Publications 1994-2005: download as PDF

Publications 2010

Books, Book Chapters, Reports, and Journal Articles
(* denotes peer-reviewed)

Lutz, W. 2010. Improving education as key to enhancing adaptive capacity in developing countries. Sustainable Development Series, ed. Carlo Carraro. Nota di Lavoro (Working Paper) 83.2010. Milano, Italy: Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.

*Lutz, W. and S. K.C. 2010. Dimensions of global population projections: What do we know about future population trends and structures? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 365: 2779-2791.

* Lutz, W., Crespo Cuaresma, J., and M.J. Abbasi-Shavazi. 2010. Demography, education, and democracy: Global trends and the case of Iran. Population and Development Review 36(2): 253-281.

* KC, S., Barakat, B., Goujon, A., Skirbekk, V., Sanderson, W. and W. Lutz. 2010. Demographic Research, Vol. 22, Article 15, pp. 383-472, published 16 March 2010, doi: 10.4054/DemRes.2010.22.15

* Crespo Cuaresma, J., Palokangas, T., and A. Tarasyev (eds.) 2010. Dynamic Systems, Economic Growth, and the Environment (Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance). Berlin: Springer, ISBN 978-3-642-02131-2

Publications 2009

Books, Book Chapters, Reports, and Journal Articles
(* denotes peer-reviewed)

Barakat, B., Goujon, A., K.C., S. and W. Lutz. 2009. Bildung ist der Schlüssel: Demografische Analyse zeigt Bedeutung für Vergangenheit und Zukunft Entwicklung und Anpassungsfähigkeit in 120 Ländern. Demografische Forschung aus Erster Hand 6 (1): 1-2. ISSN: 1613-5822
[Full Text]

Ediev, D., Goujon, A., Lutz, W., and M. A. Speringer. 2009. From Vienna to Marrakech. 50 Years of Independent IUSSP Conferences 1959-2009. Vienna, Austria: Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences, 16 pp.

*Björklund, G., R. Connor, A. Goujon, M. Hellmuth, P. Moriarty, W. Rast, K. Warner, J. Winpenny. 2009. Chapter 2: Demographic, economic and social drivers. In: World Water Assessment Programme. 2009. The United Nations World Water Development Report 3: Water in a Changing World. Paris: UNESCO, and London: Earthscan: pp. 29-40. ISBN UNESCO Publishing: 978-9-23104-095-5, ISBN Earthscan: 978-1-84407-839-4 (hardback), 978-1-84407-840-0 (paperback)
[Full Text]

* Goujon, A. and S. K.C. 2009. Nivel Educativo de las Mujeres del Norte de África (1970-2050). Brecha de Género versus Dividendo de Género: Desafíos e Implicaciones para las políticas públicas [Women´s level of educational attainment in North Africa (1970-2050). Gender gap versus gender dividend: Challenges and policy implications]. Pages 19-29 in Capital Humano, Género y Envejecimiento en el Mediterráneo. Perspectivas a Medio y Largo Plazo [Human capital, gender and aging in the Mediterranean]. Papers IEMed 7. Barcelona: European Institute of the Mediterranean. ISSN: 18885357.

*Goujon, A. and S. K.C. 2009. Pasado, presente y futuro de las tendencias demográficas en España [Past, Present, and Future Demographic Trends in Spain. In Vallés Ferrer, J. (ed). Economía Española, 2nd edition. Madrid: McGraw-Hill, pp. 75-86. ISBN 8448168062

* Crespo Cuaresma, J. and G. Vincelette. 2009. Debt relief and education in heavily indebted poor countries. Pages 35-48 in C. A. Primo Braga and D. Dömeland (eds), Debt Relief and Beyond. Lessons Learned and Challenges Ahead. Washington DC: The World Bank.

* Crespo Cuaresma, J., Bandiera, L., and G. Vincelette. 2009. Drivers of growth in fragile states: Has the HIPC process helped fragile countries grow? Pages 71-90 in C. A. Primo Braga and D. Dömeland (eds), Debt Relief and Beyond. Lessons Learned and Challenges Ahead. Washington DC: The World Bank.

