Accounting for Risk and Uncertainty in Climate Policy Assessment: Final Report
Authors: Ackerman F, Stanton EA, Chalabi Z, Mechler R, Scrieciu S, Cheung W, Belton V
Publication Year: 2011
Reference: Stockholm Environment Institute (May 2011)
Additional guidance supporting UNEP's MCA4climate initiative: A practical framework for planning pro-development climate policies. Available at sei-us.org/Publications_PDF/SEI-MCA4climate-Risk-Uncertainty.pdf
Abstract
Problems of risk and uncertainty arise throughout the assessment of climate change and the development of climate policy. Both the climate system and the economic system are characterized by long time lags and complex causal connections; over long periods of time, both climate and economic outcomes are necessarily uncertain.
In view of the centrality of risk and uncertainty to climate assessment, it will be helpful to begin by clarifying the meaning of these concepts. Recommended approaches to risk and uncertainty are addressed in the final section in this document.
In view of the centrality of risk and uncertainty to climate assessment, it will be helpful to begin by clarifying the meaning of these concepts. Recommended approaches to risk and uncertainty are addressed in the final section in this document.
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Rezai A, Taylor L, Mechler R (2013)
Amendola A, Ermolieva T, Linnerooth-Bayer J... (eds) (2013)
Michel-Kerjan E, Hochrainer-Stigler S, Kunreuther H... (2012)