The end of world population growth

Lutz, W., Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S. 2001. The end of world population growth. Nature 412:543-545.
Reprinted as RR-01-12 by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.

The article on THE END OF WORLD POPULATION GROWTH has received wide press coverage. It was Nature's featured article of the week.
Population Project Leader Wolfgang Lutz and colleagues Warren Sanderson of the State University of New York at Stony Brook and Sergei Scherbov of the University of Groningen find it highly probable that world population will reach a peak during this century and then start to decline.
Over the coming decades there will be a growing demographic divide. For many of today's poorest countries, population growth, reproductive health, and poverty will still be pressing issues. In more and more countries, including China, population aging will pose a major challenge.

The IIASA Reprint Research Report (RR-01-012) can be ordered for a handling charge of US$12 at http://www.iiasa.ac.at/cgi-bin/pubsrch?ORDER:RR01012. In case of problems visit IIASA's Publication Department to find out how to order the reprint.

The Nature website includes supplementary information, methods, and references.

Correspondence and requests for materials should be addressed to Wolfgang Lutz (lutz@iiasa.ac.at).

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Last updated: 24 Feb 2011