A large and persistent carbon sink in the world's forests

A large and persistent carbon sink in the world's forests

Authors:   Pan Y, Birdsey RA, Fang J, Houghton R, Kauppi PE, Kurz WA, Phillips OL, Shvidenko A, Lewis SL, Canadell JG, Ciais P, Jackson RB, Pacala SW, McGuire AD, Paio S, Rautiainen A, Sitch S, Hayes D

Publication Year:   2011

Reference:  Science, 333(6045):988-993 (19 August 2011) (Published online 14 July 2011)

Abstract

The terrestrial carbon sink has been large in recent decades, but its size and location remain uncertain. Using forest inventory data and long-term ecosystem carbon studies, we estimate a total forest sink of 2.4 +- 0.4 petagrams of carbon per year (Pg C/year) globally for 1990 to 2007. We also estimate a source of 1.3 +- 0.7 PG C/year from tropical land-use change, consisting of a gross tropical deforestation emission of 2.9 +- 0.5 Pg C/year partially compensated by a carbon sink in tropical forest regrowth of 1.6 +- 0.5 Pg C/year. Together, the fluxes comprise a net global forest sink of 1.1 +- 0.8 Pg C/year, with tropical estimates having the largest uncertainties. Our total forest sink estimate is equivalent in magnitude to the terrestrial sink deduced from fossil fuel emissions and land-use change sources minus ocean and atmospheric sinks.

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