* Crespo Cuaresma, J., Jumah, A., and S. Karbuz. 2009. Modelling and forecasting oil prices: The role of asymmetric cycles. The Energy Journal 30(2): 81-90.

* Crespo Cuaresma, J. and T. Slacik. 2009. On the determinants of currency crises: The role of model uncertainty. Journal of Macroeconomics 31: 621–632, doi:10.1016/j.jmacro.2009.01.004

* Stonawski, M. 2009. The formation of human capital in Central-East European countries during the period of socio-economic transition. Pages 155-168 in J. Pociecha (ed.), Statistical Analysis of Economic and Social Consequences of Transition Processes in Central-East European Countries. Cracow, Poland: Cracow University Press. ISBN 978-83-7252-457-7

* Lutz, W. 2009. Editorial: Towards a world of 2-6 billion well-educated and therefore healthy and wealthy people. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A 172(4): 701-705.

* Ren, Q., Zheng, X., Lutz, W., and S. Scherbov. 2009. China's grave demographic challenges in coming decades. China Economist May-June: 92-103.

* Stoellberger, C., Lutz, W., and J. Finsterer. 2009. Heat-related side-effects of neurological and non-neurological medication may increase heatwave fatalities. European Journal of Neurology, doi:10.1111/j.1468-1331.2009.02581.x

* Lutz, W. 2009. Sola schola et sanitate: Human capital as the root cause and priority for international development? Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 364: 3031-3047, doi: 10.1098/rstb.2009.0156

*Lutz, W. and A. Goujon. 2009. Capital Humano, Genero y envejecimiento en el Mediterraneo. Perspectivas a medio y largo plazo. PapersIEMed. Edicion: Instituto Europeo del Mediterraneo, Febrero de 2009. ISSN: 1888-5357.

* Lutz, W., KC, S., Khan, H.T.A., Scherbov, S., and G.W. Leeson. 2009. Future ageing in Southeast Asia: Demographic trends, human capital, and health status. Pages 47-67 in E.N. Arifin and A. Ananta (eds.), Older Persons in Southeast Asia. An Emerging Asset. Singapore: ISEAS Publishing (Institute of Southeast Asian Studies). ISBN 978-981-230-943-3 (soft cover), ISBN 978-981-230-944-0 (hard cover), ISBN 978-981-230-945-7 (PDF).

*Lutz, W., Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S., and S. KC. 2009. Demographic and human-capital trends in Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa. Pages 163-192 in Bertelsmann Stiftung and Migration Policy Institute (eds.), Talent, Competitiveness and Migration. The Transatlantic Council on Migration. Gütersloh, Germany: Verlag Bertelsmann Stiftung. ISBN 978-3-86793-039-0.

*Lutz, W., W.C. Sanderson, and S. Scherbov. 2009. Global and regional population ageing: How certain are we of its dimensions? Population Ageing (2008) 1: 75-97.

* Lutz, W. 2009. The demography of future global population aging: Indicators, uncertainty, and educational composition. Population and Development Review 35(2): 357-365.

*Lutz, W. 2009. Changing population size and distribution as a security concern. Pages 203-213 in H.G. Brauch, U.O. Spring, J. Grin, C. Mesjasz, P. Kameri-Mbote, N.C. Behera, B. Chourou, and H. Krummenacher (eds.), Facing GLobal Environmental Change. Environmental, Human, Energy, Food, Health and Water Security Concepts. Berlin: Springer Verlag. ISBN: 978-3-540-68487-9.

*Ren, Q., Zheng, X., Lutz, W., and S. Scherbov. 2009. Uncertain population dynamics and HIV/AIDS in China. Pages 9-25 in J.Tucker, D.L. Poston, Q. Ren, B. Gu, X. Zheng, S. Wang, and C. Russell (eds.), Gender Policy and HIV in China: Catalyzing Policy Change. Dordrecht, the Netherland: Springer Publishers. ISBN: 978-1-4020-9899-4 (Print) 978-1-4020-9900-7 (Online).

