19 December 2013
The research, which was recently published in the journal Environmental Science and Technology, shows that advanced and costly measures to reduce fine particulate matter would benefit development by not only improving air quality, human health and longevity in India, but also pay for themselves in a few years by increasing productivity.
Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) can travel far down into the lungs contributing to illnesses such as cardiovascular diseases, asthma, and lung cancer. Current levels of PM2.5 in most of India exceed the World Health Organization (WHO) guideline of 10µg/m3 by more than a factor of four. And if the level of consumption of energy in India grows as expected, without additional air pollution controls, concentrations of PM2.5 in many parts of India will more than triple by 2030.
“We compared the costs and benefits of implementing the measures currently specified in Indian air pollution legislation with applying advanced air pollution emission controls that are common in industrialized countries” explains IIASA Program Leader Markus Amann.
Current Indian air pollution legislation would not stop the growth of pollution, and present levels of PM2.5 would increase by another 50%. Only implementing advanced controls could cut pollution and bring PM2.5 levels closer to the WHO guidelines.
The direct costs of such measures would amount to about half a percent of GDP per year initially, and then fall to roughly three-tenths of a percent of GDP by 2030. However, focusing only on direct costs is restrictive. It ignores the fact that investments in cleaner air will reduce the number of sick days experienced by the working population, and thereby increase productivity. Lower mortality will extend life expectancy, and people who expect to live longer will, in general, accumulate more assets in their working years, thereby increasing capital formation for productive investments.
“Our analysis shows that, once such indirect effects of investments in cleaner air are taken into account, the net impacts on GDP are marginal,” says IIASA research scholar Prof. Warren Sanderson.
“By 2030, life expectancy in India is expected to increase to 74.9 years. Implementation of these advanced measures would increase life expectancy by another 2.8 years, and save 2.5 million cases of premature deaths annually,’’ says IIASA demographer Erich Striessnig. “With a comprehensive perspective on development and well-being, the improved longevity more than compensates the loss in per-capita GDP, if measured by the widely used UN’s Human Development Index (HDI).”
Photo: Fort Anaghai, Maharashtra, India. Creative Commons License Rohit gowaikar on Flickr
Last edited: 30 June 2015
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