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Joeri Rogelj is a Research Scholar at the Energy Program of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), where he works on connecting insights from geoscience with energy modelling and climate policy. He has published on emission scenarios, carbon budgets, climate change uncertainty, implications of near-term policy choices, and on trade-offs and synergies between air-pollution and climate policies. His current projects focus on connecting the natural sciences to the policy realm, and include the study of extremely low emission scenarios, the simultaneous achievement of multiple sustainability objectives, and the exploration of approaches that can foster integration of knowledge across disciplines.
Dr. Rogelj first joined IIASA in 2011, as a participant of the Young Scientists Summer Program. He holds a PhD in climate science from ETH Zurich, Switzerland, and Master's degree in Engineering and Development Studies from KU Leuven, Belgium.
Before joining IIASA, he held research positions at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK, Germany) and as a post-doctoral researcher at ETH Zurich. Furthermore, his professional experience includes three years as a project engineer in the field of rural electrification and drinking water systems in Rwanda (Africa), among further stays in Colombia and Denmark.
Since their inception in 2010, Dr. Rogelj has served as a lead author on the annual UNEP Emissions Gap Reports; these are policy synthesis reports by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP for example). He also contributed to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), both to the tome on Physical Science (Working Group 1) and to the tome on Mitigation of Climate Change (Working Group 3), and was a member of the Extended Writing Team of the IPCC Synthesis Report. He continues to follow the UNFCCC climate negotiations as a scientific consultant for Climate Analytics.
He received the award for outstanding research for his Master's thesis from the Flanders Biomedical Society. Furthermore, in 2011 he received the Peccei Award for outstanding research performed during the IIASA Young Scientists Summer Program, and in 2014 he received the ETH Medal for his outstanding doctoral dissertation. In 2016, he was awarded the inaugural Piers Sellers Award for his world-leading contributions to solution-focused climate research.
A full list of his publications can be found on Google Scholar.
Last update: 05-JUL-2016
Schleussner CF, Rogelj J, Schaeffer M, Lissner T, et al. (2016) Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal. Nature Climate Change. pp. 1-9.
Rogelj J, den Elzen M, Höhne M, Franzen T, et al. (2016) Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2°C. Nature, 534. pp. 631-639.
Fricko O, Havlik P, Rogelj J, Klimont Z, et al. (2016) The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century. Global Environmental Change. (In Press)
Riahi K, van Vuuren DP, Kriegler E, Edmonds J, et al. (2016) The shared socioeconomic pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change. (In Press)
Schleussner C-F, Lissner TK, Fischer EM, Wohland J, et al. (2016) Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming: the case of 1.5°C and 2°C. Earth System Dynamics, 7. pp. 327-351.
Rogelj J, Schaefer M, Friedlingstein P, Gillett N, et al. (2016) Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled. Nature Climate Change, 6 (3). pp. 245-252.
Cameron C, Pachauri S, Rao N, McCollum D, et al. (2016) Policy trade-offs between climate mitigation and clean cook-stove access in South Asia. Nature Energy, 1. no.15010.
Knutti R, Rogelj J, Sedlacek J, and Fischer EM (2016) A scientific critique of the two-degree climate change target. Nature Geoscience, 9 (1). pp. 13-18.
Smith P, Davis SJ, Creutzig F, Fuss S, et al. (2016) Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions. Nature Climate Change, 6 (1). pp. 42-50.
Jones CD, Ciais P, Davis SJ, Friedlingstein P, et al. (2016) Simulating the Earth system response to negative emissions. Environmental Research Letters, 11 (9). 095012.
Millar R, Allen M, Rogelj J, and Friedlingstein P (2016) The cumulative carbon budget and its implications. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 32 (2). pp. 323-342.
Rockström J, Schellnhuber HJ, Hoskins B, Ramanathan V, et al. (2016) The world's biggest gamble. Earth's Future. (In Press)
Fawcett AA, Iyer GC, Clerke LE, Edmonds JA, et al. (2015) Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change? Science, 350 (6265). pp. 1168-1169.
Knutti R and Rogelj J (2015) The legacy of our CO2 emissions: a clash of scientific facts, politics and ethics. Climatic Change, 133 (3). pp. 361-373.
