Simulation of Multiregional Population Change: An Application to the German Democratic Republic
Abstract
This paper uses the multiregional demographic model to simulate to the year 2030 six scenarios of population development in the German Democratic Republic. It extends the work of the Migration and Settlement case study for the GDR by Mohs (1980) by illustrating how the model can be used as a tool for making simulations that are based on changing rates of fertility, mortality, and migration.