*Lutz, W. 2009. Global population ageing and the world's future human capital. Pages in 221-228 in P. Healey and S. Rayner (eds.), Unnatural Selection. The Challenges of Engineering Tomorrow's People. London, UK: Earthscan. ISBN 978-1-84407-622-2

*Mishra, T. and M. Parhi. 2009. Age-structured human capital dynamics and economic growth: A note on interdependence, coordination and welfare. Pages 129-183 in H. Rout and P.K. Panda (eds.), Human Development: Dimensions and Strategies. New Delhi: New Century Publications.

*Terama, E. 2009. Urban and peri-urban population dynamics in case study cities within Europe. Finnish Yearbook of Population Research XLIV: 109-122. ISSN 1796-6183 Helsinki: The Population Research Institute.

IIASA Publications
(*denotes peer- reviewed)

IIASA publications are generally available in PDF, click on the link to download them

Lutz, W., Crespo Cuaresma, J., and M.J. Abbasi-Shavazi. 2009. Demography, Education and Democracy: Global Trends and the Case of Iran. IIASA Interim Report IR-09-019 (June 2009, 35 pp). Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
[Abstract] [Full Text]

Lutz, W. 2009. Sola Schola et Sanitate: Human Capital as the Root Cause and Priority for International Development? IIASA Interim Report IR-09-008 (April 2009, 35 pp). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Abstract] [Full Text]

*KC, Samir. 2009. Lung Health in Rural Nepal. Multi-State Modeling of Health Status and Economic Evaluation of Integrated Respiratory Care Guildelines. IIASA Research Report RR-09-001 (January 2009, pp. 158). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Abstract] [Full Text]

Sanderson, W.C. and E. Striessnig. 2009. Demography, Education, and the Future of Total Factor Productivity Growth. IIASA Interim Report IR-09-002 (February 2009, 55 pp). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Abstract] [Full Text]

Publications 2008

Books, Book Chapters, Reports, and Journal Articles
(* denotes peer-reviewed)

*Lutz, W. and S. Scherbov. 2009. Can immigration compensate for Europe's low fertility? Pages 255-264 in P. Festy and J.- P. Sardon (eds.), Homage a Gerard Calot. Profession: Demographe. Paris: Institut national d'etudes demographiques (INED). ISBN 978-2-7332-4023-6

*Lutz, W., Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S., and S. KC. 2008. Demographic and Human-Capital Trends in Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa. Washington, DC: Migration Policy Institute

*Heiland, F., Prskawetz, A., and W.C. Sanderson. 2008. Are individuals’ desired family sizes stable? Evidence from West German panel data. European Journal of Population 24(2): 129-156. ISSN 0168-6577

Lutz, W. 2008. What should be the goal of population policies? Focus on ‘Balanced Human Capital Development’. Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2008, pp. 17-24.

*Crespo Cuaresma, J., Fidrmuc, J., and M.A. Silgoner. 2008. Fundamentals, the exchange rate and prospects for the current and future EU enlargements – Evidence from Bulgaria, Croatia, Romania and Turkey. Empirica 35: 195-211.

*Crespo Cuaresma, J., Silgoner, M.A., and D. Ritzberger-Grünwald. 2008. Growth, convergence and EU membership. Applied Economics 40: 643-656.

*Crespo Cuaresma, J., Foster, N., and J. Scharler. 2008. Barriers to technology adoption, international R&D spillovers and growth. Economics Bulletin 15: 1-7.

*Crespo Cuaresma, J., Hlouskova, J., and M. Obersteiner. 2008. Natural disasters as creative destruction: Evidence from developing countries. Economic Inquiry 46(2): 208-213.

*Crespo Cuaresma, J. and A. Gschwandtner. 2008. Tracing the dynamics of competition: Evidence from company profits. Economic Inquiry 46(2): 214-226.

*Crespo Cuaresma, J. 2008. Okun's law. In S.N. Durlauf and L.E. Blume, (eds.), The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edition. Basingstoke and New York: Palgrave Macmillan.

*Mishra, T., Adusei, J. and M. Parhi. 2008. Age-structured human capital and spatial total factor productivity dynamics. Economics Series 226. Vienna: Institute for Advanced Studies.

