Below are relevant publications provided by the conference participants:

Brian O'Neill
Melnikov, N. B., and B. C. O'Neill. (2006) Learning about the carbon cycle from global budget data, Geophysical Research Letters 33, L02705, doi:10.1029/2005GL023935. (pdf)

O'Neill, B.C. and M. Desai. (2005) The historical accuracy of projections of U.S. energy consumption, Energy Policy 33(8), 979-993. (pdf)

Warren Sanderson
Sanderson, W., Scherbov, S., O'Neill, B.C., and W. Lutz. (2004) Conditional probabilistic forecasting, International Statistical Review 72(2), 157-166. (pdf)

Nicolas Treich
Eeckhoudt, L., Gollier, C., and N.Treich. (2005) Optimal consumption and the timing of the resolution of uncertainty, European Economic Review 49, 761 – 773. (pdf)

Gollier, C. and N. Treich. (2003) Decision-Making Under Scientific Uncertainty: The Economics of the Precautionary Principle, The Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 27(1), 77–103. (pdf)

Jonathan Koomey
Ghanadan, R. and J. Koomey. (2005) Using Energy Scenarios to Explore Alternative Energy Pathways in California, Energy Policy
33 (9), 1117-1142.

Koomey, J. G., Craig, P., Gadgil, A., and D. Lorenzetti. (2003) Improving long-range energy modeling: A plea for historical
retrospectives, The Energy Journal 24( 4), 75-92.

Craig,P., Gadgil, A., and J. Koomey. (2002) What Can
History Teach Us? A Retrospective Analysis of Long-term Energy
Forecasts for the U.S. In Annual Review of Energy and the
Environment 2002, R. H. Socolow, D. Anderson and J. Harte (eds.),
Annual Reviews, Inc., Palo Alto, CA, p. 83-118.

Koomey, J. (2002) From My Perspective: Avoiding "The Big
Mistake" in Forecasting Technology Adoption, Technological
Forecasting and Social Change 69(5), 511-518.

DeCanio, S. J. (2003) Economic Models of Climate Change: A Critique. Basingstoke, UK: Palgrave-Macmillan.

Responsible for this page: Katja Scherbov
Last updated: 08 May 2006