The Uncertain Timing of Reaching 7 Billion and Peak Population

The Uncertain Timing of Reaching 7 Billion and Peak Population

Authors:   Scherbov S, Lutz W, Sanderson WC

Publication Year:   2011

Reference:  IIASA Interim Report IR-11-002

Abstract

This paper addresses the uncertainties in global population forecasts of the timing of reaching certain important milestones such as a total population of 7 billion or peak population. This is studied in the context of probabilistic world population forecasts.

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