Preliminary Agenda
Sunday, August 13

Venue:
Hotel Villa Suite
Location

09:00-12:00 EARLY BIRD SESSION

As early birds earn more worms, early attendants will gain more from the early bird session which is scheduled on the morning of August 13. The session is planned to offer young scientists and PhD students intensive hours of presentations on their work followed by discussions and comments joined by senior scientists and experts who are kindly invited to come early for our IDRiM Forum.

Chair:

Norio Okada

Speakers:

• Robert Bajek
  Furniture Fastening for Earthquake Preparedness in Japan. Experts vs. Non-experts Discourses - Q-method Approach. Case Study: Osaka Prefecture, Kishiwada City, Japan
• Juan Du
  The Analyzing and Zoning of Flood Disaster Risk in Xiang River Basin of China
• Yoko Matsuda
  Expansion of Implementability of Community Preparedness Diagnostic Survey Based on Test Theory
• Maiko Sakamoto
  A Consideration on Hierarchical Conflict System
• Ozgur Ucer
  New Insurance Model for Increasing the Quality of the Turkish Construction Sector
• Wei Xu
  Study of Residents' Assignment to Disaster Shelters in Nagata Ward of Kobe City, Hyogo
• Tao Ye
  Study on Assessment of Coping Capacity in Disaster Risk Governance
• Muneta Yokomatsu
  Risk Governance of Private Sector Infrastructure Management in Urban and Rural Areas
• Mamoru Yoshida
  Performance-Based Contract for Aseismic Retrofit of Buildings
• Jing Zheng
  Effect of Rapid Urbanization on Flood Hydrograph. Case Study of Shenzhen, China

10:30-11:00 Coffee Break

12:00-13:30 Lunch

13:30-16:00 YOUNG SCIENTIST SESSION

Please click here for a description of the session.

Speakers:

• Robert Bajek
• Nihan Erdogan
• Yoko Matsuda
• Suman Sensarma
• Koichi Shiwaku
• Akhilesh Surjan
• Tao Ye
• Muneta Yokomatsu (organizer)
• Jing Zheng

16:00-18:00 Tour of the Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality Disaster Reduction Center (AKOM)

Please sign up for this tour by sending an e-mail to idrim@iiasa.ac.at

Preliminary Agenda
Monday, August 14

Venue:
Istanbul Lutfi Kirdar Convention & Exhibition Centre
Location

08:00-09:00 REGISTRATION

09:00-10:00 OPENING
Room: Topkapý A

Chair:

Metin Ilkisik

Speakers:

• Mustafa Erdik
  
• Norio Okada
  
• Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer
  
• Katalin Demeter
  
• Kadir Topbas, Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality Mayor
  
• Muammer Güler, Governor of Istanbul Province
  

10:00-10:30 KEYNOTE LECTURE: Information Sharing for Technology and Knowledge based on Implementation Strategies - Disaster Reduction Hyperbase (DRH) Project

Speaker:

Hiroyuki Kameda
Professor Emeritus, Kyoto University, Dr. Eng.
Visiting Researcher, National Research Institute for
Earth Science and Disaster Prevention (NIED)
(Earthquake Disaster Mitigation Research Center (EDM))

10:30-11:00 Coffee Break

11:00-12:00 BUSINESS, SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY, AND DISASTER RISK REDUCTION PANEL I
Room: Topkapý A

This panel is a double panel. Part II of the Panel continues after lunch.

Chair:

Ben Wisner

Speakers:

• Ben Wisner (organizer)
  Introduction
• Rajib Shaw
  Corporate Community Interface in Environment and Disaster Management: The Role of the Corporate Sector
• Marla Petal
  Business Partnerships for Community Disaster Response
• Amit Verma/Anil Sinha
  Business involvement in disaster management: Concept of Corporate Community Interface (CCI)
• Krishna Vatsa
  Private Sector Failures during the 2005 Mumbai Flood
• Garry de la Pomerai
  Business’ Role in Disaster Recovery, Case Study from Pakistan
• Ana Maria Cruz/Laura Steinberg
  Managing Chemical Releases from Hurricane Katrina

Discussant:

• Ian O'Donnell

12:00-13:00 Lunch

13:00-14:00 BUSINESS, SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY, AND DISASTER RISK REDUCTION PANEL II
Room: Topkapý A

