Uncertainty and Forecasting of Water Quality

Uncertainty and Forecasting of Water Quality

Authors:   Beck MB,van Straten G

Publication Year:   1983

Reference:  Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg, Germany [1983]

[ISBN 3-540-12419-5]

Abstract

This book brings together a number of critical discussions on the role of uncertainty in the development and use of mathematical models for water quality management. It covers the application of recursive estimation, time-series analysis, maximum likelihood estimation, and the Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH), to the problem of model identification. It also treats the analysis of prediction-error propagation, real-time forecasting, and the use of Monte Carlo simulation in the generation of speculative hypotheses about system behaviour.

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