*Mishra, T. K. 2008. Stochastic Demographic Dynamics and Economic Growth 33(4): 9-186. Cologne, Germany: Center for Historical Social Research.

*Sanderson, W. and S. Scherbov. 2008. Rethinking age and aging. Population Bulletin 63(4). ISSN 0032-468X

*Ren, Q., Zheng, X., Lutz, W., and S. Scherbov. 2008. Uncertain Demographic Dynamics in China. Chinese Journal of Population Science 6:19-27.

*Lutz, W. 2008. Europe’s changing population in a global context. European View 7(2): 237-245. DOI: 10.1007/s12290-008-0061-7

*Mishra, T. and C. Diebolt. 2008. Demographic volatility and economic growth: Convention and beyond. Quality & Quantity, DOI: 10.1007/s11135-008-9177-8

*Azomahou, T. and T. Mishra. 2008. Age dynamics and economic growth: Revisiting the nexus in a nonparametric setting. Economics Letters 99 : 67-71.

*Lutz, W. and S. Scherbov. 2008. O contributo da imigração para o futuro demográfico da Europa. Pages 243-259 in D.G. Papademetriou (ed.), A Europa e os Seus Imigrantes no Século XXI. Lisbon, Portugal: Fundação Luso-Americana para o Desenvolvimento (in Portuguese). ISBN 978-972-8654-33-7

Lutz, W. 2008. On edellytys kestävälle kehitykselle. Ulkopolitiikka 2: 13-16. Helsinki (in Finnish).

Skirbekk, V. 2008. Ageing in the European regions. Over.Werk 1: 71-72. Leuven, Belgium: Werk en Sociale Economie, Uitgeverij Acco. ISSN 1379-7034

* Skirbekk, V. 2008. Age and productivity capacity: Descriptions, causes and policy options. Over.Werk 1: 33-46. Leuven, Belgium: Werk en Sociale Economie, Uitgeverij Acco. ISSN 1379-7034

* Skirbekk, V. 2008. Age and productivity capacity: Descriptions, causes and policy options. Ageing Horizons 8: 4-12. Oxford, UK: Oxford Institute of Ageing. ISSN 1746-1073 (pdf)

* Lutz, W. and V. Skirbekk. 2008. Low fertility in Europe in a global demographic context. Pages 3-19 in J.C. Tremmel (ed.), Demographic Change and Intergenerational Justice. Berlin: Springer.

* Goujon, A. and K.C., S. 2008. The past and future of human capital in south-east Asia: From 1970 to 2030. Asian Population Studies 4(1): 31-56.

* Jensen, T.K., Sobotka, T., Hansen, M.A., Pedersen, A.T., Lutz, W., and N.E., Skakkebæk. 2008. Declining trends in conception rates in recent birth cohorts of native Danish women: A possible role of deteriorating male reproductive health. International Journal of Andrology 31(2): 81-89.

* Lutz, W. 2008. Has Korea’s fertility reached the bottom? The hypothesis of a “low Fertility Trap” in parts of Europe and East Asia. Asian Population Studies 4(1): 1-4.

* Khan, H. T. A. and W. Lutz. 2008. How well did past UN population projections anticipate demographic trends in six South-east Asian countries? Asian Population Studies 4(1): 77-95.

* Skirbekk, V. 2008. Fertility trends by social status. Demographic Research 18: 145-180.(pdf)

* Lutz, W., Crespo Cuaresma, J., and W. Sanderson. 2008. The demography of educational attainment and economic growth. Science 319: 1047-1048.

* Lutz, W., Sanderson, W., and S. Scherbov. 2008. The coming acceleration of global population ageing. Nature 451: 716-719.

* Prskawetz, A., Bloom, D. E., and W. Lutz. (eds) 2008. Population aging, human capital accumulation, and productivity growth. Supplement to Population and Development Review (34). New York: Population Council.

