Proceedings
of the EuroConference on
Global Change and
Catastrophe Risk Management:
Flood Risks in Europe
| IIASA Laxenburg, Austria 6–9 June 1999 |
 |
Final Agenda
Sunday, June 6
| 08:30 | Pick-up from Hotel Prinz Eugen |
| 09:00-10:00 | Registration and coffee |
| 10:00 | Welcoming remarks by Alessandro Barisich and Gordon MacDonald |
Climate Change and Flood Risks in Europe
Chair: Gordon MacDonald
| 10:30-12:00 |
Climate Change, Ocean Anomalies and Extreme Weather Events
Lennart Bengtsson |
| Commentaries: | |
| The
Effect of Global Warming on Rainfalls in an Alpine Catchment
Basin Hans Peter Nachtnebel |
|
|
The Correlation of Flash Floods in the Coastal Area and
Sea Surface Temperature Giampiero Maracchi |
|
| 12:00-13:15 | Lunch |
| 13:15-14:00 | Tour of IIASA or Walk in the Park |
Climate Change and Flood Risks
in Europe
Chair: Ivo Menzinger
| 14:00-15:00 | The
Risk of Flood Events over Time Zdzislaw Kaczmarek |
| Commentary: | |
|
Clustering of Flood Events in Europe Gordon MacDonald |
|
| 15:00-15:30 | Flood
Trends and Global Change Thomas Loster |
| 15:30-16:00 | Coffee break |
| 15:30-17:45 | Panel
Discussion: Are Flood Losses Likely to Increase in Europe as a Result of Global Change Phenomena? Alessandro Barisich (Moderator), Andrew Dlugolecki, Zdzislaw Kaczmarek, Gordon MacDonald, Thomas Schelling, and Richard Tol |
| 18:00 | Dinner
at the Benediktinerhof, Kirchengasse 3, 2352-Gumpoldskirchen, Tel: 02252-62155 |
Monday, June 7
Integrated
Flood Risk Management
Chair: Zdzislaw Kaczmarek
| 08:15 | Pick-up from Hotel Prinz Eugen |
| 09:00-10:00 | A
Case Study of the 1997 Polish Flood Janusz Kindler Commentary: Johannes Stripple |
| 10:00-10:30 |
Integrated
River Management and Flood Risk |
| 10:30-11:00 | Coffee break |
|
Session A |
Chair: Frederick Krimgold |
| 11:00-11:25 | Flood
Risk Mitigation and Institutional Response Richard Tol |
|
11:25-11:50 |
Some
General Comments on Flood Forecasting Michael Bruen |
| 11:50-12:15 | Adaptive
Assessment of Flood Risk Jan Sendzimir |
| 12:15-12:30 | Discussion |
| Session B (Marshall Room 1) |
Chair: Norio Okada |
| 11:00-11:35 | Impacts
of Land Use and Climate Change on Water Resources: Examples
from China David Wiberg Commentary: Guoyi Han |
| 11:35-12:15 | Disaster
Losses and Long-term Economic Growth Landis MacKellar, Paul K. Freeman, and Tatiana Ermolieva |
| Commentary: Thomas Schelling | |
| 12:15-12:30 | Discussion |
| 12:30-14:00 | Lunch |
Modeling for Flood Risk Assessment
| Chair: David Simmons | |
| 14:00-14:30 | A
Model of the Oder River Ad De Roo |
| 14:30-15:00 | Modeling
Flood Events in the U.S. Charles Scawthorn |
| 15:00-15:30 | A
Model of Coastal Flooding and Storm Surge John Keller |
| 15:30-16:00 | Coffee Break |
|
Modeling for Risk Management |
|
| Chair: Hans Peter Nachtnebel | |
| 16:00-16:30 | A
Systems Approach to Catastrophe Risk Management Yuri Ermoliev |
| 16:30-17:00 |
Modeling Equity in Natural Disaster Risks under Multiple
Misfortune Levels Hiroyuki Tamura |
| 17:00-17:30 | Rapporteur Reports |
| 17:30 | Bus to the Hotel Prinz Eugen |
Tuesday, June 8
Insurance and Risk Burden Sharing
Chair: William Petak
| 08:00 | Pick-up from Hotel Prinz Eugen |
| 08:45-09:15 | The
Financial Management of Catastrophic Flood Risks in Emerging
Economy Countries Howard Kunreuther and Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer Commentary: Noel Watson |
| 09:15-10:00 | Flood
Insurance Systems in Selected European Countries Caroline Van Schoubroeck |
| Commentary: Reinsurance and Flood Risk Ivo Menzinger |
|
| 10:00-10:30 | Coffee Break |
|
Session A (Marshall Room 2) |
Chair: Andrew Dlugolecki |
| 10:30-11:00 | Customizing
Reinsurance and Cat Bonds for Natural Hazard Risks David Croson and Howard Kunreuther Commentary: Mojdeh Keykhah |
| 11:00-11:30 | Sovereign
Cat Bonds and Infrastructure Project Financing David Croson and Andreas Richter Commentary: Andrzej Jakubowski |
| 11:30-12:00 |
The Strategic Approach for Insurers to Manage Flood Risk Andrew Mitchell |
| 12:00-12:30 | Discussion |
|
Session B (Marshall Room 1) |
Chair: Christopher Barham |
| 10:30-11:00 | Infrastructure,
Natural Disasters, and Poverty Paul K. Freeman |
| 11:00-11:30 | Developing
Countries Correlated Risk of Infrastructure Loss: Options
to Absorb Risk Georg Ch. Pflug and Paul K. Freeman |
| 11:30-12:00 | Employing
Catastrophe Loss Modelling to Price and Manage European
Flood Risk Robert Muir-Wood |
| 12:00-12:30 | Discussion |
12:30-13:45 |
Lunch |
| 13:45-15:15 | Panel
Discussion: What is the Potential of Catastrophe Risk Transfer Mechanisms for Use by Governments in Developing Countries? Daigee Shaw , Anna Vari , Howard Kunreuther (Moderator), Alcira Kreimer, Paul K. Freeman |
| 15:15-16:00 | Meeting Summary and Close |
| 16:00 | Bus to the airport and/or Hotel Prinz Eugen |
Wednesday, June 9
Training Session on Systems Modeling and Flood Risk Management
| 08:30-09:30 | General
discussion on issues raised at the conference Moderator: Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer |
| 09:30-10:30 | Catastrophe
Modeling and Risk Management: A demonstration of IIASA tools Yuri M. Emoliev and Tatiana Ermolieva |
| 10:30-10:50 | Coffee break |
| 10:50-12:00 | Tools demonstration and discussion |
| 12:00-13:30 | Lunch |
| 13:30-15:30 | A
Policy Framework for Catastrophe Risk Management Aniello Amendola |
| ca. 16:00 | Transfer to the Airport and Hotel Prinz Eugen |
Last updated 30 July 1999.
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