Tatiana Ermolieva
Tatiana Ermolieva is a Research Scholar with the Land Use and Agriculture Program at IIASA. She has been affiliated with the Institute since 1997. In that year she won the (Swedish Insurance Society) Kjell Gunnarson's Risk Management Prize and an IIASA Peccei Award for her work on optimal decisions for coping with dependent catastrophic risks.
Dr. Ermolieva has a master's degree in applied mathematics with specialization in statistics, optimization, and economics from Kiev State University, the Ukraine, and a PhD dissertation on the topic of on-line constrained estimation and optimization of random fields.
Dr. Ermolieva's main research topics are analysis and modeling of complex socioeconomic, agricultural, environmental, and financial systems with explicit treatment of uncertainties, risks, extreme events, and spatial and temporal heterogeneities of regions and agents. She develops quantitative models and methods, including software and practical applications for designing strategies that ensure safe and robust system performance in the presence of uncertainties and risks, in particular of an extreme catastrophic nature.
Her activities within the LUC Program concern GIS-based modeling and optimization of regional developments, sustainable agriculture production planning and allocation. In particular, recent practical applications cover topics of spatially explicit crop and livestock production allocation and intensification under uncertainties and risks; outbreaks of livestock diseases; analysis of robust land use and financial strategies against climatic disasters, e.g., flood risks; spatial estimation, recovery, and downscaling of agricultural values from incomplete, uncertain, aggregate information; non-parametric approaches to data estimation and recovering; fast Monte Carlo optimization for insurance and mitigation of catastrophic losses; and discounting under catastrophic risks.
Last update: 26-SEP-2007
Amendola,A. Ermolieva,T. Linnerooth-Bayer,J. Mechler,R. (2013)
Integrated Catastrophe Risk Modeling: Supporting Policy Processes ... More
Fischer,G. Winiwarter,W. Cao,G.-Y. Ermolieva,T. Hizsnyik,E. Klimont,Z. Wiberg,D. Zheng,X.Y. (2012)
Implications of population growth and urbanization on agricultural risks in China ... More
Nowak,P. Romaniuk,M. Ermolieva,T. (2012)
Evaluation of portfolio of financial and insurance instruments: Simulation of uncertainty ... More
Fischer,G. Winiwarter,W. Ermolieva,T. Cao,G.-Y. van Velthuizen,H. Klimont,Z. Schoepp,W. van Veen,W. Wiberg,D. Wagner,F. (2012)
Sustainable agriculture in China: Estimation and reduction of nitrogen impacts ... More
Kiczko,A. Ermolieva,T. (2012)
Multiple-criteria decision support system for Siemianowka Reservoir under uncertainties ... More
Borodina,O. Borodina,E. Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Fischer,G. Makowski,M. van Velthuizen,H. (2012)
Sustainable agriculture, food security, and socio-economic risks in Ukraine ... More
Kyryzyuk,S. Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. (2011)
Planning sustainable agroproduction for food security under risks ... More
Qiu,H. Huang,J. Keyzer,M. van Ween,W. Rozelle,S. Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. (2011)
Biofuel development, food security and the use of marginal land in China ... More
Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Fischer,G. Jonas,M. Makowski,M. Wagner,F. (2011)
Carbon emission trading and carbon taxes under uncertainties ... More
Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Fischer,G. Jonas,M. Makowski,M. Wagner,F. (2010)
Carbon emission trading and carbon taxes under uncertainties ... More
Ermoliev,Y. Ermolieva,T. Fischer,G. Makowski,M. (2010)
Extreme events, discounting and stochastic optimization ... More
Fischer,G. Winiwarter,W. Ermolieva,T. Cao,G.-Y. Qui,H. Klimont,Z. Wiberg,D. Wagner,F. (2010)
Integrated modeling framework for assessment and mitigation of nitrogen pollution from agriculture: Concept and case study for China ... More
Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. Sun,L. (2010)
Planning sustainable agricultural development under risks ... More
Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Fischer,G. Makowski,M. (2010)
Induced discounting and risk management ... More
Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Fischer,G. Jonas,M. Makowski,M. (2010)
Cost effective and environmentally safe emission trading under uncertainty ... More
Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Jonas,M. Fischer,G. Makowski,M. (2010)
