Age-Period-Cohort (APC) Analysis of Mortality with Applications to Soviet Data

The paper consists of two parts. The first part reviews the research on age-period-cohort analysis (APC) of mortality where APC models are extensively applied. A number of solutions to the identification problem are reviewed. It is claimed that the identification problem is not a problem of model specification, but a problem of measurement and specification.
In the second part of the paper, APC models are applied to mortality data. With the recent opening of the Soviet society, many demographic data that have been inaccessible for researchers have now become available. This is especially true of mortality data. By applying APC analysis for age-specific mortality rates for Soviet republics (or former Soviet republics), the authors try to separate contemporary and historical factors and thus capture several events that took place in Soviet history. Comparative analysis of age, period and cohort effects for different regions of the USSR are presented.

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