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Updated: April 23, 2002

 
Data: Demography
Austria, Germany, France: Population Estimates and Projections, 1950-2050

Source:

 The historical estimates and the data for the base year (1995) were taken from: United Nations (2001): World Population Prospects. The 2000 Revision. New York (UN Population Division);
The projections were calculated by the author, using the DemoTools software package.

Method:

 This is a cohort-component projection, using UN base data for 1995 and age-specific fertility, mortality and migration estimates for the projection period (2000-2050) that are identical to the UN medium variant assumptions. (For details see: United Nations, 2001).
Please note that these medium variant scenarios assume a slight fertility increase during the next few decades! For instance, for Germany we project a TFR increase from 1.32 in 1995 to 1.61 children per women in 2050. However, please also note that we do not assume a fertility increase to the reproductive level of about 2.1.

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