* Bloom, D. E., Lutz, W., Prskawetz, A. 2008. Introduction. Pages 3-14 in Prskawetz, A., Bloom, D. E., and W. Lutz (eds), Population Aging, Human Capital Accumulation, and Productivity Growth. Supplement to Population and Development Review (34). New York: The Population Council.

* Lutz, W., Goujon, A., and A. Wils. 2008. The population dynamics of human capital accumulation. Pages 149-187 in Prskawetz, A., Bloom, D. E., and W. Lutz (eds), Population Aging, Human Capital Accumulation, and Productivity Growth. Supplement to Population and Development Review (34). New York: Population Council.

* Skirbekk, V. 2008. Age and productivity potential: A new approach based on ability levels and industry-wide task demand. Pages 191-207 in Prskawetz, A., Bloom, D. E., and W. Lutz (eds), Population Aging, Human Capital Accumulation, and Productivity Growth. Supplement to Population and Development Review (34). New York: Population Council.

IIASA Publications
(IIASA publications are generally available in PDF, click on the link to download them)

KC, S., Barakat, B., Goujon, A., Skirbekk, V., and W. Lutz. 2008. Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050. Interim Report IR-08-038 (December 2008, 56 pp). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Abstract] [Full Text]

Riosmena, F., Prommer, I., Goujon, A., and S. K.C. 2008. An Evaluation of the IIASA/VID education-specific back projections. Interim Report IR-08-019 (August 2008, 40pp). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Abstract] [Full Text]

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W., and S. Scherbov. 2008. Global and regional population ageing: How certain are we of its dimensions? Interim Report IR-08-015 (August 2008, 28 pp). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Abstract] [Full Text]

Abbasi-Shavazi, M. J., Lutz, W., Hosseini-Chavoshi, M., and S. K.C. 2008. Education and the world's most rapid fertility decline in Iran. Interim Report IR-08-010 (May 2008, 25pp). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Abstract] [Full Text]

Publications 2007

Books, Book Chapters, Reports, and Journal Articles
(* denotes peer-reviewed)

Scherbov, S. and D. Ediev. 2007. Probabilistic household projections based on an extension of headship rates method with application to the case of Russia. Pages 285-306 in Work Session on Demographic Projections, Bucharest 10-12 October 2007. Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities. ISBN 978-92-79-04759-6.
[Full Text]

*Goujon, A., Skirbekk, V., Fliegenschnee, K. New times, old beliefs: Investigating the future of religions in Austria and Switzerland. . Pages 355-370 in Work Session on Demographic Projections, Bucharest 10-12 October 2007. Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities. ISBN 978-92-79-04759-6.
[Full Text]

*Lutz, W. 2007. The future of human reproduction: Will birth rates recover or continue to fall? Ageing Horizons 7: 15-21. (Oxford Institute of Ageing)
[Full Text]

*Lutz, W. 2007. Wird die Geburtenrate in Europa weiter sinken? Pages 183-200 in Höhn, C. and J. Dorbritz (eds), Demographischer Wandel - Wandel der Demographie. Festschrift für Prof. Dr. Karl Schwarz. Schriftenreihe des Bundesinstituts für Bevölkerungsforschung, Band 37. Wiesbaden, Deutschland: VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften. ISBN 978-3-531-15723-8.

*Mahlberg, B., Fuernkranz-Prskawetz, A., and V. Skirbekk. 2007. Labor productivity and workforce age in Austrian ICT manufacturing and service sectors. Pages 217-233 in Sinigoj, G., Jones, G., Hirokawa, K., and S. Linhart (eds), The Impact of Ageing: A Common Challenge for Europe and Asia. Vienna, Austria: LIT Verlag. ISBN 978-3-7000-0730-2.

*Lutz, W. 2007. Demographic ageing and human capital: Europe and Asia in comparative perspective. Pages 35-48 in Sinigoj, G., Jones, G., Hirokawa, K., and S. Linhart (eds), The Impact of Ageing: A Common Challenge for Europe and Asia. Vienna, Austria: LIT Verlag. ISBN 978-3-7000-0730-2.

