27 April 2017
IIASA, Laxenburg, Wodak Room, 15:00-16:30
Ólafur Ragnar Grímsson was the President of Iceland for twenty years, 1996-2016; electe five times in nationwide elections. He now serves as the Chairman of the Arctic Circle, which he founded three years ago with other Arctic partners. The Arctic Circle Assembly held in Iceland every October has become the largest annual international gathering on the Arctic, attended by 2000 participants from 50 countries: heads of states and governments, ministers, members of parliaments, officials, experts, scientists, entrepreneurs, business leaders, indigenous representatives, environmentalists, students, activists and others from the growing international community of partners and participants interested in the future of the Arctic. The Arctic Circle has also organized specialized Forums in other countries; so far, in Alaska, Singapore, Greenland and Quebec.
Dr. Ólafur Ragnar Grimsson: The Arctic: The last modern frontier - The first future frontier
The Arctic was for centuries unknown to the Western world of science and politics. The explorers brought it on the agenda in the beginning of the 20th century but then the Cold War closed it again. Only in the 21st century has the Arctic opened up for multi/dimensional cooperation; it became the last modern frontier. Now all the major powers of Asia and Europe have entered the Arctic where together with the United States and Russia and other Arctic states they are positioning themselves in the growing economic, political, scientific and environmental engagement. The Arctic has thus become the first frontier of the 21st century influencing the fate of our Planet. The evolution of the Arctic Circle Assemblies demonstrate every year the global importance of the Arctic. Nowhere else can the emergence of a new world order and the constructive contribution by the leading economic and political powers be so clearly observed. It provides both fundamental challenges and visionary hope.
Professor Lassi Heininen: Arctic geopolitics - high stability as an asset to reformulate world politics
At the 2010s the Arctic is peaceful and (geo)politically stable region: It is not overtly plagued by conflicts, there is no ‘wild’ race on resources. Much opposite, there are deepening inter-regional cooperation, the rules by UN’s Convention on the Law of the Sea, as well as a combination of a firm state sovereignty of, and commitments to environmental protection, by the Arctic states. There are also grand challenges and wicked problems, such as climate change, heavily impacting the region. Correspondingly, the globalized world is with uncertainty and ‘uncommon instability’ due to constant regional conflicts and wars, the fight against international terror, and recent instabilities of the world order.Following from this, it is possible to argue that the current state of Arctic geopolitics is exceptional in international politics, even a new metaphor for an ‘Exceptionalism’ in IR. Further, that the Arctic region with high geopolitical stability, and without sovereignty disputes, might become a needed common ground for confidence-building between the Arctic states, as well as between them and the AC observer countries. This presentation first, defines the post-Cold War Arctic geopolitics, particularly how the high stability was achieved; second, analyzes on how the ‘globalized’ Arctic is heavily impacted by ‘globalization’, and describes significant worldwide implications of the global Arctic affecting the Earth (System); and final, discusses how to move from political stability to peaceful change, and how this stable, cooperative region could influence, even reformulate, word politics.
Dr. Ólafur Ragnar Grimsson, the former President of Iceland, and Professor Dr. Pavel Kabat, IIASA Director General and CEO © IIASA
Last edited: 12 April 2017
Dos Santos S, Adams EA, Neville G, Wada Y, de Sherbinin A, Mullin Bernhardt E, & Adamo SV (2017). Urban growth and water access in sub-Saharan Africa: Progress, challenges, and emerging research directions. Science of the Total Environment 607: 497-508. DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.06.157.
Zhao ZQ, Bai Z, Winiwarter W, Kiesewetter G, Heyes C, & Ma L (2017). Mitigating ammonia emission from agriculture reduces PM2.5 pollution in the Hai River Basin in China. Science of the Total Environment 609: 1152-1160. DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.07.240.
Höglund Isaksson L (2017). Bottom-up simulations of methane and ethane emissions from global oil and gas systems 1980 to 2012. Environmental Research Letters 12 (2): e024007. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/aa583e.
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Phone: (+43 2236) 807 0 Fax:(+43 2236) 71 313