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Probabilistic Projections Recommended readings (* denotes peer-reviewed) * Ren Qiang and Wolfgang Lutz. 2003. Population Density and Human Fertility:
An Exploratory Analysis. Chinese Journal of Population Science, No. 5
(October 1, 2003), pp. 1-10 (published in Chinese). * O'Neill, Brian. 2003. Climate Change and Population: Future. Pages
149-152 in Encyclopedia of Population, edited by Paul Demeny and Geoffrey
McNicoll, Volume 1. New York: Thomson Gale. * Lutz, W., B.C. ONeill, and S. Scherbov. 2003. Europes population at a turning point. Science 299:1991-1992 (to download full text click here). Lutz, W., and S. Scherbov. 2003. Can Immigration Compensate for Europe's
Low Fertility? European Demographic Research Papers No. 1. Vienna, Austria:
Vienna Institute of Demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences. IIASA Publications Lutz, W., Scherbov, S.. 2003. Future Demographic Change in Europe: The Contribution of Migration. Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA, IR-03-066 (December 2003). Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S., ONeill, B.C., and Lutz, W. 2003. Conditional Probabilistic Population Forecasting. Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA, IR-03-052 (October 2003). ONeill, B.C. 2003. Conditional Probabilistic Population Projections: An Application to Climate Change. Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA, IR-03-051 (October 2003). Leiwen, J., and ONeill, B.C. 2003. Toward a New Model for Probabilistic Household Forecasts. Laxenburg, Austria: IIASA, IR-03-050 (October 2003). Lutz, W., and S. Scherbov. 2003. Toward
Structural and Argument-Based Probabilistic Population Projections in
Asia: Endogenizing the Education-Fertility Links. Laxenburg, Austria:
IIASA, IR-03-014 (April 2003).
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