Tuesday
- 24 June 2003
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| 8:15 |
Shuttle
Bus from Parkhotel Schönbrunn/Hotel
Prinz Eugen to IIASA Conference
Center
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| 8:00-8:45 |
Registration
-- Entrance of the Conference Center in Laxenburg |
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| 9:00 |
Opening
and Welcome Address: Leen Hordijk - IIASA Director
Alan Manne, John Weyant, Fatih Birol, GianCarlo Tosato, Leo Schrattenholzer
- Coordinators |
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PLENARY
SESSION I
CHAIRPERSON: Cesare Marchetti
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| 9:10-9:30 |
Leo
Schrattenholzer |
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Long-Term Energy-Economic-Environment Scenarios and
Policy Making
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| 9:30-10:00 |
Hannes
Jónsson |
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Towards
Hydrogen Economy in Iceland |
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| 10:00-10:30 |
Phillip
Tseng, John Lee, and Paul Friley |
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Hydrogen
Economy: Opportunities and Challenges paper
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10:30-11:00 |
Coffee Break |
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| 11:00-11:30 |
Domenico
Rossetti di Valdalbero |
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The
EU Models and the High-level Group on Hydrogen and Fuel Cells |
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| 11:30-12:00 |
Naomoto
Uesugi |
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R&D
Efforts for a Competitive Market |
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| 12:00-12:30 |
Steve
Xia |
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General Electric's Hydrogen
Research |
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| 12:30-14:00 |
Lunch |
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Tuesday Afternoon - 24 June
2002 - 14:00-17:40
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Theater
Hall #215
PARALLEL SESSION I:
ALTERNATIVE FUELS
CHAIRPERSONS:
Ottmar Edenhofer and
Peter Read
|
Marschall
Room I #188
PARALLEL SESSION II:
LEARNING AND TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS
CHAIRPERSONS:
Alan McDonald and
Jürgen-Friedrich Hake
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Marschall
Room II #177
PARALLEL SESSION III:
RENEWABLE ENERGY
AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
(1 of 2)
CHAIRPERSONS:
Claudia Kemfert and
Kurt Kratena
|
Kamin
Room #173
PARALLEL SESSION IV:
METHODOLOGY
CHAIRPERSONS:
Ronald Sands and
Amit Kanudia
|
| 14:00-14:20 |
Hydrogen
Infrastructure Modeling in USEPA-MARKAL
Ken
Harrison
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Modeling
Experience Curves in MERGE
Socrates
Kypreos
Paper
/ Figures
|
Sustainable
Energy Supply in Germany - Scenario Analysis with Different
CO2 Prices
Markus
Blesl, Uwe Remme, and Ulrich Fahl
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Possible
Global Warming Futures, an Imprecise Probability Theory
Approach
Minh
Ha Duong
Paper |
| 14:20-14:40 |
The
Hydrogen Economy in the 21st Century: A Sustainable Development
Scenario
Leonardo
Barreto, Atsutoshi Makihira, and Keywan Riahi
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Energy Infrastructures Modeling: Eurasia
Gas Pipelines System
Arkadii Kryazhimsky, Oleg Nikonov, Yaroslav
Minullin
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Waste
Recycling for Biomass Electricity: A Comparison between
India and China
Ashish
Rana, Hongwei Yang, and Toshihiko Masui
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Emission
Permit Allocation Schemes and Industrial Growth: An Analysis
Using MARKAL
Richard
Loulou and Amit Kanudia
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| 14:40-15:00 |
Pollution-Free
Hydrogen from Nuclear Power
Alistair
I. Miller and Romney B. Duffey
Paper
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Technical
Change in Energy Related Methane Abatement
Casey
Delhotal, Francisco de la Chesnaye, Michael
Gallaher and Marvin Branscome
Paper
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Innovation
Takes Off in Chinese Automobile Industry
Cheng
Chang
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Assessment
of the Very Long Term Development of the Needs For Energy
Services: The VLEEM Methodology
Bertrand
Chateau, N. Quercia and the VLEEM consortium
Paper
|
| 15:00-15:20 |
Tax
Exemption for Biofuels in Germany: Is Bio-ethanol Really
an Option for Climate Policy?
