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Annual Meeting of the
International Energy Workshop 2005
jointly organized by RITE, CRIEPI, EPRI, IEEJ, JSER, NEDO, EMF, IEA(ETSAP), and IIASA
5-7 July 2005 at the Pa-lu-lu Plaza Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan
 
 
Last modified: 03 Jun 2006


 
Tuesday - 5 July 2005
Conference Room C
8:30
Registration
9:00-9:20

Opening and Welcome Address:
Yoichi Kaya, Alan Manne, Leo Schrattenholzer


PLENARY SESSION I
CHAIRPERSON: Kenji YAMAJI

9:20-9:50 Yuji MORITA
  Asian Energy Outlook and Its Implications
       
9:50-10:20 Taroh MATSUNO

  Projection of the Future Climate Change - Recent Results from Japanese Research Groups
       
10:20-11:00 Coffee Break
   
       
11:00-11:30 Mark HOWELLS, Josh HOUSE, John “Skip” LAITNER
  Beyond the Baseline – Large Scale Climate Friendly Development
       
11:30-12:00 Hiroyuki WATANABE   Toyota's Environmental Challenge - Toward Sustainable Mobility
       
12:00-13:30 Lunch    

Tuesday Afternoon - 5 July 2005 - 13:30-17:30

 
PARALLEL SESSION 1-1-1:
Conference Room C
MANAGING UNCERTAINTY AND CLIMATE CHANGE
(1 of 2)
Short Abstracts for this parallel session
CHAIRPERSONS
:
Ton Manders
and Sonia Yeh
PARALLEL SESSION 1-2-1:
Conference Room D
TECHNOLOGICAL RESPONSES TO CLIMATE CHANGE (1 of 2)

CHAIRPERSONS
:
Dolf Gielen and
Atsushi Kurosawa
PARALLEL SESSION 1-3-1:
Conference Room 6
METHODOLOGY
(1 of 2)

CHAIRPERSONS
:
GianCarlo Tosato and
Junichi Fujino
13:30-13:50

Uncertainty of Air Pollution Cost Estimates: To What Extent Does It Matter?

Ari RABL, Joseph SPADARO, Bob van der ZWAAN

Negative Emissions Energy and CO2 Levels

Aroon PARSHOTAM, Ian ENTING, Peter READ

Assessing Equity Effects of Climate Change Policy through the American Consumer Expenditure Survey: New Results on Housing and Transportation

Alain L. BERNARD

13:50-14:10

An Analysis Using Cost-Loss-Table to Manage Uncertainty of Global Environmental Damages

Hiromi YAMAMOTO

Towards Construction of a Global Energy System Utilizing Carbonized Biomass

Pyong Sik PAK, Makoto TAKAOKA

How Clean is CDM?

Johannes BOLLEN, Ton MANDERS

14:10-14:30

Energy Policy, Uncertainty and Collapse of the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation (THC)

Olivier BAHN, A. LEACH

Optimum Type of Biomass for Global Energy Transportation

Takako HONJO, Hiroshi SANO, Touru SAWAI

Analysis of the Energy Access Improvement and its Socio-economic Impacts in Rural Areas of Developing Countries

Makoto KANAGAWA, Toshihiko NAKATA

14:30-14:50

Stochastic Integrated Assessment Modelling: the Climate Risk Premium

Georg MUELLER-FUERSTENBERGER

Renewable Energy Policy Analysis in Japan: A Simulation with a Computable General Equilibrium Model

Takemi SATO, Toshihiko NAKATA, Ronald SANDS

 

14:50-15:20
Coffee Break
Coffee Break

Coffee Break

 
PARALLEL SESSION 1-1-2:
Conference Room C
MANAGING UNCERTAINTY AND CLIMATE CHANGE
(2 of 2)
Short Abstracts for this parallel session
CHAIRPERSONS
:
Ton Manders
and Sonia Yeh
PARALLEL SESSION 1-2-2:
Conference Room D
TECHNOLOGICAL RESPONSES TO CLIMATE CHANGE (2 of 2)

