A Dynamic Model of Stochastic Innovation Race: Leader-Follower Case

Authors:   Aseev SM, Katsumoto M

Publication Year:   2004

Reference:  IIASA Interim Report IR-04-035

Abstract

We provide steps towards analysis of rational behaviors of innovators acting on a market of a technological product. The situation when a technological leader competes with a large number of identical followers is in the focus. The process of development of new generations of the product is treated as a Poisson-type cyclic stochastic process. The technology spillovers effect acts as a driving force of the technological progress. We obtain an analytic characterization of optimal leaders R&D and manufacturing investment policies. Numerical simulations and economic interpretations are presented as well.

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