A model for robust emission trading under uncertainties ... More
Borodina,O. Borodina,E. Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Fischer,G. Makowski,M. van Velthuizen,H. (2010)
Integrated modeling approach to the analysis of food security and sustainable rural developments: Ukrainian case study ... More
Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Sun,L. (2009)
Risk-adjusted approaches for planning sustainable agricultural development ... More
Ermolieva,T. Makowski,M. Fischer,G. Ermoliev,Y. (2009)
Economic evaluation of dams for flood protection: An integrated safety approach ... More
Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Fischer,G. Makowski,M. (2009)
Integrated modeling for management of catastrophic risks: Spatial stochastic optimization model ... More
Compton,K.L. Faber,R. Ermolieva,T.Y. Linnerooth-Bayer,J. Nachtnebel,H.-P. (2009)
Uncertainty and Disaster Risk Management: Modeling the Flash Flood Risk to Vienna and Its Subway System ... More
Ermoliev,Y. Ermolieva,T. Makowski,M. (2009)
Effective coping with uncertainties in evaluation of the compliance to international treaties (Abstract) ... More
Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Fischer,G. Jonas,M. Makowski,M. Wagner,F. (2009)
Carbon emissions trading and carbon taxes under uncertainties (Abstract) ... More
Liu,S. Han,L. Ermoliev,Y. Ermolieva,T. (2009)
Catastrophe bond pricing based on behavior model ... More
Ermolieva,T. Winiwarter,W. Fischer,G. Cao,G.-Y. Klimont,Z. Schoepp,W. Li,Y. Asman,W.A.H. (2009)
Integrated Nitrogen Management in China ... More
Yarovyy,V. Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. (2008)
Land pricing mechanisms for sustainable agricultural land use planning in Ukraine ... More
Fischer,G. Cao,G.-Y. Ermolieva,T. Sun,L. (2008)
Urbanization and livestock production projection: An approach to healthy and environmental risks ... More
Ermolieva,T.Y. Sergienko,I.V. (2008)
Catastrophe risk management for sustainable development of regions under risks of natural disasters ... More
Ermoliev,Y. Ermolieva,T. Fischer,G. Makowski,M. Nilsson,S. Obersteiner,M. (2008)
Discounting, catastrophic risks management and vulnerability modeling ... More
Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. (2008)
Problems of decision making in agriculture under risks and uncertainties ... More
Ermoliev,Y. Ermolieva,T. Jonas,M. Makowski,M. Fischer,G. (2008)
Emission trading under uncertainties ... More
Ermoliev,Y. Ermolieva,T.Y. Makowski,M. (2008)
Scientific Bridge Building under Uncertainty ... More
Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. (2008)
Decision making under risks and uncertainties in agriculture ... More
Ermoliev,Y. Ermolieva,T. Jonas,M. Makowski,M. Fischer,G. (2008)
Robust emission trading schemes under uncertainties ... More
Compton,K.L. Faber,R. Ermolieva,T. Linnerooth-Bayer,J. Nachtnebel,H.-P. (2008)
Development of a Catastrophe Model for Managing the Risks of Urban Flash Flooding in Vienna ... More
Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Fischer,G. Makowski,M. (2007)
Catastrophic risks, vulnerability, and land use ... More
Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Sun,L. (2007)
Integrated risk management approaches for planning sustainable agriculture ... More
Ermolieva,T. Romaniuk,M. Makowski,M. (2007)
Integrated model-based decision support for management of weather-related agricultural losses ... More
Ermolieva,T. Jonas,M. Ermoliev,Y. Makowski,M. (2007)
The difference between deterministic and probabilistic detection of emission changes: Toward the use of the probabilistic verification time concept ... More
Makowski,M. Ermolieva,T. Jonas,M. Ermoliev,Y. Fischer,G. (2007)
Stochastic techniques for the design of robust and efficient emission trading mechanisms ... More
Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Fischer,G. Makowski,M. (2007)
Induced Discounting and Risk Management ... More
Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. van Velthuizen,H.T. (2006)
Livestock production planning under environmental risks and uncertainties ... More
Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. van Velthuizen,H.T. (2006)
Spatial recovering of agricultural values from aggregate information: Sequential downscaling methods ... More
Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. van Velthuizen,H.T. (2006)
Sequential downscaling methods for estimation from aggregate data ... More
O'Neill,B.C. Ermoliev,Y. Ermolieva,T. (2006)
Endogenous risks and learning in climate change decision analysis ... More
Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. (2006)
Land use, vulnerability and catastrophes ... More
Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. van Velthuizen,H.T. (2006)
Sequential Downscaling Methods for Estimation from Aggregate Data ... More
Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. van Velthuizen,H.T. (2006)
Spatial Recovering of Agricultural Values from Aggregate Information: Sequential Downscaling Methods ... More
Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. Norkin,V.I. (2006)
Economic Growth Under Shocks: Path Dependencies and Stabilization ... More
Romaniuk,M. Ermolieva,T. (2005)
Application of EDGE software and simulations for integrated catastrophe management ... More
Romaniuk,M. Ermolieva,T. (2005)
Application EDGE software and simulations for integrated catastrophe management ... More
Ermolieva,T. (2005)
Simulation-based optimization of social security systems under uncertainty ... More
Ermoliev,Y. Ermolieva,T. Norkin,V.I. (2005)
Economic growth under shocks: path dependencies and stabilization ... More
Amendola,A. Ermoliev,Y. Ermolieva,T. (2005)
Catastrophe risk management: vulnerability and equity ... More
Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. (2005)
Catastrophic risk management: flood and seismic risks case studies ... More
Ermolieva,T. Fischer,G. van Velthuizen,H.T. (2005)
Livestock Production and Environmental Risks in China. Scenarios to 2030 ... More
Koenig,M. Schentz,H. Schleidt,K. Jonas,M. Ermolieva,T. (2005)
Continuation and Further Development of the MEDEA Event Data Base ... More
Koenig,M. Schentz,H. Schleidt,K. Ermolieva,T.Y. Jonas,M. (2005)
Weiterfuehrung und Ausbau von MEDEA and MEDEA V1.1 Handbuch (Continuation and Expansion of MEDEA and MEDEA V1.1 Handbook) ... More
Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. van Velthuizen,H.T. (2005)
Spatial recovering of agricultural values from aggregate information: Sequential downscaling methods ... More
O'Neill,B.C. Ermoliev,Y. Ermolieva,T. (2005)
Endogenous Risks and Learning in Climate Change Decision Analysis ... More
Ermolieva,T. Obersteiner,M. (2005)
Global Change, Catastrophic Risks and Sustained Economic Growth: Model-based Analysis ... More
Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. (2005)
Catastrophic Risk Management: Flood and Seismic Risks Case Studies ... More
Ermolieva,T. Obersteiner,M. (2004)
Abrupt climate change: Lessons from integrated catastrophic risks management ... More
Romaniuk,M. Ermolieva,T. (2004)
Pricing of catastrophic bonds: Application of simulation methods ... More
MacKellar,F.L. Ermolieva,T.Y. Horlacher,D. Mayhew,L.D. (2004)
The Economic Impacts of Population Ageing in Japan ... More
Fischer,G. Ermolieva,T. van Velthuizen,H.T. Ermoliev,Y. (2004)
On Sequential Downscaling Methods for Spatial Estimation of Production Values and Flows ... More
Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Fischer,G. Galambos,I. (2003)
The role of financial instruments in integrated catastrophic flood management ... More
Koenig,M. Schentz,H. Weigl,J. Ermolieva,T. Jonas,M. (2003)
Ereignis-Datenbank fuer meteorologische Extremereignisse - MEDEA (Event Database for Meteorological Extreme Events - MEDEA) ... More
Ermolieva,T.Y. Ermoliev,Y.M. Hepburn,C. Nilsson,S. Obersteiner,M. (2003)
Coping with regional vulnerability: Implications of induced discounting ... More
Ermolieva,T.Y. Ermoliev,Y.M. Hepburn,C. Nilsson,S. Obersteiner,M. (2003)
Induced Discounting and Its Implications to Catastrophic Risk Management ... More
Ermolieva,T.Y. Fischer,G. Obersteiner,M. (2003)
Integrated Modeling of Spatial and Temporal Heterogeneities and Decisions Induced by Catastrophic Events ... More
Ermolieva,T.Y. Obersteiner,M. (2003)
Abrupt Climate Change: Lessons from Integrated Catastrophic Risk Management ... More
Ermolieva,T. Ermoliev,Y. Linnerooth-Bayer,J. Vari,A. Amendola,A. (2002)
Design of Flood-loss Sharing Programs in the Upper Tisza Region, Hungary: A dynamic multi-agent adaptive Monte Carlo approach ... More
Compton,K.L. Ermolieva,T.Y. Linnerooth-Bayer,J. (2002)
Integrated flood risk management for urban infrastructure: Managing the flood risk to Vienna's heavy rail mass rapid transit system ... More
Ermolieva,T.Y. (2002)
Optimization of Social Security Systems Under Uncertainty ... More
Baranov,S. Digas,B.V. Ermolieva,T.Y. Rozenberg,V.L. (2002)
Earthquake Risk Management: A Scenario Generator ... More
Ermoliev,Y. Ermolieva,T. MacDonald,G.J. Norkin,V.I. (2001)
Problems of catastrophic risks insurance ... More