14:05-16:05 Parallel Sessions Begin

Session I INSURANCE AND RISK TRANSFER SESSION
Room: Topkapý A

There is growing interest among governments, NGOs and the private sector to explore the potential for innovative financing to help manage and reduce disaster risk. Traditional post-disaster financing may not be sufficient for low-income households, businesses and governments that face high catastrophe risks, and the lack of sufficient and timely financing can result in serious long term socio-economic impacts. One of the greatest challenges is to make insurance and other risk-transfer instruments affordable and to couple financial planning with preventive measures. Important precedents in transition and developing countries exist: a public-private partnership in Turkey, micro-insurance in India and issuance of a catastrophe bond in Mexico. This session begins with discussions on financial instruments to protect against earthquake risk in Istanbul, and particularly businesses and industry. We then turn to the Caribbean and recent experience with financially preparing policy makers for the hurricane season making use of the IIASA CATSIM model. Risk transfer can also be a tool in addressing poverty in low-income countries, and the session addresses the potential of micro-insurance for the poor. Finally, the important issue of affordability is raised, and empirical evidence on pricing of insurance is presented.

Chair:

Ferhan Ozay

Speakers:

• Arzu Taylan
  The Problems of the Current Financial System and the Possible Solutions to Protect Business and Industry against Disasters and to Mitigate the Risk
• Vedat Akgiray
  A Financial Model to Prepare for a Probable Istanbul Earthquake
• Reinhard Mechler
  Financial preparations in the Caribbean for the hurricane season: An application of IIASA's CATSIM model
• Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer (organizer)
  Microinsurance as a Safety Net for the Poor?
• Toshio Fujimi
  Ambiguity, Risk and Earthquake Insurance Premiums: An Empirical Analysis

Session II CHEMICAL HAZARDS, INDUSTRIAL INSTALLATIONS, AND NATURAL DISASTERS PANEL
Room: Topkapý B

Chair:

Ana Maria Cruz

Speakers:

• Laura Steinberg
  State of the Art in Natech Research and Natech Policy
• Eser Durukal
  Industrial Earthquake Risk and Mitigation in Turkey
• Hatice Sengul
  Oil Spills and Hazardous Material Releases from Industrial Facilities due to Hurricane Katrina
• Pavel Danihelka
  Natech Risk Management in the Czeck Republic: Case Studies of Flooding
• Ana Maria Cruz (organizer)
  Awareness of Potential Natech Disasters among Households in a Japanese Community

16:05-16:30 Coffee Break

16:30-18:10 Parallel Sessions Continue

Session I COLLABORATIVE CEDIM-KOERI-IMM RESEARCH PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK IN MEGACITY ISTANBUL
Room: Topkapý A

Chairs:

Ute Werner, Jochen Zschau

Speakers:

• Sandra Richwalski/Oguz Ozel
  Site effect studies in Istanbul
• Hannes Taubenboeck
  The capabilities of high resolution satellite imagery and GIS to identify urban vulnerability in its spatial distribution
• Dietmar Borst/Reinhard Mechler
  Assessing economic impacts in a megacity: the case of Istanbul
• Kivanc Inelmen
  Small Hotels’ Vulnerability, Risk Perceptions and Risk Transfer in Istanbul

Session II DISASTER RISK AND RECOVERY: A CASE FOR DEVELOPING ORGANIZATIONAL RESILIENCE
Room: Topkapý B

Chair:

William Petak

Speakers:

• Marija Bockarjova
  Dutch Hazard Response and Recovery in Water Policy and Management; a Case of Paradigm Shift
• Maria Go
  Institutional Challanges of Philippines in DRM: Case of Southern Leyte Landslides
• William Petak (organizer)
  Situational Awareness: A Key Element in Organizational and Community Resilience to Disasters
• Adam Rose
  Resilience To Disasters: Reducing Losses Through Public-Private Partnerships

19:00 Reception and Concert

Preliminary Agenda
Tuesday, August 15

Venue:
Istanbul Lutfi Kirdar Convention & Exhibition Centre
Location

09:00-09:30 KEYNOTE LECTURE: Earthquake Risk to Industry and How to Manage It
Room: Topkapý A

Speaker:

Peter Yanev
Chapter President
Earthquake Engineering Research Institute

09:30-12:10 LESSONS LEARNED
Room: Topkapý A

The session aims at sharing with participants the experience gained in disaster preparedness and response through review of major disaster recovery programs. It also synthesizes the lessons learned in designing national disaster risk management systems in countries exposed to the impact of natural hazards. The session intends to bring the global perspective of proactive disaster risk reduction approach by showcasing the learning curve of national and multinational agencies in disaster risk management and by presenting select country cases with successful integration of disaster risk into development planning. The review of international best practices will help participants to put in context the advancements Turkey has achieved in reforming its disaster risk management system from institutional framework through risk transfer mechanisms to mitigation of seismic risk in Istanbul.

The first two presentations of the session will brief on the World Bank and the Provention Consortium comprehensive evaluation of disaster relief and reconstruction operations. The following presentation reviews the World Bank’s changing role in assisting Turkey to achieve the evolving disaster reduction agenda. The presentation on Earthquake Vulnerability Reduction Program in Colombia will show how a probabilistic cost benefit analysis helps to determine a more realistic picture of the efficiency of mitigation projects and prepare a strategic approach to a long term vulnerability reduction in Bogota. The following presentation discusses disaster management using the 1999 Marmara Earthquake as an example. The last presentation is from Mexico and showcases the recent issue of catastrophic bonds to provide financial stability in case of earthquake event.

Chairs:

Polat Gulkan, Nevin Peyircioglu

Speakers:

• Margaret Arnold
  Hazard of Nature-Risk to Development
• Anthony Beck
  Overview of 5 ProVention Recovery Case Studies
• Elif Ayhan
  From Reconstruction to Mitigation
• Luis Yamin
  Earthquake Vulnerability Reduction Program in Colombia
• Ali Akgul
  Disaster Management: Building the response capacity, mitigating the risks, raising the public awareness and the role of private sector
• Victor Cardenas
  Developmental Challenges in Using Catastrophic Bonds for Disaster Risk Management

10:30-11:00 Coffee Break

12:30-13:50 Lunch

13:50-15:50 Parallel Sessions Begin

Session I ECONOMIC LOSS ASSESSMENT IN THE INDUSTRIAL SECTOR
Room: Topkapý A

Chair:

Hirokazu Tatano

Speakers:

• B.J. Bawagan/E.C. Torrente
  Assessing the Socio-Economic Impacts of Typhoon Haruruot, Cagayan Valley, July 2003. UNESCAP-NDCC Project
• Yoshio Kajitani
  Economic Impacts on Industrial Sectors Caused by Lifeline System Failures
• Hirokazu Tatano (organizer)
  How to avoid double counting economic losses of disaster?
• Satoshi Tsuchiya
  Economic Impact Assessment of an Earthquake: Lifeline Disruption and Its Recovery
• Ozgur Ucer
  A Study on the Earthquake Risks Associated with the Automotive Industry in the Marmara Region

Session II FLOODS
Room: Topkapý B

Chair:

Charles Scawthorn

Speakers:

• Ilker Adiguzel
  U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Response to Hurricanes Katrina and Rita
• Michinori Hatayama
  A Flood Risk Communication Support System to Promote Safe Autonomous Evacuation
• Akiyoshi Takagi
  An improvement and actual condition about gap between preparedness behavior and risk perception for flood disaster
• Yukiko Takeuchi
  Flood - Risk - Information Communication with PAFRICS
• Anne van der Veen
  Economic hotspots: Visualizing vulnerability to flooding

15:50-16:10 Coffee Break

16:10-18:10 Parallel Sessions Continue

Session I EARTHQUAKES
Room: Topkapý A

Chair:

Polat Gulkan

Speakers:

• Amr Elnashai
  Earthquake Impact on Transportation and Utility Networks
• Mohsen Ghafory-Ashtiany
  Iran School Earthquake Safety Initiative
• Rebekah Green
  Unauthorized Development and Natural Hazard Vulnerability: A Study of Squatters and Engineers in Istanbul, Turkey
• Shigeru Kakumoto
  Two types of implementation in disaster prevention for information system
• Naghmeh Sadeghi
  Strategic Planning in Disaster Management; How to Face the Unexpected in Natural Disasters
• Hiroyuki Sakakibara
  Strategies for reconstruction of houses damaged by earthquakes
• Katsuya Yamori
  CROSSROAD: Kobe: Development of a gaming-type disaster education tool