CHAIRPERSONS
:
Dolf Gielen and
Atsushi Kurosawa

PARALLEL SESSION 1-3-2:
Conference Room 6
METHODOLOGY
(2 of 2)

CHAIRPERSONS
:
GianCarlo Tosato and
Junichi Fujino

15:20-15:40

The Role of Carbon Taxes and R&D Subsidies in Climate Policy

Thomas F. RUTHERFORD

Prospects for Renewables in a CO2 Constrained World

Fridtjof UNANDER, Dolf GIELEN, Niclas MATTSSON

Study on Long-term Energy Strategy in Northeast Asia for CO2 Mitigation with an Econometric Model

Ryoichi KOMIYAMA, Li ZHIDONG, Kokichi ITO

15:40-16:00

Assessment of the Economic Impact of High Energy Costs. Comparison between a General and a Partial Equilibrium Model

Francesco GRACCEVA, Umberto CIORBA

Virtual Power Plants across Energy-Autonomous Regions

Markus BIBERACHER, Walter RIEDER, Josef STROBL

An E3 Econometric analysis of CDM and Technology Transfer between Japan and China

Mitsuo YAMADA

16:00-16:20

Climate Change and Security of Energy Supply: Long-term Synergies and Trade-offs

Hal TURTON, Leonardo BARRETO

Modeling Electricity Sector in India with Sub-regional Details

Vivek KARANDIKAR, Ashish RANA, Ravikumar PREKKI, Prasanna DANI

 

16:20-16:40

Uncertainty in the Saving – Quantifying the “Rebound Effect”

Mark HOWELLS, John “Skip” LAITNER, Tom ALFSTAD

Optimal Design and Economic Effects of Renewable Energy System for Effective Utilization of Animal Manure and Wood Biomass in Rural Areas in Japan

Y. ITOH, Toshihiko NAKATA

16:40-17:00

An Integrated Model of Energy Use and Carbon Emissions

Youngho CHANG, James A. Roumasset

Sustainable Development Options for Turkey: A Real Options Projection under Technological Learning

Gürkan KUMBAROGLU, Mustafa DEMIREL



Wednesday Morning - 6 July 2005
Conference Room C

PLENARY SESSION II:
CHAIRPERSON: Leo Schrattenholzer

9:00-9:30

Mikiko KAINUMA, Yuzuru MATSUOKA, Go HIBINO, Junich FUJINO, Tatsuya HANAOKA, Maho MIYASHITA, Osamu AKASHI, Rajesh NAIR, Rahul PANDEY

 

GHG Emission Reduction Potentials and Mitigation Cost Analysis in World Regions

       
9:30-10:00 Alan S. MANNE
  Global Climate Decisions Under Uncertainty
Presentation
       
10:00-10:30 Geoffrey J. BLANFORD, John WEYANT   

A Global Portfolio Strategy for Climate Change Technology Development

       
10:30-11:00 Coffee Break    
       
11:00-11:30

Shunsuke MORI, Keigo AKIMOTO, Koji TOKIMATSU, Ayami HAYASI,Takashi HONMA, Fuminori SANO, Toshimasa TOMODA

 

Development of an Integrated Assessment System for the Impact, Mitigation and Adaptation Options of the Global Warming– Project PHOENIX 2005

       
11:30-12:00 Keigo Akimoto, Fuminori Sano, Takashi Homma
and Toshimasa Tomoda
  Analyses of World Supply of Natural Gas with DNE21+ Model
       
12:00-13:30 Lunch  
 Top of the page

Wednesday Afternoon - 6 July 2005 - 13:30-17:30
 
PARALLEL SESSION 2-1-1:
Conference Room C
LONG-TERM ENERGY-ECONOMIC-CLIMATE PROJECTIONS
(1 of 2)