Ermolieva,T.Y. MacKellar,F.L. Westlund,A. (2001)
On long-term forecasting of social security: A robustness analysis ... More
Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. MacDonald,G.J. Norkin,V.I. (2001)
Optimization of catastrophic risk processes ... More
Ermolieva,T.Y. MacKellar,F.L. Westlund,A. (2001)
Robustness to stochastic shocks of alternative old-age pension arrangements: Macroeconomic stability ... More
Ermolieva,T.Y. Ermoliev,Y.M. Linnerooth-Bayer,J. Galambos,I. (2001)
The role of financial instruments in integrated catastrophic flood management ... More
Amendola,A. Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. (2001)
Earthquake risk management: A case study for an Italian region ... More
Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. MacDonald,G.J. Norkin,V.I. (2001)
Catastrophic risk management and economic growth ... More
Rozenberg,V.L. Ermolieva,T.Y. Blizorukova,M. (2001)
Modeling Earthquakes via Computer Programs ... More
Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. MacDonald,G.J. Norkin,V.I. (2000)
Stochastic optimization of insurance portfolios for managing exposure to catastrophic risks ... More
Amendola,A. Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. Gitis,V. Koff,G. Linnerooth-Bayer,J. (2000)
A systems approach to modeling catastrophic risk and insurability ... More
Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. MacDonald,G.J. Norkin,V.I. Amendola,A. (2000)
A systems approach to management of catastrophic risks ... More
Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. MacDonald,G.J. Norkin,V.I. (2000)
Insurability of catastrophic risks: The stochastic optimization model ... More
Westlund,A. Ermolieva,T.Y. MacKellar,F.L. (2000)
Analysis and forecasting of social security: A study of robustness ... More
Amendola,A. Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. (2000)
Earthquake risk management: A case study for an Italian region ... More
Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. MacDonald,G.J. Norkin,V.I. (2000)
Catastrophic risk management and economic growth ... More
Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. MacDonald,G.J. Norkin,V.I. (2000)
Catastrophic Risk Management and Economic Growth ... More
MacKellar,L. Ermolieva,T. Westlund,A. (2000)
A Social Security Forecasting and Simulation Model ... More
Amendola,A. Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. Gitis,V. Koff,G. Linnerooth-Bayer,J. (2000)
A Systems Approach to Modeling Catastrophic Risk and Insurability ... More
Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. MacDonald,G.J. Norkin,V.I. (2000)
Insurability of Catastrophic Risks: The Stochastic Optimization Model ... More
Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. MacDonald,G.J. Norkin,V.I. Amendola,A. (2000)
A Systems Approach to Management of Catastrophic Risks ... More
MacKellar,F.L. Freeman,P.K. Ermolieva,T.Y. (1999)
Estimating natural catastrophic risk exposure and the benefits of risk transfer in developing countries ... More
Ermolieva,T.Y. MacKellar,F.L. Westlund,A. (1999)
Robustness to stochastic shocks of alternative old-age pension arrangements: Macroeconomic stability ... More
Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. MacDonald,G.J. Norkin,V.I. (1999)
Optimization of catastrophic risk portfolios ... More
Westlund,A. Ermolieva,T.Y. MacKellar,F.L. (1999)
Analysis and forecasting of social security: A study of robustness ... More
MacKellar,L. Ermolieva,T. Reisen,H. (1999)
Globalization, Social Security, and International Transfers ... More
Ermolieva,T. MacKellar,L. Westlund,A. (1999)
Robustness to Stochastic Shocks of Alternative Old-Age Pension Arrangements: Macroeconomic Stability ... More
MacKellar,L. Ermolieva,T. (1999)
The IIASA Social Security Reform Project Multiregional Economic-Demographic Growth Model: Policy Background and Algebraic Structure ... More
Westlund,A. Ermolieva,T. MacKellar,L. (1999)
Analysis and Forecasting of Social Security: A Study of Robustness ... More
Ermoliev,Y.M. Ermolieva,T.Y. MacDonald,G.J. Norkin,V.I. (1998)
On the Design of Catastrophic Risk Portfolios ... More
Ermolieva,T.Y. Ermoliev,Y.M. Norkin,V.I. (1997)
On the role of advanced modeling in managing catastrophic risks ... More
Ermolieva,T.Y. (1997)
The Design of Optimal Insurance Decisions in the Presence of Catastrophic Risks ... More
Ermolieva,T.Y. Ermoliev,Y.M. Norkin,V.I. (1997)
Spatial Stochastic Model for Optimization Capacity of Insurance Networks Under Dependent Catastrophic Risks: Numerical Experiments ... More
Curriculum Vitae