol. Environmental Science & Technology DOI:10.1021/es400435n.
Liu J, Folberth C, Yang H, Roeckstroem J, Abbaspour K, & Zehnder AJB (2013). A global and spatially explicit assessment of climate change impacts on crop production and consumptive water use. PLoS ONE 8 (2): e57750. DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0057750.
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