Meinshausen M, Jeffrey L, Guetschow J, Du Pont YR, et al. (2015) National post-2020 greenhouse gas targets and diversity-aware leadership. Nature Climate Change, 5. pp. 1098-1106.
van Soest H, Reis LA, van Vuuren D, Bertram C, et al. (2015) Regional low-emission pathways from global models. Nota di Lavoro 110.2015, Italy [December 2015]
Rogelj J, Schaeffer M, Meinshausen M, Knutti R, et al. (2015) Zero emission targets as long-term global goals for climate protection. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (10). no.105007.
Rogelj J, Meinhausen M, Schaffer M, Knutti R, et al. (2015) Impact of short-lived non-CO2 mitigation on carbon budgets for stabilizing global warming. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (7). no.075001.
Rogelj J, Reisinger A, McCollum DL, Knutti R, et al. (2015) Mitigation choices impact carbon budget size compatible with low temperature goals. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (7). no.075003.
Rogelj J, Luderer G, Pietzcker RC, Kriegler E, et al. (2015) Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 degrees C. Nature Climate Change, 5. pp. 519-527.
Johnson N, Krey V, McCollum DL, Rao S, et al. (2015) Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90 (Part A). pp. 89-102.
McCollum DL, Rogelj J, Krey V, and Riahi K (2014) The Emissions Gap Report 2014: A UNEP Synthesis Report. United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), Nairobi. ISBN 978-92-807-3413-1
Rogelj J, McCollum DL, Krey V, and Riahi K (2014) Chapter 2: What emission levels will comply with temperature limits? In: The Emissions Gap Report 2014: A UNEP Synthesis Report. United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), Nairobi.
Rogelj J, Schaeffer M, Meinshausen M, Shindell DT, et al. (2014) Disentangling the effects of CO2 and short-lived climate forcer mitigation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111 (46). pp. 16325-16330.
Friedlingstein P, Andrew RM, Rogelj J, Peters GP, et al. (2014) Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets. Nature Geoscience, 7 (10). pp. 709-715.
Rogelj J, Rao S, McCollum DL, Pachauri S, et al. (2014) Air-pollution emission ranges consistent with the representative concentration pathways. Nature Climate Change, 4 (6). pp. 446-450.
Rogelj J, Meinshausen M, Sedlacek J, and Knutti R (2014) Implications of potentially lower climate sensitivity on climate projections and policy. Environmental Research Letters, 9 (3). no.031003.
Rogelj J (2013) Earth science: A holistic approach to climate targets. Nature, 499 (7457). pp. 160-161.
Rogelj J (2013) Turn Down the Heat: Climate Extremes, Regional Impacts and the Case for Resilience. International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank, Washington. ISBN 978-1-4648-0056-6
Rogelj J, McCollum DL, and Riahi K (2013) The UN's 'Sustainable Energy for All' initiative is compatible with a warming limit of 2 degrees C. Nature Climate Change, 3 (6). pp. 545-551.
Rogelj J, McCollum DL, O'Neill BC, and Riahi K (2013) 2020 emissions levels required to limit warming to below 2 degrees C. Nature Climate Change, 3 (4). pp. 405-412.
Rogelj J, McCollum DL, Reisinger A, Meinshausen M, et al. (2013) Integrating uncertainties for climate change mitigation. [[Geophysical Research Abstracts]], 15:EGU2013-1848
Rogelj J, McCollum DL, Reisinger A, Meinshausen M, et al. (2013) Probabilistic cost estimates for climate change mitigation. Nature, 493 (7430). pp. 79-83.
Hoehne N, Taylor C, Elias R, den Elzen M, et al. (2012) National GHG emissions reduction pledges and 2 degrees C: Comparison of studies. Climate Policy, 12 (3). pp. 356-377.
Rogelj J, McCollum D, and O'Neill B (2012) Feasible 2020 emission windows for staying below 2°C ensuring consistency despite uncertainty. In: Worlds Within Reach: From Science To Policy - IIASA 40th Anniversary Conference, 24-26 October 2012, Hofburg Congress Center, Vienna and IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
Rogelj J, Hare W, Lowe J, van Vuuren DP, et al. (2011) Emission pathways consistent with a 2 degree C global temperature limit. Nature Climate Change, 1 (8). pp. 413-418.
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