CHAIRPERSONS
:
Thomas Rutherford and
Norihisa Sakurai
PARALLEL SESSION 2-2-1:
Conference Room D
CLIMATE MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION
(1 of 2)

CHAIRPERSON
S:
Andrew Kenny and
Hiromi Yamamoto
PARALLEL SESSION 2-3-1:
Conference Room 6
POLICY AND MITIGATION


CHAIRPERSONS:
Ferenc Toth and
Johannes Bollen
13:30-13:50

WEC Scenarios to 2050

Jean-Marie BOURDAIRE

Interactions between the European Electricity and Gas Market

Markus BLESL

Climate Change Policies Revisited: Do We Need a More “Balanced” Regime

Regina EICH, Wolfgang FISCHER, Jürgen-Friedrich HAKE

13:50-14:10

From Research to Policy Support: The Challenge of Conveying the Few Messages that Can Make a Difference

Stéphane ISOARD

Trade Sanctions and Kyoto Policies

Ton MANDERS, Johannes BOLLEN

Post-Kyoto Climate Negotiations: A Dynamic Game Approach Focusing on Developing and Oil Exporting Countries

Laurent VIGUIER, Marc VIELLE, Alain HAURIE, Alain BERNARD

14:10-14:30

The Management of Large-scale Multi-region MARKAL/TIMES Models

Gary GOLDSTEIN, Amit KANUDIA, Ken NOBLE

Analysis of the Energy System by Energy Model Formulated as Multi-agent Simulation

Yumiko WATANABE, Takeshi SHINOHARA, Taketo HAYASHI,
Yasuamsa FUJII, Kenji YAMAJI

Evaluation of Various International Schemes for Climate Change Mitigation after Kyoto Protocol

Fuminori SANO, Keigo AKIMOTO, Takashi HOMMA, Toshimasa TOMODA

14:30-14:50

Modelling the Effects of CO2 Emissions Trading on Electricity Prices, Industry and Economy

Antti LEHTILÄ, M. KARA, S. SYRI

Measurement of the Marginal Abatement Costs and the Impacts of Reduction of CO2 Emission on World Fuel Markets

Yuko HOSHINO, Yutaka NAGATA

Long-term Evaluation on CO2 Mitigation and Primary Energy Conservation Effects of Co-Generation System in Japan with an Econometric Model

Miki YANAGI, Ryoichi KOMIYAMA, Tetsuji TOMITA, Toshiya IMAEDA, Kokichi ITO

14:50-15:10

Atmospheric and Geological CO2 Damage Costs in Energy Scenarios

Koen SMEKENS, Bob van der ZWAAN

The Impact of Energy Price Increase on Providing
Energy for the Poor in Iran

Mehdi SADEGHI, Mohsen BAKHTIAR, Alimorad SHARIFFI

Perspectives of Electric Power Generation in Europe – Dealing with Policy Impacts, Sustainability and Post-Kyoto Targets

Uwe REMME, Markus BLESL, Alfred VOSS

15:10-15:40
Coffee Break
Coffee Break

Coffee Break

PARALLEL SESSION 2-1-2:
Conference Room C
LONG-TERM ENERGY-ECONOMIC-CLIMATE PROJECTIONS
(2 of 2)

CHAIRPERSONS
:
Thomas Rutherford and
Norihisa Sakurai
PARALLEL SESSION 2-2-2:
Conference Room D
CLIMATE MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION
(2 of 2)

CHAIRPERSON
S:
Andrew Kenny and
Hiromi Yamamoto
PARALLEL SESSION 2-3-2:
Conference Room 6
UNFCCC/POST-KYOTO REGIMES