Session II TURKISH CATASTROPHE INSURANCE POOL
Room: Topkapý B

Chair:

Eser Durukal

Speakers:

• Burcak Basbug
  The Mandatory Earthquake Insurance Scheme in Turkey
• Eser Durukal (organizer)
  The Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool and Building Loss Estimation for Istanbul
• Armagan Koc Esen
  Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool
• Charles Scawthorn
  National Insurance Programs for Natural Hazards Mitigation
• Shigeko Tabuchi
  The use of catastrophe models in the Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Programme and other national insurance schemes
• Okan Utkueri
  Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool (TCIP) - An overlook to the system

Preliminary Agenda
Wednesday, August 16

Venue:
Istanbul Lutfi Kirdar Convention & Exhibition Centre
Location

09:00-09:30 KEYNOTE LECTURE: Studies carried out by Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality towards Earthquake Risk Mitigation in the City
Room: Topkapý A

Speaker:

Mesut Pektas
Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality

09:30-10:10 GOVERNOR'S SPEECH
Room: Topkapý A

Speaker:

Muammer Güler
Governor of Istanbul Province

10:10-12:40 ISTANBUL METROPOLITAN MUNICIPALITY RISK MITIGATION ACTIVITIES
Room: Topkapý A

Chair:

Haluk Sucuoglu

Speakers:

• Lufti Altun
  Urban Transformation Plan for Istanbul and "Zeytinburnu" District Pilot Project (Presentation in Turkish)
• Mahmut Bas
  Earthquake Master Plan for Istanbul(Presentation in Turkish)
• Fouad Bendimerad
  An Implementation Model for Megacities Disaster Risk Management: The Metro Manila Case Study
• Metin Ilkisik
  
• Osman Kilic
  Ground and Earthquake Research Studies and Projects of I.M.M.
• Kultay Ozaydin
  

11:10-11:30 Coffee Break

12:40-14:00 Lunch

14:00-17:40/18:20 Parallel Sessions Begin

Session I RISK MITIGATION PROJECTS IN THE MARMARA REGION
Room: Topkapý A

Chair:

Mustafa Erdik

Speakers:

• Nuray Aydinoglu
  
• Elif Ayhan
  
• Murat Balamir
  Mitigation Efforts in Istanbul
• Chai Seng Chiew
  
• K. Gokhan Elgin
  
• Andrew Petrow
  Microzonation and Hazard Vulnerability Studies for Disaster Mitigation
• Richard Sharpe
  Residential Retrofitting in Istanbul: How can it happen?

Session II RISK, VULNERABILITY, AND RESPONSE
Room: Topkapý B

Chair:

Arthur Lerner-Lam

Speakers:

• Nihan Erdogan
  Coordination of the International Response at the Earthquakes in Turkey, Lessons Learned from 1999 and the Steps for the Future
• Adrian Gheorghe
  Vulnerability of Critical Infrastructures Exposed to Technical Failures or Natural Hazards Chernobyl and Katrina: Two Names to make History
• Adolfo Mascarenhas
  Assessing the Viability of Using Local and Indigenous Knowledge Systems in Disaster and Risk Management in Tanzania
• Hitomi Murakami
  Information System to Support Post-Earthquake Consultation Services for Restoration of Damaged Dwellings
• Suman Ranjan Sensarma
  Risk of Survival. A Denominator of Social Conflict: An Illustration from Rajaji National Park Conflict, India
• Erica Seville
  Shared Organisational Resilience: a New Zealand Approach
• Koichi Shiwaku
  Future Perspectives and Problems associated with School Disaster Education in Nepal
• Akhilesh Kumar Surjan
  Eco-cities to Disaster Resilient Eco-Communities: a Concerted Approach in the Coastal City of Puri, India
• Hiroki Yabe
  Creating a river environment index for assess of ecology function (habitat) for multiple organisms such as fish and birds considering flood risk in urban area

