Management of change, disaster risk, and uncertainty: An overview
Authors: Amendola A
Publication Year: 2004
Reference: Journal of Natural Disaster Science, 26(2):55-61 (2004)
(Japan Society for Natural Disaster Science). Available at jsnds.org/contents/jnds/26_2_2.pdf
Abstract
This overview, based on the keywords change, disaster risk, and uncertainties, focuses on issues emerging from the 2001-2004 IIASA-DPRI Forum on Integrated Disaster Risk Management; the uncertain effects of global climate change, implications for disasters due to differential vulnerabilities and rate of change. Other subjects addressed are the characterizing the uncertainties inherent in early warning systems, development of more adequate indicators for describing disasters, the need to investigate changes after disasters in order to develop stronger resilience, and movement towards institutional changes in order to address the global dimensions of disasters in a more and more deeply interconnected world.