Fuernkranz-Prskawetz, A., Mahlberg, B., and V. Skirbekk. 2007. Demographic structure and firm productivity in Austria. Wirtschaftspolitische Blaetter 4/2007: 595-608. Vienna, Austria: Wirtschaftskammer Oesterreich. ISSN: 1605-8704.

* Fuernkranz-Prskawetz, A., Mahlberg, B., and V. Skirbekk. 2007. Firm productivity, work-force age and educational structure in Austrian industries in 2001. Pages 38-66 in Clark, R., Ogawa, N., and A. Mason (eds), Population Aging, Intergenerational Transfers and the Macroeconomy. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar.

* Lutz, W. 2007. New ways of capturing the demographic and education dynamics of the global youth cohort. Pages 39-54 in Kochendörfer-Lucius, G. and B. Pleskovic (eds), Development and the Next Generation. Berlin Workshop Series 2007. Washington, D.C., USA: The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/ The World Bank.

* Lutz, W. 2007. Medellivslängden ökar och italienarna skaffar sig färre bambini. Pages 94-99 in Jernelöv, A. and J. Palme (eds), Oväntade framtider. Stockholm, Sweden: Santerus Forlag. [in Swedish]

* Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov. 2007. A near electoral majority of pensioners: Prospects and policies. Population and Development Review 33(3): 543-554.

* Gruebler A., O'Neill B., Riahi K., Chirkov V., Goujon A., Kolp P., Prommer I., Scherbov S., and E. Slentoe. 2007. Regional, national, and spatially explicit scenarios of demographic and economic change based on SRES. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 74(7): 936-961. Special Issue: Greenhouse Gases - Integrated Assessment (September 2007).
[Full details] [doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2006.05.023]

IIASA Publications
(IIASA publications are generally available in PDF, click on the link to download them)

Crespo Cuaresma, J. and T. Mishra. 2007. Human capital, age structure and growth fluctuation. Interim Report IR-07-031 (October 2007, 30 pp). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Abstract] [Full text]

Lutz, W., Samir K. C., Khan, H. T. A., Scherbov, S., and G. W. Leeson. 2007. Future ageing in Southeast Asia: Demographic trends, human capital and health status. Interim Report IR-07-026 (September 2007, 17 pp). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Abstract] [Full text]

Lutz, W. and S. Scherbov. 2007. The contribution of migration to Europes demographic future: Projections for the EU-25 to 2050. Interim Report IR-07-024 (September 2007, 17 pp). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Abstract] [Full text]

Staveteig, S. 2007. How many persons in East Timor went 'missing' during the Indonesian occupation?: Results from indirect estimates. Interim Report IR-07-003 (January 2007, 41 pp). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Abstract] [Full text]

Crespo Cuaresma, J. and W. Lutz. 2007. Human capital, age structure and economic growth: Evidence from a new dataset. Interim Report IR-07-011 (April 2007, 18 pp). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Abstract] [Full text]

Goujon, A., Alkitkat, H., Lutz, W., and I. Prommer. 2007. Population and human capital growth in Egypt: Projections for governorates to 2051. Interim Report IR-07-010 (March 2007, 116 pp). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Full text] [Abstract]
Executive Summary: High resolution -- Low resolution (fax print quality)

Lutz, W., Goujon, A., Samir K. C., and W. Sanderson. 2007. Reconstruction of populations by age, sex and level of educational attainment for 120 countries for 1970-2000. Interim Report IR-07-002 (2007, 45 pp). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Full text] [Abstract]

* Lutz, W., Skirbekk, V., and M. R. Testa. 2007. The low fertility trap hypothesis: Forces that may lead to further postponement and fewer births in Europe. Pages 167-192 in Philipov, D., Liefbroer, A. C., and F. C. Billari (eds), Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2006. Vienna, Austria: Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften (2006). Reprinted as RP-07-001 (March 2007).

