Geographically explicit biophysical models together with an integrated cluster of economic land-use models were coupled with regional climate models to assess and identify mitigation and adaptation strategies in European agriculture and forestry.
The role of distribution and pressures from socio-economic drivers was assessed in a geographically nested fashion. Crop/trees growth models operating on the plot level as well as on continental scales quantified a rich set of mitigation and adaptation strategies focusing on climatic extreme events. The robustness of response strategies to extreme events was further assessed with risk and uncertainty augmented farm/forest enterprise models. Bioenergy sources and pathways was assessed with grid level models in combination with economic energy-land-use models.
The results from the integrated CC-TAME model cluster was used to provide: quantitative assessments in terms of cost-efficiency and environmental effectiveness of individual land-use practices; competitive LULUCF mitigation potentials taking into account ancillary benefits, trade-offs and welfare impacts, and policy implications in terms of instrument design and international negotiations.
The proposed structure of the integrated CC-TAME model cluster allows IIASA, to provide an evaluation of policy options at a great level of detail for EU25(27) in a post-Kyoto regime, as well as to offer perspectives on global longer-term policy strategies in accordance with the principles and objectives of the UNFCCCC. Close interactions with policymakers and stakeholders ensured the policy relevance of CC-TAME results.
2008 - 2011
RESEARCH PARTNERS
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
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