Jan
Michael Henke, Gernot Klepper and Norbert
Schmitz
Paper /
Figures |
A
Dynamic Programming Approach to Learning-by-Doing
Charles
Ng |
South
Asian Energy and Emission Perspectives
for 21st Century
Jyoti Parikh and Kankar
Bhattacharya
Paper
|
Estimation
of Real Emissions Reduction Caused by Wind Generators
Olev
Liik, Rein Oidram and Matti Keel
Paper
|
| 15:20-15:40 |
Effective
Utilization of By-product Oxygen at Hydrogen Production
by PEM
Takeyoshi
Kato, Mitsuhiro Kubota, Noriyuki Kobayashi and Yasuo
Suzoki
Paper
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Induced
Technological Change Under Energy Taxes
Reyer
Gerlagh, Wietze Lise, and Bob van der Zwaan
Paper
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Multi-Gas
Strategy in Committing to the Kyoto Protocol
Marc
Vielle and Alain L. Bernard
Paper
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Energy
Productivity Across OECD and Non-OECD Countries in 10 Manufacturing
Sectors - Patterns of Growth and Convergence
Asami
Miketa and Peter
Mulder
|
| 15:40-16:00 |
Coffee
Break |
| 16:00-16:20 |
Quantitative
Analysis of CO2 Emission Reduction by Introducing
Stationary Type PEFC Systems
Yutaka
Nagata
Paper
|
Learning
Curve Analysis for Energy Technologies: Theoretical and
Econometric Issues
Thomas
Sundqvist and Patrik Söderholm
Paper
|
ADMIRE-REBUS:
Modelling the European Market for Green Electricity
B.W. Daniels and Martine
A. Uyterlinde, and H.J.
de Vries
Paper
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Analysis
of Future Network Developments with the Help of the VLEEM
Back-Casting Methodology
Thomas
Hamacher, M. Biberacher and the VLEEM consortium
Paper
|
| 16:20-16:40 |
The
Role of Energyplexes in the 21st century: Coal Gasification
for Co-producing Hydrogen, Electricity and Liquid Fuels
Kei
Yamashita and Leonardo Barreto |
Technological
Changes in Long Term Transition Scenarios
Koen
Smekens
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Linking
Promotion Strategies for RES-E and CO2 Reduction in a Liberalised
Electricity Market: Is Harmonisation of Policy Necessary?
Claus
Huber and Poul Erik Morthorst
Paper
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Impact
Parameters on Electricity Prices in Liberalised Electricity
Markets
Reinhard
Haas
|
| 16:40-17:00 |
Economical
CO2, SOx and NOx Capture
from Fossil Fuel Utilization with Combined Renewable
Hydrogen Production and Large Scale Carbon Sequestration
Danny
Day
Paper |
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Tying
Europe Together - Long-Term Effects on Green Electricity
Production in the Nordic Countries from Cross-Border Trade
Anna
Krook-Riekkola, Erik O. Ahlgren, and Ingrid Nyström
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An
Energy Model for a Low Income Rural African Village
Thomas Alfstad, Gary Goldstein, David Victor,
Lindsey Jeftha and Mark
Howells
Paper
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| 17:00-17:20 |
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| 17:20-17:40 |
Discussions/Conclusions |
Discussions/Conclusions |
Discussions/Conclusions |
Discussions/Conclusions |
Social Event: IIASA Schloss Restaurant
(18:00--20:30)
20:30 Shuttle Bus to the Parkhotel Schönbrunn/Hotel
Prinz Eugen
|
Wednesday Morning - 25 June 2003
PLENARY SESSION
II: Energy
Modeling Forum (EMF) Study
CHAIRPERSON: John Weyant
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| 9:00-9:30 |
Hillard
G. Huntington |
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EMF
20: Natural Gas, Fuel Diversity and North American Energy Markets |
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| 9:30-10:00 |
Francisco
de la Chesnaye, Casey
Delhotal, and John P. Weyant |
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EMF
21: Multi-Gas Mitigation and Climate Change |
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| 10:00-10:30 |
John
P. Weyant |
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Technology
and Climate Policy: EMF 19 and Global Climate and Energy Project
(GCEP) |
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|
| 10:30-11:00 |
Coffee
Break |
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| 11:00-11:30 |
Shunsuke
Mori |
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Outline
of the Integrated Assessment of Global Warming and its Mitigation
Technologies in the Changing World Economy and Industry Project
and some extensions of MARIA (paper) |
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|
| 11:30-12:00 |
