22 November 2016 - 23 November 2016
IIASA, Wodak room
Through the six workshops which already took place in the framework of the project, the participants - more than 200 recognized scientists, experts, stakeholders and policy-makers from numerous countries and organizations, including the representatives of the European Commission and the Eurasian Economic Commission, - addressed such key themes as methodologies for modeling of trade-related issues, as well as, trade policies and their possible impacts, non-tariff barriers to trade and technical regulations, energy (oil and gas, electric power), transport infrastructure, as well as labor markets and migration. This workshop drew substantive, as well as methodological conclusions and discuss possible extensions.
Overall, this IIASA activity intended to provide the scientific underpinnings for potential policy ideas and solutions for the development of a future sustainable economic cooperation between the European Union, the Eurasian Economic Union, and their neighbors – Eastern Partnership, Central Asian, and other countries of the region. We aimed to prepare scientifically well-grounded analyses, options and policy recommendations for potential cooperation to be ready by the time when the political situation will settle down and the conditions to turn these hypothetical scenarios into real ones will be in place.
Research Project ‘Challenges and Opportunities of Economic Integration within a wider European and Eurasian Space’
Phase I has enabled assembling useful information and revealed important lessons. IIASA and its partner institutions take a long view regarding the EU-EAEU cooperation. In the current politically unfavorable circumstances, we have succeeded to bring together officials and experts from the EU, EAEU and neighboring countries in a constructive dialogue, seeking to prepare a mutually agreed ground for future initiatives, which, as soon as the political context improves sufficiently, will support transition to the implementation of the Lisbon-to-Vladivostok concept. This would be based on the science-based evidence concerning the rebuilding the damaged economic relations between the EU and Russia. Due to the sheer scope of related issues, the discussion on an anticipated agreement, or set of agreements, could be referred to as a “mega deal”.
As the importance of various aspects is likely to be different for the two sides, the mutual concessions and compromises would be necessarily interconnected. In particular, due to its current prevailing export structure, the EAEU might be interested not merely in a free trade agreement per se, but in a comprehensive agreement with the EU, going beyond a pure FTA. It is probable that such a deep cooperation cannot be established in one step, rather it would be built gradually, in several stages.
The deliberations of the initial screening discussions and preliminary policy ideas stemming from the series of IIASA workshops held during 2014–2016 covers the following domains:
Another topic concerns the future of trade and economic relations between the EU, the EAEU and Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia, the three states that have already concluded AA/DCFTAs with the EU. The development of EU EAEU relations will require the opening of constructive negotiations on a fair trade policy between the three DCFTA signatory states and the EAEU, with the participation of the EU to ensure the compatibility of the EU EAEU cooperation deals with the respective DCFTAs.
Last edited: 13 December 2016
Eurasian Economic Integration
Vinokurov E, Balás P, Emerson M, Havlik P, Pereboev V, Rovenskaya E, Stepanova A, Kofner J, et al. (2016). Challenges and Opportunities of Economic Integration within a Wider European and Eurasian Space. Synthesis Report. In: Challenges and Opportunities of Economic Integration within a Wider European and Eurasian Space, IIASA, Laxenburg.
Vinokurov E & Pereboyev V (2016). Mapping The Potential EU-EAEU Cooperation Agenda:readmission agreements, visa-free regime, labour migration, mobility of pensions, large-scale educational exchanges, recognition of professional diplomas and certificates. IIASA Working Paper. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria: WP-16-013
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
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