World Population Prospects: The 1996 UN Population Assessments and Projections.

<body stylesrc="alt_ind.htm" background="images/back1.gif" bgproperties="fixed" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" text="#000000" link="#000000" vlink="#0000FF"> <div align="left"><table border="0" cellpadding="8" cellspacing="0" width="100%" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" bordercolor="#FFFFFF" bordercolordark="#FFFFFF" bordercolorlight="#FFFFFF"> <tr> <td valign="top" width="190" bgcolor="#DDDDDD" bordercolor="#FFFFFF" bordercolordark="#FFFFFF" bordercolorlight="#FFFFFF"><p align="left"><font size="2"><strong><img src="images/iiasa.gif" width="16" height="16"></strong></font><font color="#0000FF" size="4" face="Arial">IIASA</font><font color="#000000" size="4" face="Arial"> WP-96-146</font></p> <p align="left"><a href="Intro1.htm" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="2" face="Verdana"><strong>Introduction</strong></font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><br> <img src="images/redarr_r.GIF" width="9" height="9"></font><a href="chap1.htm" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="2" face="Verdana"><strong>Major Trends</strong></font></a><font color="#000000" size="2" face="Verdana"><strong><br> </strong></font><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap1.htm#high_1" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Total World Pop. Growth</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap1.htm#high_2" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Annual Increase</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap1.htm#high_3" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Developing Countries</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap1.htm#high_4" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Asia's Pop. Growth</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap1.htm#high_5" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Increase by Country</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap1.htm#high_6" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Growth Rate by Country</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap1.htm#high_7" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">India outgrows China</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap1.htm#high_8" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Nigeria / Pakistan</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap1.htm#high_9" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Global Pop. Balance</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap1.htm#high_10" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Worldwide Aging</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><br> <img src="images/redarr_r.GIF" width="9" height="9"></font><a href="chap2.htm" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="2" face="Verdana"><strong>Methodology</strong></font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap2.htm#discuss_1" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Population Momentum</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap2.htm#discuss_3" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Accuracy of Projections</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap2.htm#discuss_5" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Method Improvements</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><br> <img src="images/redarr_r.GIF" width="9" height="9"></font><a href="chap3.htm" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="2" face="Verdana"><strong>Selected Problems</strong></font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap3.htm#chap3_1" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Fertility Decline</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap3.htm#chap3_3" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Food Limits</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap3.htm#chap3_8" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Population Size</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap3.htm#chap3_9" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Population Density</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="chap3.htm#chap3_10" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">AIDS</font></a></p> <p align="left"><font color="#000000" size="2" face="Verdana"><strong>Appendix<br> </strong></font><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"></font><font color="#000000" size="2" face="Verdana"><strong><br> </strong></font><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="allfig.htm" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">All Figures</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="allfig.htm" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">All Tables</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/ga_r.GIF" width="8" height="9"></font><a href="bibliogr.htm" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">Bibliography</font></a></p> <p align="left"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><img src="images/line1.gif" width="165" height="1"><br> <img src="images/blank.gif" width="5" height="5"><br> </font><a href="feedback.htm" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><strong>Feedback</strong></font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><img src="images/blank.GIF" width="5" height="5"><strong> </strong></font><a href="help.htm" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><strong>Help</strong></font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <br> </font><a href="http://www.magnet.at/heilig/index.html" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><strong>Gerhard K. Heilig</strong></font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">, IIASA-LUC Project, </font><a href="mailto:heilig@iiasa.ac.at" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana">heilig@iiasa.ac.at</font></a><font color="#000000" size="1" face="Verdana"><br> <strong>Version: 1.3 | 3. 3. 1997</strong></font><font size="1" face="Verdana"><br> Number of Visits: <b> </b></font></p> </td> <td align="center" valign="top" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" bordercolor="#FFFFFF" bordercolordark="#FFFFFF" bordercolorlight="#FFFFFF"><p align="center"><font color="#000000" size="6" face="Arial">World Population Prospects:</font><font size="6" face="Arial"><br> </font><font color="#000000" size="4" face="Arial">Their relevance for studying global land-use change.</font></p> <p align="center"><font size="2"><b><br> </b></font><font size="4" face="Arial">Gerhard K. Heilig</font></p> <p align="center"><font color="#000000" size="2" face="Arial">IIASA LUC-Project</font></p> <p align="center"><font color="#000000" size="2" face="Arial"><br> WP-96-146, December 1996<br> <br> <br> <br> <br> <br> Working Papers are interim reports on work of the International Institute<br> for Applied Systems Analysis and have received only limited review. Views or <br> opinions expressed herein do not necessarily represent those of the Institute, <br> its National Member Organizations, or other organizations supporting the work.</font><font color="#000000" size="3" face="Arial"><br> </font><font color="#000000" size="2" face="Arial"><br> </font><br> <br> <br> <font color="#000000" size="2" face="Arial"><br> International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)<br> Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria<br> IIASA Electronic Working Paper<br> e-mail: </font><a href="mailto:heilig@iiasa.ac.at" target="text"><font color="#000000" size="2" face="Arial">heilig@iiasa.ac.at</font></a></p> </td> </tr> </table> </div> </body>