Serguei Scherbov

Senior Research Scholar World Population

+43(0) 2236 807 584

scherbov@iiasa.ac.at

BIOGRAPHY
IIASA PUBLICATIONS

Sergei Scherbov is a Senior Research Scholar with the World Population Program (POP) at IIASA and Leader of the Population Dynamics and Forecasting Group at the Vienna Institute of Demography (VID).
Dr. Scherbov graduated from the Moscow Aviation Institute and received his PhD in theory of systems, control theory and systems analysis from the Research Institute for Systems Studies of the USSR Academy of Sciences.
In 1982 Dr. Scherbov participated in the Young Scientists Summer Program and has been a frequent collaborator with the Population Program since then. He joined POP in June 1987 to work on the issues of population projections and development of software for population studies. From 1993-2002, Dr. Scherbov was a researcher and lecturer at the Population Research Centre, University of Groningen. During that period he continued his close collaboration with IIASA’s Population Program. He returned to IIASA in 2002 to work on issues related to demographic modeling.
His research interests are in probabilistic population projections, demographic modeling, demographic software and data processing, measuring aging in ways that take life expectancy change into account, and modeling of disability. He has done much research on the demography of the former Soviet Union. Dr. Scherbov is author, co-author, or co-editor of several books as well as numerous articles published in professional journals, including Nature, Science, and Population and Development Review.

Last update: 31-AUG-2010

Lutz,W. Butz,W.P. Castro,M. Dasgupta,P. Demeny,P.G. Ehrlich,I. Giorguli,S. Habte,D. Haug,W. Hayes,A. Herrmann,M. Jiang,L. King,D. Kotte,D. Lees,M. Makinwa-Adebusoye,P.K. McGranahan,G. Mishra,V. Montgomery,M.R. Riahi,K. Scherbov,S. Peng,X. Yeoh,B. (2012)

Demography's role in sustainable development ... More

Scherbov,S. Sanderson,W.C. Mamolo,M. (2012)

Quantifying Policy Tradeoffs to Support Aging Populations ... More

Scherbov,S. Lutz,W. Sanderson,W.C. (2011)

The uncertain timing of reaching 8 billion, peak world population, and other demographic milestones ... More

Scherbov,S. Ediev,D. (2011)

Significance of life table estimates for small populations: Simulation-based study of estimation errors ... More

Lutz,W. Butz,W.P. Scherbov,S. (2011)

Demographic challenges for sustainable development ... More

Scherbov,S. Lutz,W. Sanderson,W.C. (2011)

The Uncertain Timing of Reaching 7 Billion and Peak Population ... More

Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2010)

Remeasuring aging ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2010)

China's demographic challenge ... More

Scherbov,S. Ediev,D. (2010)

Significance of Life Table Estimates for Small Populations: Simulation-Based Study of Estimation Errors ... More

Ren,Q. Zheng,X. Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2009)

China's grave demographic challenges in coming decades ... More

Lutz,W. Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. KC,S. (2009)

Demographic and human-capital trends in Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa ... More

Lutz,W. KC,S. Khan,H.T.A. Scherbov,S. Leeson,G.W. (2009)

Future ageing in Southeast Asia: Demographic trends, human capital, and health status ... More

Ren,Q. Zheng,X. Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2009)

Uncertain population dynamics and HIV/AIDS in China ... More

Mamolo,M. Scherbov,S. (2009)

Population Projections for Forty-Four European Countries: The Ongoing Population Ageing ... More

Lutz,W. KC,S. Scherbov,S. (2009)

Future population growth, aging and human capital in the Mediterranean ... More

Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2009)

Aging: A new look into an old problem ... More

Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2009)

Future Trends in the Prevalence of Severe Activity Limitations in Developed Countries ... More

Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2008)

Rethinking age and aging ... More

Qiang,R. Zheng,X.-Y. Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2008)

Uncertain demographic dynamics in China ... More

Lutz,W. Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2008)

Global and regional population ageing: How certain are we of its dimensions? ... More

Lutz,W. Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2008)

The coming acceleration of global population ageing ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2008)

O contributo da imigracao para o futuro demografico da Europa ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2008)

Can immigration compensate for Europe's low fertility? ... More

Lutz,W. Sanderson,W. Scherbov,S. KC,S. (2008)

Demographic and Human-Capital Trends in Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa ... More

Lutz,W. Sanderson,W. Scherbov,S. KC,S. (2008)

Demographic and Human-Capital Trends in Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2008)

Exploratory Extension of IIASA's World Population Projections: Scenarios to 2300 ... More

Lutz,W. Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2008)

Global and Regional Population Ageing: How Certain Are We of its Dimensions? ... More

Scherbov,S. Ediev,D. (2008)

Probabilistic Household Projections based on an Extension of the Headship Rates Method with an Application to the Case of Russia ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. Cao,G.-Y. Ren,Q. Zheng,X.-Y. (2007)

China's uncertain demographic present and future ... More

Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2007)

