ASA Projects


Cross-cutting research

Dynamic vegetation models: the next generation

Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs) are invaluable for understanding the biosphere. However, as currently implemented by the international research community, these models suffer from a challenging accumulation of uncertainty. This project aims to address this problem by developing the foundations of a new generation of models centered on a “missing law” – adaptation and optimization principles rooted in natural selection. More

Systemic Risk and Network Dynamics

The Systemic Risk and Network Dynamics project will examine how different types of systems, ranging from financial to ecological and beyond, are at risk of cascades of failures. As well as assessing this risk, this cross-cutting project will develop tools to help prevent such events. More

Future initiatives

Challenges and Opportunities of Economic Integration within a Wider European and Eurasian Space

The international research project “Challenges and Opportunities of Economic Integration within a Wider European and Eurasian Space” focuses on plausible futures of economic cooperation in the Greater Eurasian space and interplay between different integration processes in the region. A particular specific aim of the project is to analyze the potential and conditions for the creation of a common economic space between the European Union (EU) and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU). More

System Analysis Forum projects

Economic migration, capital flows, and welfare

This research project funded through the Systems Analysis Forum (SAF) aims to better understand the interaction between labour flows and capital flows in an economy. This work will help to improve the assessment of welfare dynamics and evaluate policies that can lead to higher levels of economic welfare.  More

Navigating the Pareto front: Understanding economic – environmental tradeoffs under value diversity among stakeholders

This research project funded through the IIASA’s Systems Analysis Forum (SAF) explores methods of finding efficient, consensus-enabling solutions reconciling competing goals of diverse agents with potentially unequal bargaining positions. More

Simulation Games as New Methods for Understanding Stakeholder Interaction and Decision-Making in Complex Systems

A research project which uses social simulation as a new method to examine stakeholder cognition and interaction, and explores how gaming-based empirical observations may be used in quantitative analysis. More

Externally funded projects 

Middle East North African Sustainable Electricity Trajectories (MENA Select)

This project investigates the socio-economic impacts, risks and opportunities, and potential for conflict, of different electricity scenarios and power production technologies in several countries within the MENA region. More

Linking Climate Change Mitigation, Energy Security and Regional Development in Climate and Energy Model regions in Austria (LINKS)

Focusing specifically on Austria's 'model regions', the project aims to provide insights into the implementation of the Austrian government’s previous target to become energy self-sufficient by 2050. More

Co-Inform

Co-Inform project deals with the phenomena of misinformation and its impact on decision-making processes. Misinformation is a common problem for all media but it is especially exacerbated in the digital social media due to the speed and ease with which it can spread. More

Integrated Modeling of Robust Solutions for Food, Energy, and Water Security Management

The project, which provides policy advice to Ukraine, investigates how the complex linkages and differences between agriculture, energy, and water security can be sustainably developed and coordinated at both the spatial and temporal scales, given the potential systemic risks involved. More

EconTrans

EconTrans takes an innovative integrated approach to address challenges that are deeply interlinked: reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and coping with fundamental transformations triggered by disruptive technologies. The spatial focus of EconTrans is on Austria, while its emissions perspective and policy embedding is globally consistent. More

Platform Value Now

The Platform Value Now project funded by Finland’s Strategic Research Council focuses on understanding the fast emerging platform economic ecosystems, their value creation dynamics and requirements of the supportive institutional environment. It analyzes economic ecosystems with systems tools and develop new methods for platform-centric economic ecosystems management. More

Optimal Research and Extraction Policy Towards a Backstop Technology

This project contributes to the theory of optimal control and to the literature on endogenous economic growth. In pursuit of this dual aim the project  contains a theoretical part that develops a methodology for finding approximate solutions to the type of optimization problem formulated above and an applied part in which this methodology is used to find an optimal allocation of labor and exhaustible resource in a model of endogenous growth constrained by a non-renewable resource. More

Knowledge Based Climate Mitigation Systems for a Low Carbon Economy (COMPLEX)

The transition to a low carbon economy by 2050 will involve irreversible step-changes in the cultural, economic and natural domains. COMPLEX develops new modelling tools and decision-support systems to support communities across Europe working to make the transition to a low-carbon economy. More

Agent-based Modeling for Korean Strategic Foresight

This project jointly run by STEPI (Science and Technology Policy Institute, Seoul, Korea) and ASA, IIASA aims to provide foresight into possible consequences of several major shocks which may hit the economy of South Korea.   More

Energy Efficiency and Risk Management in Public Buildings (EnRiMa)

Within this EU-funded project, a dynamic stochastic optimization model was proposed to support robust management of energy provision in public buildings. More

Structural Change of the Finnish Economy – a Systems Approach

The research initiative aims at increasing the systemic understanding about the impact of global trends and unforeseeable shocks on the Finnish national economy and regional economies as well as producing science-based tools for practical policy planning, which will support sustainable regional growth in the volatile global environment; such planning that minimizes the need for the special corrective actions in the future and that maximizes the sustainability of regions. More

Open Source Model for Analyzing Austria’s Transition to a Low Carbon Society by 2050 – a Research Plan (ClimTrans2050)

ClimTrans2050 addresses the requirement to design and implement mitigation and adaptation measures to meet very long term greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction commitments. More

KIRAS Project: Resilience, Social Networks, and Austrian Security

Monitoring resilience – Development of a software-supported method for the network-based analysis and measurement of social cohesion and resilience of critical systems using Austria as an example The inevitability of surprises is a key feature in systems thinking, and the ability to persist through disturbances is a function of resilience. This project links resilience concepts from diverse scientific disciplines to develop a measure of resilience for Austria’s critical systems. More

Integrated Analysis and Modeling of Land Use Efficiency and Security under Rapid Agricultural Transformation due to Urban-Rural Dynamics in China