Publications 2006

Lutz, W. 2006. Familien: Lebensquellen der Gesellschaft. Pages 51-74 in Aktuelle Methoden und Konzepte in der Familienberatung. Munich, Deutschland: Deutsche Arbeitsgemeinschaft fuer Jugend- und Eheberatung e.V., Informationsrundschreiben Nr. 212, April 2006.
[Can be ordered from www.dajeb.de/]

Lutz, W. 2006. MDGs and research: A global perspective. What can scientists do to support and critically evaluate the implementation of the MDGs and their synergies? Pages 13-23 in Proceedings of the KEF-MDG+5-Workshop, Nov. 29, 2005, A Critical Look at the Role of Research in Achieving the Millennium Development Goals. Vienna, Austria: Commission for Development Studies at the Austrian Academy of Sciences.
www.oeaw.ac.at/kef/millennium_dev_goals.htm

Lutz, W. 2006. Forum: Overpopulation and sustainability. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 4(3): 159-160.

* Skirbekk, V., Kohler, H.-P., and A. Prskawetz. 2006. The marginal effect of school leaving age on demographic events. A contribution to the discussion on causality. Pages 65-85 in Gustafsson, S. and A. Kalwij (eds), Education and Postponement of Maternity. Amsterdam, The Netherlands: Kluwer Publications. http://www.springerlink.com/content/q068202745239g53/

* Lutz, W., Skirbekk, V., and M. R. Testa. 2006. The low fertility trap hypothesis: Forces that may lead to further postponement and fewer births in Europe. Pages 167-192 in Philipov, D., Liefbroer, A. C., and F. C. Billari (eds), Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2006. Vienna, Austria: Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften. ISBN 3-7001-3808-3, ISBN 978-3-7001-3808-2, ISSN 1728-4414.
[Full Text]

* Goujon, A. 2006. Is progress in education sustainable? Pages 83-100 in Pool, I., Wong, L. R., and E. Vilquin (eds), Age-structural Transitions: Challenges for Development. Paris, France: CICRED.

Lutz, W., Goujon, A., and A. Wils. 2005. Forecasting human capital: Using demographic multi-state methods by age, sex, and education to show the long-term effects of investments in education. Working Paper WP-07-03. Washington, D. C., USA: Education Policy and Data Center, Academy for Educational Development.

Goujon, A. and Samir K. C. 2006. Past and future of human capital in Southeast Asia: From 1970 to 2030. VID Working Paper 07/2006. Vienna, Austria: Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences, 38 pp.
[Full text]

*Goujon, A. 2006. Is progress in education sustainable? In Pool, I., Wong, L. R., and E. Vilquin, Age-structural Transitions: Challenges for Development. Paris, France: CICRED, pp.83-100.

Mamolo, M. and S.Scherbov. 2006. Population projections for non EU/non EFTA countries in Europe. European Demographic Research Papers, No. 2. Vienna, Austria: Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences.
[Full text]

* Lutz, W., Richter, R., and C. Wilson (eds). 2006. The New Generation of Europeans. Demography and Families in the Enlarged European Union. London, UK: Earthscan.

* Lutz, W. and C. Wilson. 2006. Introduction. Pages 3-17 in Lutz, W., Richter, R. and C. Wilson (eds), The New Generations of Europeans. London, UK: Earthscan.

* Lutz, W. 2006. Alternative paths for future European fertility: Will the birth rate recover or continue to decline? Pages 83-100 in Lutz, W., Richter, R., and C. Wilson (eds), The New Generations of Europeans. London, UK: Earthscan.

* Lutz, W., Kritzinger, S., and V. Skirbekk. 2006. The demography of growing European identity. Science 314: 425.
[Full text]

Lutz, W. 2006. Pages 120-123 in Demographic Challenges - Family Needs Partnership (Documentation of the specialist conference). Vienna, Austria: Federal Ministry of Social Security, Generations and Consumer Protection, DG V, Unit for Men's Affairs. [in English]

Lutz, W. 2006. Pages 130-132 in Demographische Herausforderungen - Familie braucht Partnerschaft (Dokumentation der ExpertInnenkonferenz). Vienna, Austria: Bundesministerium fuer soziale Sicherheit, Generationen und Konsumentenschutz, Sektion V, Maennerpolitische Grundsatzabteilung. [in German]

* Lutz, W. 2006. Global demographic trends, education, and health. Pages 252-268 in Interactions Between Global Change and Human Health. Vatican City: The Pontifical Academy of Sciences, Scripta Varia 106.

