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Joeri Rogelj is a Research Scholar at the Energy Program of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), where he works on connecting insights from geoscience with energy modelling and climate policy. He has published on emission scenarios, carbon budgets, climate change uncertainty, implications of near-term policy choices, and on trade-offs and synergies between air-pollution and climate policies. His current projects focus on connecting the natural sciences to the policy realm, and include the study of extremely low emission scenarios, the simultaneous achievement of multiple sustainability objectives, and the exploration of approaches that can foster integration of knowledge across disciplines.
Dr. Rogelj first joined IIASA in 2011, as a participant of the Young Scientists Summer Program. He holds a PhD in climate science from ETH Zurich, Switzerland, and Master's degree in Engineering and Development Studies from KU Leuven, Belgium.
Before joining IIASA, he held research positions at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK, Germany) and as a post-doctoral researcher at ETH Zurich. Furthermore, his professional experience includes three years as a project engineer in the field of rural electrification and drinking water systems in Rwanda (Africa), among further stays in Colombia and Denmark.
Since their inception in 2010, Dr. Rogelj has served as a lead author on the annual UNEP Emissions Gap Reports; these are policy synthesis reports by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP for example). He also contributed to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), both to the tome on Physical Science (Working Group 1) and to the tome on Mitigation of Climate Change (Working Group 3), and was a member of the Extended Writing Team of the IPCC Synthesis Report. He continues to follow the UNFCCC climate negotiations as a scientific consultant for Climate Analytics.
He received the award for outstanding research for his Master's thesis from the Flanders Biomedical Society. In 2011, he received the Peccei Award for outstanding research performed during the IIASA Young Scientists Summer Program, and in 2014 he received the ETH Medal for his outstanding doctoral dissertation. A full list of his publications can be found on Google Scholar.
Last update: 17-FEB-2016
Schleussner, C.-F., Lissner, T.K., Fischer, E.M., Wohland, J., Perrette, Mahé, Golly, A., Rogelj, J., Childers, K., Schewe, J., Frieler, K., Mengel, M., Hare, W. and Schaeffer, M. (2016) Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5°C and 2°C. Earth System Dynamics, 7. pp. 327-351.
Rogelj, J., Schaefer, M., Friedlingstein, P., Gillett, N., van Vuuren, D., Keyfitz, N., Allen, M. and Knutti, R. (2016) Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled. Nature Climate Change, 6 (3). pp. 245-252.
Cameron, C., Pachauri, S., Rao, N., McCollum, D., Rogelj, J. and Riahi, K. (2016) Policy trade-offs between climate mitigation and clean cook-stove access in South Asia. Nature Energy 1, Article number: 15010.
Knutti, R., Rogelj, J., Sedlacek, J. and Fischer, E.M. (2016) A scientific critique of the two-degree climate change target. Nature Geoscience, 9 (1). pp. 13-18.
Smith, P., Davis, S.J., Creutzig, F., Fuss, S., Rogelj, J., McCollum, D., Krey, V., Grubler, A., Jonas, M., Kraxner, F., Nakicenovic, N., Obersteiner, M. and Rogner, M. (2016) Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions. Nature Climate Change, 6. pp. 42-50.
Millar, R., Allen, M., Rogelj, J. and Friedlingstein, P. (2016) The cumulative carbon budget and its implications. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 32 (2). pp. 323-342.
Fawcett, A.A., Iyer, G.C., Clerke, L.E., Edmonds, J.A., Hultman, N.E., Mcjeon, H.C., Rogelj, J., Schuler, R., Alsalam, J., Asrar, G.R., Creason, J., Jeong, M., McFarland, J., Mundra, A. and Shi, W. (2015) Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change? Science, 350 (6265). pp. 1168-1169.
Knutti, R. and Rogelj, J. (2015) The legacy of our CO2 emissions: a clash of scientific facts, politics and ethics. Climatic Change, 133 (3). pp. 361-373.
Meinshausen, M., Jeffrey, L., Guetschow, J., Du Pont, Y.R., Rogelj, J., Schaeffer, M., Hohne, N., den Elzen, M., Oberthur, S. and Meinshausen, N. (2015) National post-2020 greenhouse gas targets and diversity-aware leadership. Nature Climate Change, 5. pp. 1098-1106.
van Soest, H., Reis, L.A., van Vuuren, D., Bertram, C., Drouet, L., Jewell, J., Kriegler, E., Luderer, G., Riahi, K., Rogelj, J., Tavoni, M. and den Elzen, M. (2015) Regional low-emission pathways from global models. Nota di Lavoro 110.2015, Italy [December 2015]
Rogelj, J., Schaeffer, M., Meinshausen, M., Knutti, R., Alcamo, J., Riahi, K. and Hare, W. (2015) Zero emission targets as long-term global goals for climate protection. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (10). no.105007.
Rogelj, J., Meinhausen, M., Schaffer, M., Knutti, R. and Riahi, K. (2015) Impact of short-lived non-CO2 mitigation on carbon budgets for stabilizing global warming. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (7). no.075001.