This joint project of the National Science Foundation of China (NSFC) and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) develops an integrated methodology for investigating the interplay between urban development and ecological stress in rural mountain areas in China. More

Spatio-temporal Uncertainty Assessment of GHG Emission Inventories with the Specific Focus on Austria and Ukraine

The focus of this 2-year research is on learning, more specifically, on the spatio-temporal assessment of uncertainty in GHG emission inventories and how our knowledge increases in terms of predictability across space and time, and whether our insights into learning will eventually allow to better handle (reduce?) uncertainty in prognostic emission scenarios or, more generally, scenarios of global change. More

International Foresight Academy

The International Foresight Academy is the first organization to bind together Foresight activities around the globe and from contrasting cultural and political contexts. As the Mapping Report of the European Foresight Monitoring Network (2009) has documented, Foresight is used differently in various regions of the world. Foresight activities vary according to sponsors and customers, meth- ods used, topics explored, actors involved etc. They vary also with regard to their functions in political strategy formulation of modern democracies. More

Optimization of Resource Productivity for Sustainable Economic Development

This research project focuses on analysis of resource productivity as one of the major drivers of economic growth, closely associated with environmental pressures and playing an increasingly significant role in Asia and in Latin America.  More

Toward Handling Uncertainty in Prognostic Scenarios: Advanced Learning from the Past (Prognostic Uncertainty)

The objective of this 1-year, call-winning proposal is to advance our insights in retrospective learning in order to better handle (reduce?) uncertainty in prognostic scenarios; in particular, to provide a reference (standard), which is readily understandable and which prognostic modelers can use in order to inform experts as well as non-experts about the “predictive” power, and its limitation, of their models. To our knowledge, such a reference is not applied at all. More

Exploratory Topics

National Systems Mapping of Well-being

Well-being as the highest policy priority of any nation: a systems analysis. Well-being, happiness, quality of life or life satisfaction are the ultimate goals of any human, regardless of status, profession, wealth, religion, or nationality. So far, however, there is no "policy" for happiness in any country; rather, well-being is an emerging property of the national economic and social systems. The question then becomes: How can policymakers leverage the national subsystems and their interactions to increase well-being of all? The answer to this question is surely not simple, but one where systems analysis is a suitable methodology. ASA researchers explore this issue at ASA in partnership with relevant institutions.  More

Artificial World for Forecasting (Dream Valley)

The Project develops a cross-disciplinary modeling and assessment framework. It consists of two parts: Dream Valley simulator and A3 framework. The Dream Valley simulator simulates complex dynamical systems, while the A3 framework implements and tests methods for forecasting their future behaviors.  More


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Last edited: 17 December 2018

CONTACT DETAILS

Elena Rovenskaya

Program Director

Advanced Systems Analysis

Acting Program Director

Evolution and Ecology

T +43(0) 2236 807 608

PUBLICATIONS

Eker S ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2264-132X, Rovenskaya E, Langan S ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0742-3658, & Obersteiner M ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769 (2019). Model validation: A bibliometric analysis of the literature. Environmental Modelling & Software 117: 43-54. DOI:10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.03.009.

Kellett CM, Weller SR, Faulwasser T, Grüne L, & Semmler W (2019). Feedback, dynamics, and optimal control in climate economics. Annual Reviews in Control DOI:10.1016/j.arcontrol.2019.04.003. (In Press)

Fath BD ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9440-6842, Asmus H, Asmus R, Baird D, Borrett SR, de Jonge VN, Ludovisi A, Niquil N, et al. (2019). Ecological network analysis metrics: The need for an entire ecosystem approach in management and policy. Ocean & Coastal Management 174: 1-14. DOI:10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.03.007.

Baris I, Hosseini AS, Denigris S, Hal O, Staab S, Mensio M, Young O, Shah SI, et al. (2019). Co-Creation of Misinformation Management Policies. University of Koblenz-Landau

Kyza E, Varda C, Panos D, Karapanos E, Konstantinou L, Karageorgiou M, Ekenberg L ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0665-1889, Komendantova N ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2568-6179, et al. (2019). Co-Creating Misinformation-Resilient Societies. Cyprus University of Technology

Eker S ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2264-132X, Reese G, & Obersteiner M ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6981-2769 (2019). A widespread shift to sustainable diets requires rapid risk perception. In: Global Sustainable Development Goals in a Mediatized World, 4-5 April 2019, Vienna, Austria.

Klimek P, Poledna S, & Thurner S (2019). Quantifying economic resilience from input–output susceptibility to improve predictions of economic growth and recovery. Nature Communications 10 (1): e1677. DOI:10.1038/s41467-019-09357-w.

Komendantova N ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2568-6179, Schinko T ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1156-7574, & Patt A (2019). De-risking policies as a substantial determinant of climate change mitigation costs in developing countries: Case study of the Middle East and North African region. Energy Policy 127: 404-411. DOI:10.1016/j.enpol.2018.12.023.

Nascimento A, Rovenskaya E, Ermolieva T, & Hunt J ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1840-7277 (2019). Pollution optimization by means of “N load permit” trade along Farming activities: a new approach aiming sustainability. In: Global Sustainable Development Goals in a Mediatized World, 4-5 April 2019, Vienna, Austria.

Pinheiro Y, Vieira L, Nascimento A, Santos F, Mathias M, Thonhauser G, Elmgerbi A, & Hunt J ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1840-7277 (2019). Conception of a Web Operation System for Processing Petroleum Related Drilling Data: A Focus on Pre-Salt Real-Time Automation and Optimization. Journal of Software Engineering and Applications 12 (04): 61-71. DOI:10.4236/jsea.2019.124005.

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