15:20-15:50 Coffee Break

Preliminary Agenda
Thursday, August 17

Venue:
Istanbul Lutfi Kirdar Convention & Exhibition Centre
Location

10:00-12:30 1999 KOCAELI EARTHQUAKE ANNIVERSARY SESSION
Room: Topkapý A

12:30-14:00 Lunch

14:00-15:00 RAPPORTEUR REPORTS
Room: Topkapý A

Chair:

Tao Ye

15:00-16:45 CASE STATION-FIELD CAMPUS (CASiFiCA) PANEL
Room: Topkapý A

As a visible product of the past series of IIASA-DPRI Integrated Disaster Risk Management (IDRiM) Forums, the scheme of “case station-field campus” (CASiFiCA) system has been proposed by Okada and others as an innovative framework for disaster research and education in the 21st century. This scheme was first presented at a thematic session in the 2005’s WCDR Kobe Conference and received a very positive response from the session attendants. In April 2005, a proposed research project on CASiFiCA was successfully approved by the MEXT (Japanese Ministry of Education). Since then it has gained a further momentum and started to take a real shape. A focus has been placed on five Asian countries, i.e., Japan, China, India, Nepal and Turkey.

Major objectives have been set as

1. Promotion of IDRiM education at all levels.
2. Multilateral knowledge sharing and knowledge creation
3. Implementation of knowledge and the knowledge gain from implementation

1. Co – learning and cross learning
2. Spatial and time crossing in implementation
3. Constant and cross monitoring

This panel session is intended to provide IDRiM forum participants with an overall perspective of CASiFiCA and to discuss the ongoing challenges currently made by a team of researchers led by Okada under this MEXT research grant project. The session consists of brief introductory presentations on each country’ case station-field campus (each 10 minutes), then followed by 10 minutes discussions. The remaining time will be allocated to interactive questions, answers, and suggestions among the panelists and also with the audience. The session will conclude with overall assessment of further research challenges needed in the next five years.

Chair:

Norio Okada

Speakers:

• Tomohide Atsumi
  The 1st Year of CASiFiCA in Japan:Activities at/from Osaka University in 2005
• Djillali Benouar
  In the Wake of the Newly Adopted Disaster Law: An Integrated Disaster Risk Reduction Management Strategy is Needed for a Better Governance:
• Bijaya Nand Misra
  
• Norio Okada (organizer)
  An IDRiM Challenge towards Implementation Science
• Charles Scawthorn
  
• Peijun Shi
  Integrated Disaster Reduction Paradigm and Disaster Reduction Field Campus of Dongting Lake Region and Xiang River Watershed

16:45-17:00 Coffee Break

17:00-18:30 IDRiM: RECENT DEVELOPMENTS AND CHALLENGES UPDATED SESSION
Room: Topkapý A

The concept of integrated disaster risk management (IDRiM) has undergone a series of innovative changes and refinements during the last few years since it was initially proposed by the Disaster Prevention Research Institute of Kyoto University in 2001. As a result of these major substantive changes that have been incorporated in the discourse on IDRiM since its inception, it is rapidly evolving as the technique of choice in the disaster management filed. The purpose of this thematic session is to integrate, synthesize and showcase in a single forum the multiple strands of innovations and refinements that have occurred in this body of knowledge. With this in mind, we propose to present a series of papers distilling and highlighting the significant recent developments as part of a coherent new framework with the potential for wide-ranging policy application in developed and developing countries. The overarching goal of IDRiM, in brief, is to substantially augment and enhance the implementation viability of disaster management policies. Cases in point are the Disaster Reduction Hyperbase initiated recently that supports IDRiM with an open and interactive database of implementation technologies, and the Integrated Disaster Risk Governance program on what the governments should do and how they can contribute to IDRiM's goals.

Chair:

Peijun Shi

Speakers:

• Aniello Amendola
  IDRiM Forum: A Review and Critique
• Chennat Gopalakrishnan
  Integrated Disaster Risk Management: A Survey and Synthesis of Key Concepts, Tools, Techniques and Case Studies
• Mahmood Hosseini
  Integrated Disaster Risk Management System for Industries Subjected to Natural Hazards
• Norio Okada
  Comprehensive Policy Issues and Methodological Challenges towards Integrated Disaster Risk Management (IDRiM): A Japanese Experience
• Peijun Shi (organizer)
  Disaster Dynamics and Integrated Risk Governance

18:30-19:00 CLOSING