Rogelj, J., Reisinger, A., McCollum, D.L., Knutti, R., Riahi, K. and Meinshausen, M. (2015) Mitigation choices impact carbon budget size compatible with low temperature goals. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (7). no.075003.
Rogelj, J., Luderer, G., Pietzcker, R.C., Kriegler, E., Schaeffer, M., Krey, V. and Riahi, K. (2015) Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 degrees C. Nature Climate Change, 5. pp. 519-527.
Johnson, N., Krey, V., McCollum, D.L., Rao, S., Riahi, K. and Rogelj, J. (2015) Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90 (Part A). pp. 89-102.
Rogelj, J., Jewell, J. and Riahi, K. (2015) Co-benefits and trade offs of INDCs. In: Beyond the Numbers. Understanding the Transformation Induced by INDCs; Studies No.5. IDDRI-Miles Project Consortium, Paris, France, pp. 51-58.
McCollum, D.L., Rogelj, J., Krey, V. and Riahi, K. (2014) The Emissions Gap Report 2014: A UNEP Synthesis Report. United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), Nairobi. ISBN 978-92-807-3413-1
Rogelj, J., McCollum, D.L., Krey, V. and Riahi, K. (2014) Chapter 2: What emission levels will comply with temperature limits? In: The Emissions Gap Report 2014: A UNEP Synthesis Report. United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), Nairobi.
Rogelj, J., Schaeffer, M., Meinshausen, M., Shindell, D.T., Hare, W., Klimont, Z., Velders, G.J.M., Amann, M. and Schellnhuber, H.J. (2014) Disentangling the effects of CO2 and short-lived climate forcer mitigation. PNAS, 111 (46). pp. 16325-16330.
Friedlingstein, P., Andrew, R.M., Rogelj, J., Peters, G.P., Canadell, J.G., Knutti, R., Luderer, G., Raupach, M.R., Schaeffer, M., van Vuuren, D.P. and Le Quere, C. (2014) Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets. Nature Geoscience, 7 (10). pp. 709-715.
Rogelj, J., Rao, S., McCollum, D.L., Pachauri, S., Klimont, Z., Krey, V. and Riahi, K. (2014) Air-pollution emission ranges consistent with the representative concentration pathways. Nature Climate Change, 4 (6). pp. 446-450.
Rogelj, J., Meinshausen, M., Sedlacek, J. and Knutti, R. (2014) Implications of potentially lower climate sensitivity on climate projections and policy. Environmental Research Letters, 9 (3). no.031003.
Rogelj, J. (2013) Earth science: A holistic approach to climate targets. Nature, 499 (7457). pp. 160-161.
Rogelj, J. (2013) Turn Down the Heat: Climate Extremes, Regional Impacts and the Case for Resilience. International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank, Washington. ISBN 978-1-4648-0056-6
Rogelj, J., McCollum, D.L. and Riahi, K. (2013) The UN's 'Sustainable Energy for All' initiative is compatible with a warming limit of 2 degrees C. Nature Climate Change, 3 (6). pp. 545-551.
Rogelj, J., McCollum, D.L., O'Neill, B.C. and Riahi, K. (2013) 2020 emissions levels required to limit warming to below 2 degrees C. Nature Climate Change, 3 (4). pp. 405-412.
Rogelj, J., McCollum, D.L., Reisinger, A., Meinshausen, M. and Riahi, K. (2013) Integrating uncertainties for climate change mitigation. [[Geophysical Research Abstracts]], 15:EGU2013-1848
Rogelj, J., McCollum, D.L., Reisinger, A., Meinshausen, M. and Riahi, K. (2013) Probabilistic cost estimates for climate change mitigation. Nature, 493 (7430). pp. 79-83.
Rogelj, J. (2013) Chapter 10 - Detection and attribution of climate change: From global to regional. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. IPCC Working Group I Contribution to AR5. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Rogelj, J. (2013) Chapter 12 - Long-term climate change: Projections, commitments and irreversibility. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. IPCC Working Group I Contribution to AR5. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Hoehne, N., Taylor, C., Elias, R., den Elzen, M., Riahi, K., Chen, C., Rogelj, J., Grassi, G., Wagner, F., Levin, K., Massetti, E. and Xiusheng, Z. (2012) National GHG emissions reduction pledges and 2 degrees C: Comparison of studies. Climate Policy, 12 (3). pp. 356-377.
Rogelj, J., McCollum, D. and O'Neill, B. (2012) Feasible 2020 emission windows for staying below 2°C ensuring consistency despite uncertainty. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
Rogelj, J., Hare, W., Lowe, J., van Vuuren, D.P., Riahi, K., Matthews, B., Hanaoka, T., Jiang, K. and Meinshausen, M. (2011) Emission pathways consistent with a 2 degree C global temperature limit. Nature Climate Change, 1 (8). pp. 413-418.
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