Managing climate risk

Managing climate risk

Authors:   Obersteiner M, Azar C, Kauppi P, Moellersten K, Moreira JR, Nilsson S, Read P, Riahi K, Schlamadinger B, Yamagata Y, Yan J,van Ypersele JP

Publication Year:   2001

Reference:  Science, 294(5543):786-787 (26 October 2001)

(Letter)

Abstract

Stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations at a safe level is a paradigm that the scientific and policy communities have widely adopted for addressing the problem of climate change. However, aiming to stabilize concentrations at a single target level might not be a robust strategy, given that the environment is extremely uncertain. The static stabilization paradigm is based primarily on two assumptions: (i), that a safe level of GHG concentrations exists and can be sustained, and (ii) that such a level can be determined ex ante.
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) calls for stabilization of GHGs at a safe level, and it also prescribes precautionary measures to anticipate, prevent, or minimize the causes of climate change and mitigate their adverse effects....

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