William
Nordhaus |
|
Climate
Policy in a Unilateral World: Some Initial Thoughts |
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| 12:00-12:30 |
Discussions |
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| 12:30-14:00 |
Lunch |
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Wednesday Afternoon - 25 June 2002 - 14:00-17:40
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Theater
Hall #215
PARALLEL SESSION V:
CONTROLLING EMISSIONS: Carbon Sequestration and Capture
from Energy
CHAIRPERSONS:
Hillard Huntington and Stefan Schleicher
|
Marschall
Room I #188
PARALLEL
SESSION VI:
ENERGY
TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT
CHAIRPERSONS:
Socrates
Kypreos and
Olev
Liik
|
Marschall
Room II #177
PARALLEL
SESSION VII:
RENEWABLE ENERGY
AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT (2
of 2)
CHAIRPERSONS:
Richard Loulou
and
Gunter Stephan
|
Kamin
Room #173
PARALLEL SESSION
VIII: ENERGY-ECONOMIC-ENVIRONMENT
SCENARIOS
CHAIRPERSONS:
Leonardo
Barreto and Bertrand Chateau
|
| 14:00-14:20 |
IEA Energy Technology Perspectives Project: Using a Global
Energy
Technology Model to Investigate Technology Policy Scenarios
Fridtjof
Unander, Carmen Difiglio and Dolf Gielen
|
What
Kinds of HVAC Technology Could Improve Energy Efficiency
in Japan? Gas CHP or Advanced Heat Pump System?
Masahito
Takahashi and Hiroshi Asano
|
Global
Climate Change and the Equity-Efficiency Puzzle
Alan
S. Manne and Gunter Stephan
Paper
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Internalising
Externalities in MARKAL - TIMES Models
Denise
Van Regemorter and GianCarlo Tosato
|
| 14:20-14:40 |
Internalisation
of External Costs - Insights from Global Markal Model
Peter
Rafaj and Socrates Kypreos
Paper
|
Evaluations
of R&D Strategy for Advanced Power Generation Technologies
in Japan with a MIP Model Based on GERT
Keigo
Akimoto, Ayami Hayashi, Takanobu Kosugi, Toshimasa
Tomoda
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Linking
Developing Country's Cooperation on Climate Control With
Industrialized Country's R&D and Technology Transfer
Claudia
Kemfert and ZhongXiang Zhang
Paper
|
White
Certificates In MARKAL Models of Italy and Europe: Case
Studies to Analyze Energy Efficiency Improvement Policies
Federico
Santi and GianCarlo Tosato
|
| 14:40-15:00 |
Long-term Perspectives for Carbon Capture in Power Plants:
A Scenario for the 21st Century
Keywan
Riahi, Leonardo Barreto, Shilpa Rao and
Edward Rubin
|
A
Study on Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Potential of
Steel and Iron Industry in Korea
Heesung
Shin and Jongchul Hong
Paper
|
Integrated
Climate Change Strategies of Industrialized Countries
Katia
Simeonova and Harald Diaz-Bone
|
Energy
Scenarios for Italy Prepared by a General Equilibrium Model
(MARKAL MACRO)
Mario
Contaldi and Francesco Gracceva
|
| 15:00-15:20 |
The
Impact of Carbon Sequestration on the Cost of Electricity
and Hydrogen in Europe in the Medium Term
Evangelos
Tzimas and S.D. Peteves
Paper
|
Advanced
Electric Generating Technologies in a CGE Model of Germany
Ronald
D. Sands and Katja Schumacher
Paper
|
Modeling
Greenhouse Gases Abatement Scenarios with World-MARKAL:
A Comparative Analysis of Permit Allocation Schemes
Amit Kanudia, Richard Loulou and Kathleen
Vaillancourt
|
Security
of Gas Supply in an Enlarged Europe
Ruud
G. Egging, M.G. Boots and F. van Oostvoorn
|
| 15:20-15:40 |
Multipollutant
Emissions Reduction and CO2 Control: The Costs
of Regulatory Uncertainty
Tim Johnson and David Keith
|
Supplier
Strategies and Responses to Institutional Drivers for an
Emerging Energy Technology
Neil
Strachan and Hadi Dowlatabadi
Paper
|
Carbon
Cycle Impacts of Plantation Land-Owners as Joint Producers
of Timber and Fuel: Towards Incentive-Compatible Modeling
of Land Use Change Policy Impacts
Peter
Read and Jonathan Lermit
Paper
|
Roads
to Carbon Reduction in Germany
P. Markewitz, Dag
Martinsen and S. Vögele
Paper
|
| 15:40-16:00 |
Coffee
Break |
|
|
|
| 16:00-16:20 |
Long-Term Multigas Mitigation Strategies
using MESSAGE
Shilpa
Rao and Keywan Riahi |
A
Systematic Approach for Energy Technology Assessment
Getachew
Assefa and Björn Frostell
Paper
|
Sustainable
Energy Use and Energy Supply - A Challenge for the Future
Jürgen-Friedrich
Hake and Regina
Eich
Paper
|
An
Econometric Analysis
of the Interdependence among Economy, Energy, and Environment in China
Mitsuo
Yamada
Paper |
| 16:20-16:40 |
Is
Carbon Sequestration in Geological Formations an Option
to Buy Time?
