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A European model
system in adaptive-radiation research: the whitefish in large Swiss
pre-Alpine lakes: the central phenotype is widespread in rivers and
along the shallow shores of lakes. The others are derived species,
many of which are endemic to one or a few lakes. All species shown,
except the one at the bottom, are sympatric in Lake Thun.
© Ole Seehausen |
Diversity of diversification
The entire range of evolutionary diversification mechanisms needs to be
explored to understand the ecological, evolutionary, and environmental
factors that favour, alternatively, the evolution of phenotypic plasticity
in ecological traits, ecologically neutral differentiation in mating traits,
the broadening of intraspecific polymorphisms by rearrangement of a population’s
genetic architecture, the emergence of sexual dimorphisms, and –
as just one among these several options – speciation. This begs
questions about the mechanisms preventing speciation in the first four
processes, and whether the fifth process, successful speciation, may entail
the loss of diversity.
Signatures of speciation
The generation of differential testable hypotheses is urgently needed
for empirically identifying alternative speciation modes and for moving
towards the quantitative and standardized assessment – based on
the joint utilization of phylogenetic, genetic, ecological, and spatial
data – of the relative frequencies with which these modes occur
in nature.
Species cohesion
The flipside of speciation is species cohesion. It remains to be understood
how genetic, ecological, and spatial factors interact in preventing species
from splitting. This question is particularly relevant for asexual species,
and indeed for their definition, since traditional species concepts based
on interbreeding can only be applicable to asexual species.
Speciation models for specific systems
There currently exists a gap between general speciation models and the
features of specific natural systems. General models play an important
role in the speciation debate by addressing the complexities of speciation
dynamics that cannot be captured by verbal models. However, an intermediate
approach will have to be established in the medium term, so that the specifics
of individual systems can be integrated and explored with the same flexibility
and thoroughness. Devising and calibrating such system-specific speciation
models will only be successful if based on an open and intensive dialogue
between empirical and theoretical experts.
The role of interspecific interactions
While the dominant selection pressures involved in speciation processes
may often be intraspecific, many such processes will be strongly influenced
by interspecific interactions. Both types of interactions may drive competitive,
ecological, and adaptive speciation, and may also be responsible for the
reinforcement of reproductive isolation in allopatrically initiated speciation.
Ultimately, large-scale phylogenetic and biogeographical patterns can
only be understood from a perspective sufficiently informed by, and embedded
in, community ecology. Models of evolving communities and food webs have
recently emerged to address the community dimension of speciation patterns
and processes. Starting from only fundamental assumptions on the number
of different resources, and possible types of ecological interactions,
these models can be used to study the conditions under which different
modes of speciation can be expected. Systematic comparisons of predictions
based on ecologically detailed speciation models with those obtained from
the neutral theory of biodiversity and biogeography will prove particularly
important in this context. In the long-term, these seemingly disparate
approaches will need to be integrated into a more encompassing overarching
framework.
Speciation and bioinvasions
With the transport of alien species into new environments now being accelerated
on a global scale – resulting in invading pioneers that occur in
small numbers, are geographically isolated, and experience strong local
selection pressures – the impacts of bioinvasions on speciation
rates deserve to become better understood.
Hybridization and adaptive radiations
Since hybridization and adaptive radiations
are not uncommonly occurring together, their interplay needs to be better
understood. Both processes are associated with, and promoted by, colonization,
but might also promote each other. Moreover, hybridization and gene flow
between radiating populations may be critical for generating and maintaining
genetic variation required for selection-driven speciation.
Genetics and genomics of speciation
Reproductive isolation is, in many modes of speciation, initially concentrated
around a few genes and then spreads to encompass the whole genome. The
technology is now available to describe genome-wide patterns of genetic
differentiation, to identify key genes, and to ask about the relative
importance of different types of genetic change in the build-up of reproductive
isolation. New analytical techniques will be needed to make the most of
the growing amounts of data available.
Biodiversity losses
through reverse speciation
Since a large fraction of the world’s species diversity is of recent
evolutionary origin, the ecological and evolutionary processes underlying
biodiversity formation and loss deserve to be analyzed within a common
framework. In particular, as much as environmental heterogeneity may foster
the emergence of species, anthropogenic environmental homogenization may
cause their demise.
Speciation in ecosystems
Currently available empirical and theoretical insights will have to be
extended to understand the embedding of gradual evolution and speciation
into multi-species communities and food webs, thus contributing to the
prediction of evolutionarily robust patterns of ecosystem structure and
functioning.
Evolutionary biogeography
Eco-genetic models of speciation dynamics are to be studied on increasingly
realistic spatial landscapes, with the ultimate aim of devising the fundamentals
of a new process-based approach to evolutionary biogeography, including
an improved understanding of the evolutionary ecology of hybrid zones.
Macro-ecological explanations of biodiversity
The neutral theory of biodiversity and biogeography on the one hand, and
speciation theories based on niche differentiation on the other, offer
radically different views on how biodiversity arises and is maintained,
highlighting a rift in the scientific understanding of biological diversity
that needs to be reconciled.
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