* Shrestha, N., Samir K. C., Baltussen, R., Kafle, K. K., Bishai, D., and L. Niessen. 2006. Practical approach to lung health in Nepal: Better prescribing and reduction of cost. Tropical Medicine and International Health 11(5):765-772.

Goujon, A., Skirbekk, V., Fliegenschnee, K., and P. Strzelecki. 2006. New times, old beliefs: Projecting the future size of religions in Austria. VID Working Paper 01/ 2006. Vienna, Austria: Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences.
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Lutz, W. 2006. Demographische Entwicklung in Österreich. Pages 19-20 in Jedelsky, E. (eds), Heimhilfe. Vienna, Austria: Springer Verlag.

* Lutz, W. and S. Scherbov. 2006. Future demographic change in Europe: The contribution of migration. Pages 207-222 in Papademetriou, D. G. (eds), Europe and Its Immigrants in the 21st Century. A New Deal or a Continuing Dialogue of the Deaf? Washington, D.C., USA.: Migration Policy Institute. ISBN 09742819-4-8.

Skirbekk, V. 2006. Leistungsfaehigkeit im Alter. Personalfuehrung 4/2006: 6-7. (Deutsche Gesellschaft fuer Personalfuehrung e.V.)

Lutz, W. 2006. Toward building a comprehensive migration projections framework. Working paper prepared for the Center for Strategic and International Studies Project on Long-Term Immigration Projections, published on-line by the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College (USA) as an annex (Pages 29-52) to the document "Long-term immigration projection methods: Current practice and how to improve it" by Howe, N. and R. Jackson. CRR WP 2006-3.
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* Wilson, C. 2006. The century ahead. Daedalus (Winter 2006): 5-8.

* Lutz, W. 2006. Fertility rates and future population trends: Will Europe's birth rate recover or continue to decline? International Journal of Andrology 29: 25-33.

* Skirbekk, V. 2006. Does school duration affect student performance? Findings from canton based variation in Swiss educational length. Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics 142(1): 115-145.

Lutz, W. 2005. Families: Society's human resource. Pages 15-24 in Conference Report: 52nd Annual ICCFR/CIRCF International Conference on Differing needs: Societies' responses to children, parents, families, couples and the older generation, June 3-6, 2005, Vienna, Austria.
Can be downloaded from
www.iccfr.org/documents/PublicationVienna.pdf

IIASA Publications
(IIASA publications are generally available in PDF, click on the link to download them)

Prommer, I. 2006. Current practice of official population projections in the EU. Interim Report IR-06-026 (July 2006). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Full text] [Abstract]

Fotso, J.-C. 2006. Malawi's future human capital: Is the country on track to meeting the MDGs on education? Interim Report IR-06-020 (May 2006). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Full text] [Abstract]

O'Neill, B.C., Prommer, I., and A. Goujon. 2006. Downscaling population projections from world regions to countries. Interim Report IR-06-015. Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.

Prommer, I. and B. C. O'Neill. 2006. Comparison of SRES population assumptions to recent projections. Interim Report IR-06-016. Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.

Lutz, W., Skirbekk, V., and M. R. Testa. 2006. The Low Fertility Trap hypothesis: Forces that may lead to further postponement and fewer births in Europe. Interim Report IR-06-017 (April 2006). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA .
[Full text] [Abstract]

* Goujon, A. 2006. Demographic transition and education in development countries. Reprinted from Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems (EOLSS). Oxford, UK: EOLSS Publishers. Reprint RP-06-004 (April 2006). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Abstract, Order $10.00]

Woubalem, Z. 2006. Estimates of excess adult deaths due to HIV/AIDS in Kenya. Interim Report IR-06-013 (March 2006). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Full text] [Abstract]

Figoli, M. G. B. 2006. Educational attainment in Brazil: An analysis of the rates between 1970 and 2000. Interim Report IR-06-005 (January 2006). Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA.
[Full text] [Abstract]

Publications 1994-2005: download as PDF