CHAIRPERSONS:
Ferenc Toth and
Johannes Bollen
15:40-16:00

CO2 Capture and Storage: Impact of Accounting Rule to Energy System and Climate

Atsushi KUROSAWA, Chisato YOSHIGAHARA, Kenshi ITAOKA

Analyzing the Oil Price-GDP Relationship and its Historical Changes

Akira MAEDA, Tetsuo TEZUKA

TIMES Modeling of Energy, Emission and Climate Scenarios

Maryse LABRIET, Richard LOULOU, Amit KANUDIA, Kathleen VAILLANCOURT

16:00-16:20

Multiple Knowledge Gaps towards Climate Stabilization:
The Value of Information

Philippe AMBROSI, Vincent GITZ, Jean-Charles HOURCADE, Philippe CIAIS, Bertrand MAGNÉ

Considering Extraction Constraints in Long-term Oil Supply Modelling

T. REHRL, R. FRIEDRICH, A. VOSS

How much can "Soft Kyoto" Achieve? Assessing the Impact of Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) and Voluntary Carbon Emissions Reductions in the United States

A.J. Goulding, Keiko NOMURA

16:20-16:40

Long-term Analysis of Global CO2 Emission Reductions
by Efficient Technologies

Y. NAGATA, K. FUKUDA, Y. MORI


Scenario Planning of Energy-related Crises in East Asia

Ryota OMORI, Hideyuki HORII

Influence of Technological Learning of Advanced Energy Conversion Technologies on Future Energy Perspectives

Tomohiko ARAKI, Ilkka KEPPO


Thursday Morning - 7 July 2005
Conference Room C

PLENARY SESSION III
CHAIRPERSON: Alan Manne

9:00-9:30

Xiaoli LIU

 

China's Energy Demand and Supply Outlook up to 2020 and its Energy Strategy Implication

       
9:30-10:00

Toshiyuki SAKAMOTO

  Sustainable Future Framework on Climate Change
       
10:00-10:30 Leo SCHRATTENHOLZER
  Towards Political Feasibility: Burden-sharing Rules for Stabilizing Greenhouse Gas Concentrations from an Equity Perspective
       
10:30-11:00 Coffee Break    
       
11:00-11:30 Yoichi KAYA, Keigo AKIMOTO   Total Assessment of Hydrogen Energy System
       
11:30-12:00

Peter READ

 

Building a Global Bio-energy Market

 
 


12:00-13:30 Lunch  
 Top of the page

Thursday Afternoon - 7 July 2005 - 13:30-17:30
 
PARALLEL SESSION 3-1-1:
Conference Room C
ENERGY TECHNOLOGY SYSTEMS ANALYSIS

CHAIRPERSON
S:
Shunsuke Mori and
Hal Turton
PARALLEL SESSION 3-2-1:
Conference Room D
HYDROGEN ECONOMY
(1 of 2)

CHAIRPERSON
S:
Stéphane Isoard and
Akira Maeda
PARALLEL SESSION 3-3-1:
Conference Room 6
LOW-CARBON AND CARBON-FREE FUELS AND TECHNOLOGIES

CHAIRPERSONS:
Mikiko Kainuma and
Bob van der Zwaan
13:30-13:50

A Socio-technical Perspective of Energy Models and Scenarios

GianCarlo TOSATO

Prospects for Hydrogen and Fuel Cells

Dolf GIELEN, Giorgio SIMBOLOTTI

Research of the Decision Model on Capacity and Operation Condition of Energy Systems of the Commercial Building and Urban District Considering Weather Condition of the City

Takeshi ISHIDA, Shunsuke MORI

13:50-14:10

Development of emissions scenarios database for the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report and Regional Mitigation Analysis: A Review of post-SRES scenarios

Tatsuya HANAOKA, Mikiko KAINUMA, Toshihiko MASUI, Junichi FUJINO, Yuzuru MATSUOKA, Reina KAWASE

An Integrated Hydrogen Scenario Analysis: Impacts on Transportation, Energy, and Air Emissions

Sonia YEH, Daniel H. LOUGHLIN

Impact of Improvement and Deployment of Heat Pump Technologies on Carbon Emission from the Residential Sector in Japan