A near electoral majority of pensioners: Prospects and policies ... More

Grubler,A. O'Neill,B.C. Riahi,K. Chirkov,V. Goujon,A. Kolp,P. Prommer,I. Scherbov,S. Slentoe,E. (2007)

Regional, national, and spatially explicit scenarios of demographic and economic change based on SRES ... More

Scherbov,S. Ediev,D. (2007)

Probabilistic household projections based on an extension of headship rates method with application to the case of Russia ... More

Lutz,W. KC,S. Khan,H.T.A. Scherbov,S. Leeson,G.W. (2007)

Future Ageing in Southeast Asia: Demographic Trends, Human Capital and Health Status ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2007)

The Contribution of Migration to Europe's Demographic Future: Projections for the EU-25 to 2050 ... More

Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2007)

A Near Electoral Majority of Pensioners: Prospects and Policies ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2006)

Future demographic change in Europe: The contribution of migration ... More

Mamolo,M. Scherbov,S. (2006)

Population Projections for non-EU / non-EFTA Countries in Europe ... More

O'Neill,B.C. Scherbov,S. (2006)

Interpreting UN Urbanization Projections Using Multi-state Model ... More

Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2005)

Average remaining lifetimes can increase as human populations age ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2005)

Will population ageing necessarily lead to an increase in the number of persons with disabilities? Alternative scenarios for the European Union ... More

Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2005)

A New Perspective on Population Aging ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. Cao,G.-Y. Ren,Q. Zheng,X.-Y. (2005)

China's Uncertain Demographic Present and Future ... More

Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2005)

Average Remaining Lifetimes Can Increase as Human Populations Age ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2004)

Probabilistic population projections for Singapore and Asia ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2004)

Probabilistic population projections for India with explicit consideration of the education-fertility link ... More

Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. O'Neill,B.C. Lutz,W. (2004)

Conditional probabilistic population forecasting ... More

Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. Lutz,W. O'Neill,B.C. (2004)

Applications of probabilistic population forecasting ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. Makinwa-Adebusoye,P.K. Reniers,G. (2004)

Population-environment-development-agriculture interactions in Africa: A case study on Ethiopia ... More

Lutz,W. Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2004)

The end of world population growth ... More

Lutz,W. Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2004)

The End of World Population Growth in the 21st Century: New Challenges for Human Capital Formation and Sustainable Development ... More

Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2004)

Putting Oeppen and Vaupel to Work: On the Road to New Stochastic Mortality Forecasts ... More

Goldstein,J.R. Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2003)

Long-term population decline in Europe: The relative importance of tempo effects and generational length ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. Sanderson,W.C. (2003)

The end of population growth in Asia ... More

Lutz,W. O'Neill,B.C. Scherbov,S. (2003)

Europe's population at a turning point ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. Hanika,A. (2003)

"Vienna: A city beyond aging" - Revisited and revised ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2003)

Can Immigration Compensate for Europe's Low Fertility? ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2003)

Will Population Ageing Necessarily Lead to an Increase in the Number of Persons with Disabilities? Alternative Scenarios for the European Union ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2003)

Future Demographic Change in Europe: The Contribution of Migration ... More

Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. O'Neill,B.C. Lutz,W. (2003)

Conditional Probabilistic Population Forecasting ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2003)

Toward Structural and Argument-Based Probabilistic Population Projections in Asia: Endogenizing the Education-Fertility Links ... More

Goldstein,J.R. Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2003)

Long-Term Population Decline in Europe: The Relative Importance of Tempo Effects and Generational Effects ... More

Lutz,W. O'Neill,B.C. Scherbov,S. (2003)

Europe's Population at a Turning Point ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. Prskawetz,A. Dworak,M. Feichtinger,G. (2002)

Population, natural resources, and food security: Lessons from comparing full and reduced-form models ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2002)

Population ageing in europe: Demographic evidence and forecasts ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2002)

The End of Population Growth in Asia ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2002)

Can Immigration Compensate for Europe's Low Fertility? ... More

Lutz,W. Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2001)

The end of world population growth ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. Aardt,C. van (2001)

South Africa's Uncertain Demographic Present and Future ... More

Lutz,W. Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2001)

The End of World Population Growth ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. (2000)

Quantifying vicious circle dynamics: The PEDA model for population, environment, development and agriculture in African countries ... More

Lutz,W. Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2000)

Likely future population trends in Greece and in the European Union ... More

Lutz,W. Scherbov,S. Fuernkranz-Prskawetz,A. Dworak,M. Feichtinger,G. (2000)

Population, Natural Resources and Food Security Lessons from Comparing Full and Reduced Form Models ... More

Lutz,W. Saariluoma,P. Sanderson,W.C. Scherbov,S. (2000)

New Developments in the Methodology of Expert- and Argument-Based Probabilistic Population Forecasting ... More

Scherbov,S. Vianen,H. van (1999)

Marital and fertility careers of Russian women born between 1910 and 1935 ... More

Scherbov,S. (1999)

Too many and too old? Living with uncertainty in long-term population projections ... More

O'Neill,B.C. Scherbov,S. Lutz,W. (1999)

The long-term effect of the timing of fertility decline on population size ... More