Ottmar
Edenhofer and Nico Bauer |
The
Role of Technology Development in Greenhouse Gas Emission
Reductions - Case of Finland
Sanna Syri, Antti
Lehtilä, and Ilkka Savolainen
Paper
|
Sustainable Development in Energy: Comparative Assessment
of Energy Options
Alfred
Voß and Ulrich Fahl
Paper
|
An
Introduction to the EnFore System: A Computerized Decision
Support System 3-E Model for Taiwan
Yunchang
Jeffrey Bor and Cheng Yee Chiu
Paper
|
| 16:40-17:00 |
Timescales
for CO2 Storage: How Long is Long Enough?
David
Keith |
Wind
Power in Finland until the Year 2025
Vilja
Varho and Petri Tapio
Paper
|
CDM,
FDI and Climate Change: Where Foreign Direct Investment
Flows and Where They Should Flow
Enzo
Di Giulio, Stefania Migliavacca and Alessandro Vaglio
|
Burden-sharing Rules for Stabilizing Greenhouse
Gas Concentrations: A First Assessment of Their Equity
and Cost Implications
Asami
Miketa Ger Klaassen, Leo Schrattenholzer and Bing Zhu |
| 17:00-17:20 |
Mocking
at MACs
Ton
Manders and Johannes Bollen
|
The
Role of Technology in Inter-Fuel Substitution: A Combined
Cross-Section and Time Series Approach
Kurt
Kratena and Michael Wueger
Paper
|
Approaching
the Kyoto Targets: Key strategies for Local Communities
Monica
Salvia, F. Pietrapertosa, C. Cosmi, M. Macchiato,
G. Marmo
Paper
|
Use
of Renewable Energy in Tajikistan
Victor
Novikov, George Petrov and Umed Karimov |
| 17:20-17:40 |
Discussions/Conclusions |
Discussions/Conclusions |
Discussions/Conclusions |
Discussions/Conclusions
|
|
|
18:00: Shuttle
Bus to the Parkhotel Schönbrunn/Hotel Prinz Eugen
|
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Thursday Morning - 26 June 2002 - 9:00-12:30
PLENARY SESSION III
CHAIRPERSON: Alan Manne
|
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| 9:00-9:30 |
Fatih
Birol |
|
Global
Energy Investment Challenges |
| |
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|
| 9:30-10:00 |
P.R.
Shukla |
|
Climate
Change Mitigation in Developing Countries |
| |
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|
| 10:00-10:30 |
Nebojsa
Nakicenovic |
|
The Methane
Age and Beyond: The Emergence of New Energy Technologies |
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| 10:30-11:00 |
Coffee Break |
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|
| 11:00-11:30 |
Robert
Ayres |
|
The
Economy as a Materials Processing System: A New Evolutionary Paradigm (paper) |
| |
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|
| 11:30-12:00 |
GianCarlo
Tosato |
|
ETSAP and
Standardized Tools for Long Term Economic Modelling of Energy Systems |
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| 12:00-12:30 |
Panel Discussion:
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| 12:30-14:00 |
Lunch |
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|
| 14:00 |
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Shuttle
Bus to the Parkhotel Schönbrunn/Hotel Prinz Eugen |
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Schlossplatz 1