Kei YAMASHITA, Yasuyuki ENDO, Shinya ICHIOKA, Ikuo NISHIMURA

14:10-14:30

Technological Change: Exploring its Implication for the Economics of Atmospheric Stabilisation: Lessons from a Modelling Comparison Exercise

Ottmar EDENHOFER, Claudia KEMFERT, Kai LESSMANN, Jonathan KOEHLER

Impact of Hydrogen Production on US Energy Markets

Paul FRILEY, E. Harry VIDAS, Thaddeus J. HUETTEMAN

Analyzing the Diffusion of Dispersed Power Generation with an Energy Supply-demand Technology Mix Model for Japan

Takanobu KOSUGI

14:30-14:50

Analysis of CO2 Emissions in Long-Term National Scenarios for Climate Stabilization

Reina KAWASE, Yuzuru MATSUOKA, Mikiko KAINUMA

Market Penetration Analysis of FCVs in Japan by Using MARKAL

Eiichi ENDO

Strategy for Reducing CO2 Emissions in the Residential Sector in Japan: Case Study on Energy Saving Measures in the Residential Sector in Iwate Prefecture

Shuichi ASHINA, Toshihiko NAKATA

14:50-15:10

Scenario Development of Japan Low Carbon Society toward 2050: Research Framework and Current Results

Junichi FUJINO, Toshihiko MASUI, Tomoki EHARA, Go HIBINO, Reina KAWASE, Yuzuru MATSUOKA

Dynamic Modeling of Diffusion Process of FCVs Taking into Account Convenience of Hydrogen Refueling

Takeyoshi KATO, Norio HINO, Yasuo SUZUOKI

 

15:10-15:40
Coffee Break
Coffee Break

Coffee Break

PARALLEL SESSION 3-1-2:
Conference Room C
NUCLEAR ENERGY: FUSION AND FISSION


CHAIRPERSON
S:
Shunsuke Mori and
Hal Turton
PARALLEL SESSION 3-2-2:
Conference Room D
HYDROGEN ECONOMY
(2 of 2)


CHAIRPERSON
S:
Stéphane Isoard and
Akira Maeda
PARALLEL SESSION 3-3-2:
Conference Room 6
SOCIOECONOMIC EFFECTS OF AN UNSUSTAINABLE ENERGY-CLIMATE SYSTEM

CHAIRPERSONS:
Mikiko Kainuma and
Bob van der Zwaan
15:40-16:00

Inherently Safe Nuclear Reactors for Reducing Greenhouse Emissions

Andrew Kenny

Difference in Optimal Strategies between Transportation Modes
under the CO2 Stabilization Target of 550 ppm

Takayuki TAKESHITA, Kenji YAMAJI

Economic Impacts of Energy Saving Investment to Reduce CO2 Emission in Japan

Toshihiko MASUI, Tatsuya HANAOKA, Mikiko KAINUMA, Saeko HIKITA

16:00-16:20

Induced Technical Change in the Transportation Sector and Induced Mobility: Policy Implications for Mitigation

Renaud CRASSOUS, Jean-Charles HOURCADE, Olivier SASSI

Development of a Dynamic Energy-economic Assessment Model with Multi-regions and Multi-sectors for the Evaluation of the Carbon Emission Reduction Policy

Takashi HOMMA, Shunsuke MORI, Keigo AKIMOTO, Toshimasa TOMODA

16:20-16:40

Martin Baumann, Christian Eherer, Thomas Hamacher

 

 

Input-output Analysis on Inter-industrial Waste Recycling System in Japan

Takuya HARA, Yoshikuni YOSHIDA, Ryuji MATSUHASHI, Hirokazu SHIMA

16:40-17:00

Japan’s Long-term Energy Scenarios and the Role of Nuclear Energy

Osamu SATO

 

 

Last modified: 03 Jun 2006

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